Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-1   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/1)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1)-(6/3/5)-(7/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(7/5/6)-(2/5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-3   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(2/5/1/3)-(8/2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-4   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(8/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(8/2/4/5)-(3/1/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-5   WIN (8/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/5)-(3/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/5)-(3/1/8/4)-(3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/4)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/4)-(3/6/7)-(11/10/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-7   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(11/10/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-8   WIN (11/10/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/3/1)-(11/10/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/10/3/1)-(11/10/3/1)-(11/10/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.978K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN SUE Aug18 Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 Oct02 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
C L LEGACY Sep29 Sep18 Sep01     (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
FARRAH FOWLER Mar30 Mar15 Oct28 Oct22 Sep29 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 5.00    
SONG OF PRAISE Sep29 Sep18 Aug28 Jul30 Jun30 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 125 10.00    
REBA Apr14 Mar29 Mar15 Feb17 Sep29 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 125 2.00 51% 1.00    
OLIVIA'S HOPE May04 Apr05 Mar24 Mar03 Sep01 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
NAUTICAL MISS Sep29 Sep16 Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 3.50    
 
PRM-2   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($47.122K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL SUM IN Sep30 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun02 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00    
BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Sep29 Sep17 Sep10 Sep02 Aug05 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 116 8.00    
WON HAPPY MAMA Sep30 Sep08 Jul31     (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 116 2.50 19% 4.20    
LAVENDER LIL Sep30 Sep08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul21 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 121 3.00    
BAYLEYWICK Mar30 Sep30 Sep22 Aug27 Aug14 (foley sea)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DEMIDANU Sep29 Sep10 Aug25 Aug11 Jul24 (martin e)TOHILL S 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
 
PRM-3   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STROLLNTOTHEMARKET May04 Sep16 Sep01 Aug20 Jul30 (clay pat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  MR SNERDLY Mar30 Sep24 Sep09     (pearson m)WILLIAMS REY 124 12.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of JIAS CURLS by CURLIN)
WILY WADE Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 May28 Aug22 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
  (by DANZA out of SCARLETT'S SEQUEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
FAYES SPIRIT         (wellington tom)TOHILL S 118 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of FAYE RUNAWAY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 Aug06 Jul17 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by STROLL out of SHE'S BETTER LOUD by BRAVO BULL)
BLITZED IN BEE SIX Sep04 Aug05       (jordan to)TRIANA JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of COQUETA by TWO STEP SALSA)
SKALKAHO Mar24         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by STROLL out of AINT ANNIE GRAND by U S RANGER)
 
PRM-4   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR CLOVER GAL Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Feb23 (young nic)TRIANA JR 121 10.00 14% 5.90    
UNDECODED Apr26 Mar28 Mar17 Feb17 Jan06 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
APRETTYLULABY May04 Apr16 Apr08 Mar05 Feb08 (arceo sal)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOCHA KISS May05 Apr19 Mar28 Feb23 Jan06 (schleis casey)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Apr26 Apr07 Mar28 Mar01 Aug26 (schleis casey)CORBETT W 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
SHE'S A BIG STAR Mar01 Jan27 Dec29 Dec15 Aug19 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00    
INDY AGAIN Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 Oct14 Sep14 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50    
JERI DAWN Apr19 Apr07 Mar22 Feb11 Jan05 (martin timothy)WILLIAMS REY 124 12.00    
 
PRM-5   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME FOR ANOTHER Apr21         (martin e)TOHILL S 118 4.00    
MISCHIEVOUS MAX Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Dec30   (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCOTT CITY Apr27 Mar28 Mar02 Feb04 Apr23 (gleason tyrone)ZIMMERMAN R 124 10.00    
MAGIC D ORO         (ashford trist)BACON W 113 12.00 19% 4.20    
KHOZANTHEDESTROYER May03 Apr13 Mar23     (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOD'S GIFT TO US Apr04         (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
IRISH COAST Apr28 Apr07       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.50    
DANCIN ROCKET Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
PRM-6   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T WANT THAT Apr18 Mar28 Feb21 Nov21 Sep23 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
GATA RUNZ Apr28 Apr19 Apr06 Sep12 Sep05 (murphy)FLETCHER D 125 12.00    
PLEASINGLY May05 Apr07 Mar21 Mar01 Feb02 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
AZTEC EMPRESS Apr12 Feb02 Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 (hornsby tammy)BIRZER E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHOJO Apr23 Apr01 Mar11 Dec09 Nov25 (offolter )DE CRUZ 125 3.00    
SCR  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 Jan12 (williams mat)FUENTES A 120 4.00    
MY CAJUN LADY Mar23 Feb16 Jan12 Dec17 Oct19 (anderson l)CORBETT W 125 3.50    
HIGHWOOD Apr20 Jul02       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
PRM-7   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESENT TIME May01 Mar26 Feb13 Dec19 Nov13 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 119 3.50    
FAITH ALONE Mar30 Feb18 Dec15 Nov21 Oct12 (offolter )DE CRUZ 114 10.00    
TWO MINUTE DRILL Jan05 Dec09 Nov01 Oct07 Sep11 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
THUNDERS ROCKNROLL Dec14 Dec02 Oct27 Sep09 Aug12 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 5.00    
DIVA TREVA May03 Mar24 Mar17 Feb19 Jan12 (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 116 15.00    
LADY RADLER Mar09 Feb10 Oct21 Sep23 Aug07 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
LOVER GIRL Apr28 Apr04 Mar08 Feb04 Dec16 (williams mat)FUENTES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-8   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY DON Apr27 Apr13 Oct27 Sep23 Sep02 (mcdonald )MEDINA ANGEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
BROADWAY PETE Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Oct27 Oct22 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 123 20.00    
MONTEREY PENINSULA Apr26 Apr14 Mar29 Mar16 Mar09 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASSET BASIS Apr22 Mar26 Feb10 Jan12 Jan01 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50    
SCR  WOKE UP IN LOVE Nov01 Oct13 Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
SCR  TEMPLE CITY RUN Mar06 Feb16 Jan18 Dec07 Nov08 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 120 20.00    
CHAMPION BY DESIGN Mar16 Feb17 Dec30 Nov22 Nov02 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 12.00    
BLACK STORM Mar22 Mar03 Feb16 Dec29 Dec16 (schleis casey)CORBETT W 123 3.50    
KOSELIO Oct07 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 6.00    
10  RICKEY B Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Oct28 Oct22 (donlin la)TRIANA JR 123 10.00 14% 6.00    
11  TOPPER T Feb01 Jan07 Dec13 Oct26 Jul23 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 54% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.