Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/4)-(1/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/3)-(5/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1)-(4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/1)-(4/2)-(4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/6/3)-(1/10/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(1/10/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/10/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/8/5)-(1/10/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/8/5)-(1/10/8/5)-(1/10/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAVES OF LIBERTY Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 117 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
2  HE IS DYNAMIC         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  SILVER IS A GIFT Aug31         (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 120 4.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  TRUTH N SOUL Aug31 Jul27 Jul19 Jun14 May29 (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
5  MERGER Aug31 Aug14 Jul27     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
 
BTP-2   09/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S SPIRIT Aug23 Oct30 Aug02 Jul10 Jun10 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  HECTOR B Aug10 Jul06 Jun19 Jun01 Oct07 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 4.50    
3  OVERHAUL Sep05 Aug16 Jul13 Jun29 Jun19 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50    
4  MOON CHARGER Aug31 Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 Jul06 (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  FUTURE VICTORY Sep05 Aug09 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 2.00    
 
BTP-3   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVESOMEFORME Aug29 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 (bates l)BUSH V 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  WACKER'S GIRL Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul17 Jun22 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 122 3.50    
3  CARLY'S FLIGHT Sep04 Jul27 Jul12 Jul03 Jun22 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  NANA ROZE Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 May31 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.50    
5  CRYSTAL M Aug29 Jul31 Jul15 Jun19 May29 (suarez javier)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.00 ★    
 
BTP-4   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Aug24 Aug12 Jul28 Jun27 Apr28 (dimmett james)BUSH V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KING OF KENTUCKY Sep04 Aug03 Jul05 Jun20 May23 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Sep07 Aug16 Jul24 Nov20 Oct24 (vosler eugene)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50    
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
5  RICOCHET Jun21 May13 Aug01 Jun02 Apr16 (walden willia)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
6  EASILY INFLUENCED Aug19 Aug01 Aug02 Jul14 Oct04 (wilson jr)OUZTS W 122 3.50    
 
BTP-5   09/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY AND BOLD Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Mar28 Feb15 (knippenber)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WICKED FROST Sep07 Aug03 Jun27 Jun08 Apr25 (greenhill jef)SOSA LAUREANO 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
3  LANDY Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 (alvarez nery)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00    
4  FRANGO ELECTRICO Aug31 Jul24 Jul11 May23 May11 (bahena ismael)ELLIOTT JANE 122 4.50    
5  KENDAL GRACE Aug31 Jun23 Jun11 Mar20 Feb23 (acevedo israe)ORANTES CESAR 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  JUDY ELAINE Aug05 Jul02 May02 Mar07 Jan26 (brown h)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00    
7  PRINCESA CELINA Aug14 Jun15 May03 Feb21 Aug06 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60    
8  BEAUTY OF THE NILE Jul25 Jul03 Jun11 Apr18 Mar31 (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
BTP-6   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Aug07 Jun26 Jun19 May11 May03 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.50    
2  SERGEANT GUMP Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  RED LINE OVERDRIVE Aug22 Aug12 Jun12 May26 Apr12 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50    
4  MR PUK Aug22 May05       (ortiz alexande)MCKEE J 125 1.80 51% 1.00    
5  FIVE HUNDRED Jul27 May29       (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 120 2.00    
 
BTP-7   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADCAP         (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MOVIEMAKER by CURLIN)
2  CLASSIC SENSATION Sep05 Aug10       (camejo m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LADY ASPEN by GRAND REWARD)
3  FAST LUCK Aug29 Aug02       (short thomas)HESS SARA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
4  LONG SHORTS Aug02         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BUMPY RIDE by DIXIE UNION)
5  REMAINING NAMELESS Sep06 Aug17 Aug05 Jul15   (jazdzewski jo)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HAPPY'S ARM CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
6  OUR ARMEN         (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of STREET SAILING by STREET BOSS)
7  LUKE'S LASSO Aug29 Aug02       (short travis )SOSA LAUREANO 120 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
 
BTP-8   09/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARVEY'S PRINCESS Aug23 Jul25 Jul13 Jun13 Mar09 (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  KERLO'S CAUSE Aug22 Aug07 Jun29 Jun13 May22 (short thomas)MURGIA A 117 15.00    
3  FREE TIME Sep12 Aug12 Jun27 May25 May17 (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
4  LUCKY ANA Aug29 Aug08 Jun13 May18 May08 (douaihy mi)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 8.00    
5  KITTEN CALLS Aug09 Jun17 May17 Apr02 Feb06 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
6  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Sep05 Aug07 Jul13 Dec30 Dec06 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 121 5.00    
SCR  FRAZZLED Aug29 May24 Apr28 Dec09 Nov20 (barrett grant)SOSA LAUREANO 121 20.00    
8  KICK OUT THE JAMS Aug21 Jul26 May23 Mar13 Feb10 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  LUCKY SHORE Aug23 Aug07 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (sturgeon robert)MOJICA JR 121 8.00    
10  ZIGGZAPPA Aug15 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May23 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
11  WOODS HOLE Sep05 Aug16 Jul18 Jun13 Apr20 (dimmett james)BUSH V 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.