Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - September 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(1/6)-(2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/4)-(3/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/2/1)-(7/6/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(7/6/9/3)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/3)-(7/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/3)-(7/6/9/3)-(7/6/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9/3)-(5/2/1)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/4/6)-(4/3/5/11/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/3/5/11/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/3/5/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/11/1)-(4/3/5/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/11/1)-(4/3/5/11/1)-(4/3/5/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONJE SOLAIA Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 5.00    
MO BETTA Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 Aug27 Jul29 (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
WILDERZAR Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 Jun19 Jun07 (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
ROYAL DECADENCE Aug22 Jul24 Jul06 Jun26 Jun08 (alvarez ner)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50    
JEST ABOVE Aug22 Aug07 Jul06 Jun21 Jun08 (nunez maurici)SOSA LAUREANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUCCESSION GOLD Aug22 Aug01 Jun27 May29 Aug18 (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
BTP-2   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT HIGHWAY Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun12 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SWING LOW Aug08 Jul27 Jul10 Jun24 May30 (rivera xav)BATISTA X 122 3.00    
AZURE SKY Aug24 Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 May29 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 3.50    
FEELING IT Aug08 Jul05 Jun14 Sep26 Sep02 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 117 2.50    
FALCONS FURY Aug17 Jul05 Jun12 May29 May10 (ocasio osvald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00    
OVERHAUL Aug16 Jul13 Jun29 Jun19 May11 (alessi james)SOSA LAUREANO 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
 
BTP-3   09/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE A LITTLE Jul19 Jun14       (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50    
CLEAN MACHINE Aug10 Jul08 Jun26     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  MAGIC MOTOWN Aug30 Aug14       (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 4.50    
TROUBLE IN MOTOWN Jul27         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
BE KOZY Jul19 Jun20       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 3.00    
 
BTP-4   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN DOWN Aug16 Jul24 Nov19 Nov02 Oct24 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 125 6.00 9% 10.20    
COUNTY COURT Aug08 Jul18 Jun14 May17 May02 (adams l)HESS SARA 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
PEPPER PIKE Jul03 Jun19 Aug22 Aug02 Jun30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 4.00 40% 1.50    
NO HANG CHARLIE Aug06 Jul25 Jun19 Jun06 May15 (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50    
AMERICAN PURE Jul06 Jun16 Mar17 Feb15 Jan13 (o'dwyer jerem)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.00    
SCR  DAWN WEST Aug17 Aug02 Jul03 Jun13 May30 (ocasio o)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
 
BTP-5   09/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DICHOTOMY Aug15 Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 May25 (haehn terry)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.00    
SCR  SUM KINDA PRETTY Aug24 Jul31 Jul17 Jun29 Jun20 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00    
PERFECTLY WICKED Aug16 Jul15 Jun19 May22 Apr11 (fletcher kevi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIGEIA Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun30 Jun14 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
SCR  YOGURT Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 Jun05 (short billy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 10.00    
JUST PASSING THRU Aug15 May28 May08 Mar14 Feb22 (short thomas)MURGIA A 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
DANCE THE DAY AWAY Aug07 Jul13 Dec30 Dec06 Oct26 (decker anna)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
AUNT RUTH Aug24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun13 May30 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 3.50    
BLOSSOMING Aug15 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 May17 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
10  I LIKEM Aug15 Jun28 Jun13 Mar21 Mar09 (shetron phyllis)NAVAS YOEL 122 5.00    
 
BTP-6   09/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASTA LAVISTA BABY Jul17 Jun12 May02 Apr14 Mar08 (sandy s)MURGIA A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SING SCAT Jul25 Jul16 Jun27 Jun13 May25 (mendieta al)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
MEGAN'S NOEL Jun29 Jun13 May30 May02 Mar22 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.00    
HIGHLY CREATIVE Jun08 Feb04 Dec17 Nov13 Aug30 (van th)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50    
CHANEL SPIRIT Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May09 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
BTP-7   09/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL OF PARADIS Aug09 Jul06 Apr17 Aug08   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of AMERICAGREATAGAIN by CONGRATS)
SCR  WRECK IT RUBY Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 Oct21 Sep20 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00    
  (by MASTERY out of TARE GREEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
KATE'S CONCERTO Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jul06 Jun19 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
CAJUN BONFIRE         (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LILLY MARLENE by LOST SOLDIER)
LEAFLET Aug02 Jul20 Jun01 Nov30 Nov03 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
CHAR Aug08 Jul20 Jun28 Mar24   (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
 
BTP-8   09/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUTURE VICTORY Aug09 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 May16 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
DEVILS RED Aug11 Jul18 Jun20 May17 Apr27 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
EL CERRITO Aug10 Jul20 Jun08 May22 Mar13 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
READY TO ROLL (IRE) Aug27 Jul13 May29 Feb28 Dec15 (van th)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
MAYNARD Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun20 May24 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.00    
PERFECT PAINTING Aug09 Jul18 Jun20 May30 Mar20 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 125 3.50    
MARQUET MALICE Aug14 Aug08 Jul22 Jun20 May30 (douaihy mi)BATISTA X 123 20.00    
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Aug27 Aug14 Jun26 May24 Apr25 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
10  CAPPY HOUR Aug14 Jul25 Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 12.00    
11  STITZY Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 Feb15 Jan03 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00 5% 17.90    
12  SAN MARCO CITY Jun20 Mar20 Mar09 Feb14 Jan31 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
SCR  GRAND IN BAY Aug06 Jul10 Jun06 Nov30 Nov13 (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00    
SCR  READY PURSUIT Aug04 Jul20 May16 Apr27 Mar14 (gonzalez rein)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.