Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Wednesday - July 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/1/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/5/8)-(7/4/3/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/8)-(7/1/5/3)-(2/6/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-4   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/3)-(2/6/7/8)-(5/3/6/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-5   WIN (2/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (5/3/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/7/4)-(5/3/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/7/4)-(5/3/6/7/4)-(5/3/6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/8/3/2)-(1/4/8/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(4/11/2)-(1/8/9/2/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LS-8   WIN (4/11/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/11/2)-(4/11/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/11/2)-(4/11/5/9/2)-(4/11/5/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/11/2)-(1/8/9/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-9   WIN (1/8/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/2/6)-(1/8/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/2/6)-(1/8/9/2/6)-(1/8/9/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELL'S BELLS Apr19 Feb18 Apr29 Mar31 Feb26 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 1.60 20% 4.00    
2  MASTER OF DISGUISE May31 Apr18 Feb23 Feb09 Jan06 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  PERLIANO May01 Apr12 Mar21 Jan28 Dec15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 4.00    
4  LOUISIANA FLASH Jun16 May12 Apr05 Mar09 Feb17 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOHNNY APPLESEED Jun02 May12 May04 Sep29 Sep14 (willis min)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
6  ONE LAST THING Jun14 May31 Sep01     (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
 
LS-2   07/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE ACTION Jun14 Apr19 Mar03 Jan28 Jan05 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
2  VALDINA DREAMS Jun02 May18 Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 (payne dann)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00    
3  HERO TIME Jun06 May14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
4  DOC'S BOLERO Jun02 May10 Apr26 Apr07 Mar24 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BELFAST BOY Jan26 Jan05 Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00    
6  CAJUN WARRIOR Jun22 May10 Mar30 Feb09   (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  TAKE FLIGHT Jun14 May18 Apr26 Apr07 Mar10 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
 
LS-3   07/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER OVER ME Jun22 Sep12 Jun04 May06 Apr22 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
2  BOLD EXCAPER May14 Apr05 Mar01 Feb19 Jan20 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 124 15.00    
3  WILL TAKE CASH Oct19 Oct10 Aug05 Jun16 May06 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  STRIKE RIDGE Jun08 Apr19 Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
5  DUTCH BUS May04 Apr07 Mar09 Mar09 Jan27 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 3.00 ★    
6  CATCHEM IF YOU CAN May28 May12 Mar24 Jan20 Dec01 (a)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
7  SOLDIERS SACRIFICE May12 Mar30 Mar09 Nov24 Oct07 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  SECRET TAVERN May12 Apr07 Mar29 Mar09 Jan28 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SUPREME CAPO Mar09 Feb19 Jan20 Sep04 Jul15 (sauceda j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00    
 
LS-4   07/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE STRIKE May27 May04 Feb18 Jan12 Nov28 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  USUALLY WRONG Jun08 Mar08       (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.50    
3  MENA Jun02 May04 Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PROJECTION Jun15 May27 May04 Nov25 Oct26 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00    
5  GENERAL SHIPMAN Dec31 Dec08 Oct27 Aug26 Jul17 (a)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TEJAS May27 May04 Mar22 Mar09 Jan28 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 5.00    
7  WITHOUT A TRACE Jun16 May18 Apr26 Apr06 Mar24 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
8  SEND THE BOSS Jun09 Mar26 Jan26 Dec15 Nov01 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
 
LS-5   07/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRUCTURED Apr07 Mar22 Aug27     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CHIC by ORB)
2  IN FORM Jun15 May27 May05 Apr12 Mar09 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SUMMER SOLO by ARCH)
3  TURQUOISE BLUE Jun02 May12 Apr21 Mar30 Feb19 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 120 12.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAYRONA by A. P. WARRIOR)
4  ROCKY TOP MISCHIEF Feb24         (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL RELATIVITY by COWBOY CAL)
5  REBEL RYDER Jun23 Jun02       (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  TWENTY ONE SKIDOO         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 15.00 25% 3.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HEART TEE by LIL E. TEE)
7  ZED Jun08 May26 Dec23 Apr29 Apr16 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANE'S GIRLFRIEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
8  LEAR Jun23 Jun02 Apr13 Mar15   (asmussen s)ERAMIA E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  MUSTBELIEVE Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 Dec07 (e)DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
  (by SIR GALLANT RIDGE out of SMOOTH SEA by MARKED TREE)
 
LS-6   07/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU THUNDER Jun21 Jun09 Apr28 Jan19 Jan05 (eoff terry)GLASS DERBE 119 6.00    
2  SPEIGHTSVILLE Jun16 May18 Apr27 Apr14 Mar17 (trout r)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00    
3  TEAM LEADER Jun08 May11 Feb23 Oct19 Sep29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
4  BRAHMS BOY May11 Apr28 Apr07 Mar08 Feb11 (sauceda j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALTO ROAD May31 Apr27 Apr07 Mar23 Feb17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  CHIEF BRADY Jun08 May04 Mar23 Feb23 Feb04 (roubion steve)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00 17% 5.00    
7  STRAIGHT LUCK May11 Feb17 Nov25 Aug20 Jun11 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 8% 11.30    
8  HELLO HELLO MISTER Jun08 May25 May10 Apr18 Apr05 (garza e)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
9  HARD CANDY May15 May06 Apr03 Mar27 Mar19 (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00    
 
LS-7   07/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER OATH Jun09 Mar09 Nov05 Sep29 May14 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
2  DRIVEHAPPY Jun21 May31 May17 Apr21 Mar16 (hibdon mark )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00 ★    
3  RIGHT TONE Jun21 Apr30 Apr06 Mar01 Jan26 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 ★    
4  LEA ME BE Jun08 May19 Apr28 Apr03 Mar09 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
5  MR B QUIET Feb25 Feb04 Jan21 Jan04 Dec14 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 12.00    
6  NORTHVALE ROAD Jun08 Apr27 Mar22 Apr23 Jan31 (caldwell r)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00    
7  KODALINE Jun07 Dec15 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 15.00    
8  LIONS NOT SHEEP Jun21 May25 Mar15 Feb25 Feb09 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MUFFIN NUTS Jun14 May25 May10 Apr28 Mar15 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00    
 
LS-8   07/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSONAL ISSUES May13 May06 Apr22     (rottweiler glen)SANCHEZ M 124 30.00    
2  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN May26 May05 Mar30 Feb11 Jan26 (c)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALONG CAME THUNDER Jun21 Jun08 May27 May05 May21 (baldill)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00    
4  GOD KNOWS WHY Jun15 May27 May12 Apr21 Apr06 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 1.40 67% 0.50    
5  SLICKLICKOFALIVING Jun21 Feb10       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 4.50 ★    
6  SUGAR FOR DEBBIE Jun15         (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
7  LOVE ME DO Jun22 Jun08 May12     (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00    
8  LADY KATILLAC May31         (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
9  DOC'S JOY Jun21         (willis min)ERAMIA E 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  SHE'S SPELLBOUND Jun21 Jun07 May19 Jun25 Jun02 (herreros ste)SALAZAR TERESA 119 30.00    
11  DOC'S BUD Jun21 Apr19 Mar30 Mar16 Jun23 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 9% 10.60    
 
LS-9   07/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($40.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTIE Jun14 May10 Apr28 Apr05 Mar22 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
2  PHUNK May19 Apr19 Mar30 Mar15 Feb16 (young bob)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 6% 15.60    
3  BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Jun09 May25 Apr21 Mar03 Jan27 (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00    
4  THE NEXT BIG BLING Jun09 May18 Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 4.50    
5  OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Jun22 May31 Mar08 Jan26 Jan05 (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 20.00    
6  TURN ON THE BLING Jun01 Mar23 Jan20 Nov09 Oct26 (gustafson aust)QUINONEZ S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PROUD VALENTINE Jun01 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 12.00    
8  AZUNIA Jun21 May27 May11 Mar23 Mar02 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
9  HAPPY SAILOR Jun02 May19 May04 Mar23 Jan20 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
10  CRANKY SHEILA Jun16 May31 May12 Mar29 Mar08 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00    
SCR  CAJUN DOLL Jun09 May29 May04 Apr21 Mar30 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00    
SCR  LET FREEDOM BLING Jun21 May27 Apr06 Mar17 Feb04 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 124 3.00    
SCR  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Jun02 May12 Oct12 Aug25 Jul23 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.