Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(4/6/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/4)-(4/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/4)-(4/6/7/1)-(2/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1/10)-(4/6/7/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/1)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/1)-(2/1)-(2/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/4/3)-(7/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/3/5)-(7/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/14/2024 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PEACHES Jul25 May19 May01 Apr19 Apr10 (salinas giovan)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
2  BREEZY DANCE Jul11 Jul03 Jun10 May29 May06 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00    
3  LAVINIA SPIRIT Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Jun06 May16 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  AUNT JO Jul11 Jun25 Jun12 May29 May08 (smith lawrenc)ROJAS MARTINA 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLIVIA DEE Jun26 May16 Mar14 Feb02 Aug25 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 3.50    
6  HOP ON ME Jun10 May06 Apr01 Mar04 May03 (lake a)OCASIO M 123 12.00 14% 6.30    
7  MERRYCHILL Jul25 Jun26 Jun11 May21 Apr09 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 14% 5.90    
8  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Jul17 Jun20 May30 May09 Mar13 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 123 10.00    
SCR  NEON CITY Jul08 Jun11 Nov03 Oct10 Aug22 (carango )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
SCR  SHE'SALLATWITTER Aug02 Jul02 May20 Oct31 Oct09 (hawthorne bob)RIVERA D 120 5.00    
 
PEN-2   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENSUING GRACE Jul26 Jul17 Jun13 May30 May16 (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 12.00    
2  MOST UNUSUAL DAY Jul18 Jul05 May23 May08 Mar21 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 Apr18 Mar29 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00    
4  ZIPPY DO DA DAY Jul18 Jun20 May04 Apr07 May14 (samaniego jose)BEATO INOEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LAUGHING FIT Jul17 Jul04 Jun06 Mar17 Feb18 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  GANBATTE Jul27 Jul04 Jun07 May31 May10 (stettiniu)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50 15% 5.70    
7  TRACE MARTINIS Aug07 Jul05 Jun13 May23 May09 (johnson carlo)TUNON JORDANO 122 30.00    
8  END OF THE RAINBOW Jun10 May12 May01 Mar14 Jan24 (pattershall)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY TIME Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May20 Oct09 (acquilano)VARGAS L 125 6.00    
SCR  DESTIN FOR DRAMA Jul25 Jun26 Apr10 Mar20 Feb09 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 118 8.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE EMPRESS Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 May23 May03 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-3   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD WINSALOT Aug01 Jul25 Jun29 May04 Mar21 (george a)TORRES JOMAR 125 6.00 7% 13.60    
2  CRYPT Jul28 Jul15 Jun25 May29 May13 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00    
3  DESANTIS Jul25 Jul02 May28 May08 Apr16 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 5.00    
4  HORNBEAM Jul22 Jun17 May28 May13 Apr22 (kirby jo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  DALTON Aug01 Jul23 Jul02 Jun12 May18 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 121 6.00    
6  GHOST STALKER Aug01 Jul20 Jun12 May29 Apr26 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
7  GRAB THE GOLD Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 May22 May02 (rideout ronald)FLORES E 121 10.00 10% 9.20    
8  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Jul17 Jun16 May28 May01 Apr09 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 8.00    
9  BARLEEWON Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun15 May11 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 20.00    
10  GURT'S WARRIOR Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 May29 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  TIMELY PROSPECT Feb16 Jan31 Dec13 Nov04 Aug23 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.00    
 
PEN-4   08/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jul15 Jun27 May30 May03 Apr13 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00 23% 3.40    
2  SPINNING MUSICIAN Jul24 Jul03 Jun20 May22 May04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Jul25 Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 May10 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00    
SCR  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Jul12 Jun19 May30 May09 Feb08 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00    
5  HENRYTHETHIRD Jul15 Jun12 May29 Apr24 Apr08 (bullock jordan )BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.50    
6  FIRST MONEY Jul27 Jun24 May28 May07 Mar06 (hawthorne bob)RIVERA D 123 2.00    
 
PEN-5   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADRO DI FICHI Jul27 Jul10 Jun19 May30 May15 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
2  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Jul17 May17 May09 Mar29 Feb02 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
3  DIVINE ROMANCE Jul24 Jul02 Jun09 May20 Apr23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MELODIOUS SINGER Jul10 Mar14 Feb29 Nov02 Oct06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 17% 5.00    
5  JACK'S LILLY Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 May04 Apr02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 6.00    
6  NO EASY ANSWER Jul29 Jul13 May24 May04 Mar27 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50    
 
PEN-6   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGING BEAR Jul26 Jun27 May23 May10 Mar13 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 121 10.00    
2  STAFF SERGEANT Jul28 Feb27 Feb14 Jan24 Dec20 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00    
3  SUNSHINE HARRY Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 May23 May02 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  TIZ SPEEDY Jul31 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 Jun04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50 ★    
5  BRONX TALE Jul26 Jun27 May10 Mar21 Mar06 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  COLOR FIELD Aug02 Dec06 Oct30 Sep27 Sep13 (cooper steve)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
7  CITIZEN MACK Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 May24 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
8  FINANCIAL STRENGTH Jul26 Jul15 Jul01 May26 May13 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.00    
 
PEN-7   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORGANS COVE Jul12 May31 Feb21 Jan24 Nov29 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 125 3.50    
SCR  SEVEN YEARS LATER Jul09 May13 Mar05 Feb12 Jan08 (nicholson )MITCHELL RICHARD 125 4.50    
3  PHANCY PHILLY Jul31 Jul24 Jun03 May22 May13 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE'S GOT GAME Jul31 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 (mccaslin john)CORA D 125 6.00    
5  CLASSY SADIE Jul31 Jul03 Jun13 May31 Apr02 (graci kim)VARGAS L 125 10.00 12% 7.20    
6  CROSSTALK Jul31 Jun25 Jun10 May14 Apr29 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 125 6.00    
7  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Jul31 Jun18 May16 Apr13 Feb02 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.