Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(7/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(6/7/3)-(7/5/3/8) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(7/5/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/8)-(7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/9/4/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/10/3)-(5/9/4/10/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/10/3)-(5/9/4/10/3)-(5/9/4/10/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/10/3)-(2/7/1/4)-(9/10/2/3) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-7   WIN (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/4)-(9/10/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (9/10/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/3)-(9/10/2/1/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/3)-(9/10/2/1/3)-(9/10/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/10/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH POLLYANNA Aug12 Jul17 Jun09 Mar29 Mar15 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
SCR  PRIVATE CREDIT Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 Jun18 May30 (hendriks ri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50    
FOUR BLESSINGS Aug04 Jul02 Jun22 Apr22 Mar20 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 8% 11.00    
FLAT OUT DIAMONDS Aug20 Jul31 Jul14 Jun16 Nov09 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 121 8.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  MUSIC LASS Aug28 Jul04 Jun13 May21 May07 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
ITSALLABOUTMEBABY Jun18         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 5.00 51% 1.00    
SOMESUGARNSPICE Jul24 Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 May14 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00    
SCR  JAMMERS REVENGE Jun14 May05 Aug02 Jul12   (reed eric )WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.00    
SCR  MARZ EXPRESS Aug28 Jun19 Mar22 Aug25 Oct29 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00    
 
MNR-2   09/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIBBONS AND LACE Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jul02 Jun13 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 121 3.50    
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH Sep03 Aug12 Jul01 Jun04 Oct20 (robillard julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
LADY FREE WILL Aug13 Jul29 Jun24 Jun06 May16 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 5.00    
MAP EM UP Aug27 Aug09 Jul22 Jul07 Jun11 (ewell devan )WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TEQUILA EMPIRE Aug08 Jun26 Mar15 Feb15 Dec13 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 9% 10.20    
TESHIMA Sep03 Jul17 Jun24 May29 Apr27 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
SHE'S SO BEARRISH Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun27 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
 
MNR-3   09/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED BY CUPID Aug26 Aug14 Jun13 May08   (stanoszek sa)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
JUST BE HAPPY Jul22 Jun26 May18 Apr13 Mar28 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00    
GALLAZO Aug28 Aug14 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
GALT'S PROMISE Aug21 Jul19 Jun29 Jun19   (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  SNACK Aug31 Apr28 Mar23 Feb11 Jan21 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 2.50    
FORTINBRAS Aug14 Jul30 Jul07 Jun14 May25 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
HE'S A LUCKY GUY Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun12 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
TIZAWINNER Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 Jun13 (joy j)WHITACRE B 118 3.50    
 
MNR-4   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGUILA DEL RIO Aug28 Aug18 Jul10 Jun30 Jun17 (silva pablo)WHITACRE B 118 5.00    
SCR  SWEET FACTOR Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 Jun29 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
KISS ME ON OCONEE Aug28 Jul25 Jun24 May10 Mar23 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00 10% 9.20    
LUNAR PRAYER Jul31 Dec05 Nov12 Oct30 Oct04 (rodak geral)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
WHATS GOIN ON Aug26 Jul24 Jun29 Jun07 Mar24 (gotera ju)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  CANTHO Aug28 Aug18 Aug05 Jul10 Apr22 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
SKYLAR'S SISTER Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jun23 May26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
BIDOFHONEY Aug28 Aug18 Jul15 Jul06 Jun07 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TAMBARELLA Aug18 Jul24 Jun24 Jun16 Jun06 (norris stephani)LEON A 118 8.00    
10  EILAT Aug18 Jun29 Jun06 May17 Apr12 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 8.00    
 
MNR-5   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLASSY REY DE ORO Aug25 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 Jun25 (flores christi)TAPARA LUIS 123 30.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of OROLUCE by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
HERE'STHEBREADMAN Jul19 Jul01 Jun22 Jun07 May19 (binnin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by JUBA out of CAPTAIN MOLLY by LOST SOLDIER)
ALL ROADS TO DENIS Aug25 Jul31 Jul09 Jul01 Jun19 (ewell devan )TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
NORTHERN RUNNER Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 Jun04 Dec13 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of NORTHERN CHEROKEE by OUTFLANKER)
THE GROOM'S JUL Aug25 Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 Jun19 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 118 5.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of SHIMMERING JUL by OMEGA CODE)
MIDNIGHT STROLLER Jul31 Jun19 Jun04 May17 Apr05 (shuler r)WHITACRE B 118 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of KINDRED SOUL by FED BIZ)
MAJESTY'S COWBOY Aug25 Jul31 May17 May03   (shuler r)VEGA L 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of CITY BEAT by TEMPLE CITY)
 
MNR-6   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES A GOOD ONE Aug20 Jul31       (dalton miche)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
  (by TONALIST out of BIRD FU by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
TEXAS WENDY Aug20 Jul31 Jun30 Jun18 Jun03 (denny travis)WHITACRE B 123 6.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of TRENDY WENDY by SMARTY JONES)
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Aug12 Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 (cook devin)WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
HO HO HO LETS GO         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BURBAN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FIVEMINUTSOFPASION         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of MRS. PATMORE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SENZA FINE Aug07 Jun21 May24 Jan26   (runco c)HO WESLEY 118 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
PERFECT HOUR Mar19         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 12.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of PERFECT QUESTION by PERFECT CIRCLE)
MADAM LEOTA Aug01 Feb03 Dec16 Oct13   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of LITTLE SWOON by YOU AND I)
REVENUE TRAIN Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 Jul11 Jun26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CAPE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  DEGAGE         (murtough )HERNANDEZ H 118 20.00 7% 13.30    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SACRIFICE by TEMPLE CITY)
 
MNR-7   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE EARL Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May27 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
MAS CHIKILIN Aug18 Jul30 Jul21 Jul09 Jun26 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  DARK OAK Jul09 Jun23 May14 Apr22 Sep26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00    
PROFESSIONAL Aug18 Aug05 Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 10% 8.50    
SCR  KAZTHAROS Aug12 Jul22 Jul15 Jul08 Jun19 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
JULIE'S FERRARI Aug11 Jul14 Jun17 May07 Dec13 (welsh r)TAPARA BRANDON 120 15.00    
CAPE LOOKOUT Aug18 Jul21 Jun25 Jun14 May24 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  BONNIE BILL Aug17 Jul27 Jun14 May18 May05 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
FOREMAN Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun03 Jan10 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00    
10  NINETIES COUNTRY Jun30 May10 Jan15 Dec12 Nov26 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
SCR  ESTILO VARONIL Aug26 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 May28 (boyd terry )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
SCR  CATES SWOOSH Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 Jun24 (cain crystal)VEGA L 123 12.00    
SCR  HENDRIX Aug28 Jul01 Nov08 Oct30 Oct15 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
14  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Sep01 Aug20 Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00    
 
MNR-8   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAX Aug18 Jul23 Jul10 Jun14 Jun07 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00    
TRADER PRICE Aug18 Jul23 Jun30 Jun02 May14 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
HOPPERNESS Aug28 Jun17 Jun02 Dec04 Nov14 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG WAY Aug18 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun30 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  HAPPY TAILS TO YOU Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 Jun19 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 3.00    
NECCO Aug18 Aug07 Jul03 Jun18 May29 (murtough stephe)TAPARA LUIS 120 15.00    
BRAZILIAN SEA Aug25 Jul28 Jul17 Jul07 Jun11 (sipp k)LEON A 120 15.00    
VASY SAYS NYET Aug19 Dec05 Nov26 Nov14 Sep20 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
DR SCHUSTER Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 118 4.50 36% 1.70    
10  DE'S CASTLE Aug27 Jul20 Jun07 May03 Apr13 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 5.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  OLD FORTY FIVE Aug07 Jul23 Jun30 Jun03 May14 (poole c)BRACHO A 120 6.00    
SCR  SENOR VEGAS Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul13 Jun21 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00    
SCR  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jan27 Jan13 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
SCR  OUTGUNNED Aug17 Jul21 Jun16 May10 Apr19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.