Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/2)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/2)-(6/2/1)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(1/2/5)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/5/1)-(6/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/3/4)-(5/7/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(5/7/1/3)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(1/3/4)-(9/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(9/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(9/4/3/8)-(2/1/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-8   WIN (9/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/8)-(9/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/8)-(9/4/3/8)-(9/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/3/8)-(2/1/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-9   WIN (2/1/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/8/5)-(2/1/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/8/5)-(2/1/6/8/5)-(2/1/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/08/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUSED (GB) Aug01 May30 Apr27 Mar16 Feb15 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00    
2  WHAT'S TO DO Jun08 May05 Apr19 Mar24 Mar10 (haran john)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS RIVER RAT Jul06 Jun01 May05 Apr14 Mar24 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 1.20 54% 0.80    
4  WANDA STRONG Jun16 Jun09 Aug24 Aug02 Jun21 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
5  BALI BABY Jul28 Jul06 Jun30 May04 Apr27 (zawitz joel)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
6  SHE'S WANDAFUL Jul21 Jun30 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 (miller pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
7  LADY HELENA Jul25 Jul07 Jun10 May10 Feb01 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 111 8.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  PRINCESS TENKO Jul14 Jul05 Jun08 May05 Mar24 (campbell joel)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
SCR  LEGALLY LUCKY Jul05 Jun08 Apr27 Mar22 Feb23 (haran john)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-2   08/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTRIC CHARGE Jul20 Jun09 May18 Apr06 Mar23 (quinonez max)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROCKET HOTSHOT Jul18 Jun30 Jun02 May11 Apr27 (rodriguez jos)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.00 14% 6.30    
3  ALVIN Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 May18 Apr27 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00    
4  EUCLID AVENUE Aug01 Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 May05 (haran john)FELIX E 118 8.00    
SCR  COWBOYS DREAM Jul06 Jun23 Apr27 Mar19 Dec04 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
6  PATH TO SUCCESS Jul18 Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 May18 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
HAW-3   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN ROYAL KID Apr06 Mar23       (scalcione p)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 4.50 55% 0.80    
2  THE RIDGE Jul14 May09 Apr27 Apr07   (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  DASTARDLY DEEDS Jul07 Jun29 Jun09 Apr21 Apr06 (flores ped)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
4  STOLICH Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00    
5  RED MOSCATO Jul25 Jul06 May28 Jan13 Dec15 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAWYER FOX Sep04 Aug06 Dec10     (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 0.80    
7  THE GEEK Jul07 Dec10 Oct28     (ramirez carlos)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00    
 
HAW-4   08/08/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT MANHATTAN Jul21 Nov07 Oct12 Sep18 Jul11 (block chris)COLON H 120 6.00 6% 16.30    
2  WW BEST OF TIMES May21         (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 8.00    
3  BABE IN THE WOODS Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 Mar16 Mar01 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.00    
4  ERNESTINA Jul21 Jul11 Jun02 May10 Apr20 (lopez elias)FELIX E 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  MADELYN ATTACK Jul21 May19 May05 Apr06 Mar23 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  MACHIVA Jul21 Jun30 Jun23     (dorochenko gennadi)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
7  SAFECRACKER SUE Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May26 Apr21 (simonovich dani)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-5   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HATCHET CREEK Jul21 Jun29 Sep12 Aug16 Aug03 (dizeo dino)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
2  ONE WAY HOME Jul09 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr14 (martinez a)FELIX E 122 2.50    
3  ALYANAABI Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun08 May28 (lynch harr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  CAN MAN DO Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 Jun05 Mar15 (moreno irvin)COLON H 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNCAPTURED PULSE Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 Jun22 Jun02 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00    
SCR  CODETOWIN Jul21 May26 Feb02 Dec28 Dec08 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  DEMAND RANSOM Jul28 Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 (hughes ear)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00    
 
HAW-6   08/08/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAHONEY ROAD Jul11 Jun22 May11 Apr13 Mar10 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  GIMME THE CANDY Jun29 Jun08 May11 Mar24 Jan12 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
3  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK May18 Aug26 Jul01     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CANYON SHADOWS Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 Jun02 May11 (kirby j)FELIX E 118 6.00    
5  TALONS TIME Jul14 Jun08 May18 Aug07 Jun30 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  HAY MOON Aug01 Jun30 Jun09 May18 May05 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
7  STRANGE ARRANGE Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May12 Apr27 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  MALIGATOR Jul18 Jun30 Jun09 Apr27 Mar30 (reid r)COLON H 122 15.00    
SCR  I'M WIDE AWAKE Jul14 Jun05 May05 Apr13 Mar30 (haran john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80    
 
HAW-7   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH SPARK Jul18 Jun01 May18 May03   (divito james )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  GOOD MAGIC WOMAN Jun23 Jun08 May26 Apr20 Mar24 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 120 3.00    
3  FLATHEAD FINALE Jul20 May31 May11 Apr21 Mar09 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  LOST SUNSET Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May05   (kirby j)EMIGH A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRETTY SKYE Jul21 Jun23       (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 120 15.00    
6  SWEET SMILA Jul18 Jun29 Jun02 May18 Aug10 (robertson hugh)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★    
7  BABAS GAL Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May26 May05 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 15.00    
8  MISS MADALINE Jul25 Jul18 Jun29 Jun23 Jun09 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 120 20.00    
 
HAW-8   08/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BACKGROUND Jun19 May18 May03 Jul15 Jun04 (puhich mike)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
2  ARDANWOOD Jul06 Jun09 Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 (robertson hugh)GRAHAM J 122 4.50    
3  NOVGOROD THE GREAT Jul18 Jun09 May19 Aug17 Jul20 (block chris)FELIX E 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  READTHECLIFFNOTES Jul06 Jun23 May19 Apr28 Apr06 (boyce mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY Jul06 May26 Apr21 Mar06 Jan18 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
6  GO EMI Jul06 Jun08 May11 Apr06 Jan21 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
7  C F V BULLET Jul06 Jun29 Jun02 May05 Apr11 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
8  HERN Jun29 May31 May04 Jan13 Dec09 (haran john)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MEGAN'S HONOR Jul07 Jun09 May26 Apr13 Mar17 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 5.00 34% 1.90    
 
HAW-9   08/08/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PILKINGTON Jun29 May30 Apr24 Mar24 Nov08 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
2  GOLDENTOWN Jul15 Jun02 Apr19 Mar07 Jan15 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 39% 1.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MEDAGLIA GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  LICENSE TO STEAL Jul18 Jun29 Jun02     (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of APRIL FIFTEENTH by FORT PRADO)
4  SHARP STRIKE Jun08 Apr13 Mar07     (roussel j)FELIX E 120 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DANCING FANCY by SHEIKH ALBADOU (GB))
5  WOLF HUNTER Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr13 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
6  STREET FEST Jun30         (mitchell)RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00 13% 6.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  SPINNING HEART Jul18 Jun08 Mar07 Jan21 Dec24 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREETWITHNONAME by STREET SENSE)
8  GIANNO Jul18 Jul07 May25 Apr13 Mar23 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SETHNA by DISCREET CAT)
9  I O FEDRO         (block chris)REYES FRANK 120 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of I O IRELAND by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.