Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/2/5)-(7/8/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/8/2/3)-(2/4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/3)-(2/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/6)-(4/3/9/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/3/9/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/5/7)-(4/3/9/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/5/7)-(4/3/9/5/7)-(4/3/9/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/9/5/7)-(3/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/5/7)-(3/4/9)-(1/6/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/9)-(3/4/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/9)-(3/4/2/9)-(3/4/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/9)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/2/3/5)-(1/6/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASS APPEAL Jul16 Jun10 May14 Apr30 Nov13 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00    
1A  SMOOTH TALES Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 Jun12 May28 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 4.00    
DEVIOUS MO Aug07 Jun18 May27 Nov21 Oct09 (sha)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE Aug06 Jun26 Jun04 May14 Mar28 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 124 2.00    
BUSTIN PIETRE Jul16 May07 Mar23 Mar02 Jan25 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
GANDY DANCING Aug07 Jul17 Jul08 Jun11 May07 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 2.50    
BOWING SNOWMAN Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 Jun11 (muller j)ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
BIG BAD BUD Aug07 Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 (maver edu)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   08/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KONG LOVES A FIGHT Jul29 Jul16 Jun12 Nov13 Oct30 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 May22 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
SNEADS Jul29 Jul08 Jun26 May28 May13 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
POT OF GOLD Aug07 Jul29 Jul10 May28 Nov20 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
CENTRAL LOVE Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Aug13 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May27 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
FL-3   08/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WABAUNSEE Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 May27 May07 (pettine )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
LADY QUINN Aug07 Jun18 Nov22 Nov13 Oct31 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
GRAND LADY INDY Aug07 Jul30 Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
THE NEW MIAMI Jul30 Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 May27 (vasquez ramo)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
MISS PAB Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 Jun10 May21 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLATTERY'S MUSIC Aug07 Jul02 Jun17 May20 Apr30 (sabine michae)DAVILA A 122 5.00    
HONORABLE LILLY Jun04 May22 Mar14 Feb19 Jan11 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
 
FL-4   08/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RINGGOOD Jul24 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 Nov21 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
FLASH KISS Jul23 Jun24 Apr28 Mar08 Jan11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 7% 13.80    
SAMURAI SAINT Jul31 Jul08 Jun20 May22 May08 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
RILEY BEE Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
INTERSTATE Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 May20 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
SCR  ACH DU LIEBER Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 May27 Jan28 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 4.00    
JITTER JUICE Aug05 Jun19 Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 (ferraro michae)COA J 122 5.00 55% 0.80    
CAUSALISTIC Jul16 Jun12 May09 Mar13 Jan26 (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
FL-5   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Jul22 Jun17 May02 Apr11 Mar28 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00    
B C GLORY DAYS Aug12 Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00 38% 1.70    
EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Jul31 Jul17 Jun11 May14 Nov20 (cook robert )BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
GO GET THE BAG Jul10 Jun24 Nov22 Nov01 Aug21 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  KEIGS Jul31 Jul08 Mar01 Feb11   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 6.00    
MORTGAGE RATE Jul24 Jul08 Jun26 Jun10 May13 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MACDONOUGH Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 Jun03 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  WITH KNOW NAME Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 May22 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 124 12.00    
MOR VALOR Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (fung christophe)FRET STEVEN 120 15.00    
 
FL-6   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAINOFMYHEART Jul31 Jul10 Jun17 May13 Nov20 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
PURECRAZIGROOVE Aug12 Jul30 Apr26 Mar10 Dec31 (gutierrez luis)BROWN DALTON 120 8.00    
ZUCCARACE Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 May29 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
NEMO'S FORTUNE Jun25 Nov06 Oct17 Sep18 Aug22 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
BLACKSMITH STRONG Jul09 Oct18 Sep14 Aug26 Aug09 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  ESCAPE MISSION Jul17 Jun03 May13 Nov20 Oct24 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 6.00    
BLUE LIEUTENANT Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 May29 Apr12 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE VIC Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 May28 May06 (dean iii)ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
HUTCH Jul23 Jul09 Nov20 Nov07 Oct24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
10  THUNDERING MARCH Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 3.00    
 
FL-7   08/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOCKBOX Jul30 Jul04 Jun03 May14 Apr30 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 4.00    
REMOANE Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 Nov20 Nov07 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
BEAUTIFUL KAREN Jul24 Jul05 May16 Jan05 Dec14 (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  COMFORTABLE CAT Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
CHRISTMAS DINNER Aug07 Jun25 Jun10 May14 Apr29 (breed debra)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
LET'S MAGA Aug07 Jul24 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.50    
LA CAFETERA Jul24 Jul04 Jun18 Oct31 Oct18 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
INVESTMENT GRADE Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 Jun18 (morales samuel)COA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TO ROYALTY Jul23 Aug08 Jun06 May23 May08 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  LA DAMA DORADA Aug07 Jul23 Jun17     (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 2.50    
JESSICA'S RACE Jul16 Jun24 Nov13 Oct17 Sep06 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50    
ELLA SPEED Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 Nov21 Nov06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00    
JOURNEY OF FIVE Aug07 Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun05 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 8.00    
MIAMI TWOFER Aug07 Jul23 Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOL EMPERATRIZ Aug07 Jul24 Jun05 May22 Apr05 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 120 6.00 6% 16.30    
BENEVOLENTLY Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 May27 Nov08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
DEBBIE DARLING Aug07 Jul23 Jul10 May20 Mar02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
DISCO PRINCESS Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 May29 (lecesse michae)COA J 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.