Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8)-(1/6/5)-(3/9/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/9/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/9/2/8)-(5/9/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/8)-(3/9/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/8)-(3/9/2/8)-(3/9/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/2/8)-(5/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/8)-(5/9/1/3)-(3/6/8/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/4/3)-(5/9/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/1/3)-(3/6/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1/3)-(3/6/8/1/2)-(3/6/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/6/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1/2)-(3/6/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/1/2)-(3/6/8/1/2)-(3/6/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/8/1/2)-(3/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/1/2)-(3/6/4/5)-(5/7/6/1/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (3/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/5)-(5/7/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/5)-(5/7/6/1/2)-(2/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/7/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/1/2)-(5/7/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/1/2)-(5/7/6/1/2)-(5/7/6/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/6/1/2)-(2/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/1/2)-(2/4/6)-(2/9/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7/10)-(2/9/6/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/20/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN ANDRES Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Jan26 Jan13 (perkinson c)VILLASMIL EDGAR 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  DR SCHUSTER Mar22 Feb28 Feb07 Jan19 Dec27 (avila juan )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50    
3  MAGIC HOOH Apr10 Mar20 Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 (richards rena)IORIO MELISSA 119 1.40 60% 0.70    
4  SHIPWRECK Feb24 Jan10 Dec06 Nov22 Jun11 (knoll pet)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
5  CALZONE Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
6  DUKE OF DOOLY Mar30 Mar17 Mar01 Feb17 Feb02 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 126 10.00 ★    
7  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Mar02 Dec16 Nov04 Jun18 Apr26 (knoll )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 112 12.00    
8  MIDNIGHT ONYX Mar08 Feb07 Jan21 Dec16 Dec04 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   04/20/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSITIVE REVIEW Mar02 Dec22 Nov19 Oct14 Jul29 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.40 52% 0.90    
SCR  SILVER SLUGGER Mar22 Feb07 Dec05     (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
3  MR. SWAGGER Mar22 Feb18 Jan27 Oct28 Jul01 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 123 6.00    
4  ALABAMA SLAMMER Apr06 Mar08 Jan31 Jan03 Dec09 (rodriguez d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
5  SIR SAFFER Mar03 Feb16 Jan24 Dec15 Aug13 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  CONSPIRACY FACT Mar03 Feb18 Jan05 Dec15 Dec01 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-3   04/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTOLERABLE Mar29 Feb29 Feb03 Jan06 Sep14 (ramos o)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
2  RIGHT ON TARGET         (granitz antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLASS PHOTO Mar08         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 0.80 65% 0.50    
4  REMERTON Mar23 Mar06 Feb18 Feb03 Jan21 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 120 15.00    
5  DRINK N WINK Mar10 Feb18       (manchan ber)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
6  SPECTACULAR LUCK Apr12 Mar08 Jan24 Jan03 Dec22 (dini mike)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
SCR  ZHU DADDY Mar08 Jan24 Dec22 Nov22 Oct23 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
8  AGENT MOR         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PAEZ Apr03 Mar20 Dec31 Dec08 Sep07 (nunez mau)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 8.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  LONG ASTRIDE Mar08 Feb18       (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00    
 
TAM-4   04/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUILLAUME Mar30 Mar13 Feb25 Jan27 Jan14 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00 7% 13.60    
2  SIR LUMPALOT Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 Feb16 Jan19 (james gerald)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00    
3  NO MORE DEBT Mar29 Mar06 Feb17 Dec09 Oct14 (roque elis)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Apr13 Mar30 Mar08 Feb14 Feb02 (simone michael )CENTENO E 119 4.50 ★    
5  PASSAGE OF LINES Mar03 Feb11 Jan14 Jan03 Dec16 (ness jamie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 1.20 52% 0.90    
6  AZURE SKY Dec22 Nov22 Oct13 Oct04 Sep08 (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 30.00    
7  STREET GLIDE Mar27 Feb09 Jan27 Sep15 Aug04 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
8  GREYZER Dec01 Nov25 Oct20 Sep27 Sep09 (de kar)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
9  SHANE'S JEWEL Apr03 Mar01 Jan27 Jan07 Dec01 (rhone be)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
TAM-5   04/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILD PROOF Mar08 Jan27 Jan07 Dec29 Dec06 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 8% 11.50    
2  LIGEIA Mar30 Mar09 Feb21 Jan05 Dec29 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Apr06 Mar03 Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 1.00 28% 2.50    
4  WOODS HOLE Apr03 Mar08 Feb14 Jan19 Jan03 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
5  VILLAGE QUEEN Mar30 Mar15 Feb18 Jan21 Dec31 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
6  HIGH VIBES Apr06 Feb07 Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  GLITTER BAY Apr06 Jan10 Dec30 Oct17 Sep12 (curto beverly)SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
8  SERENADE A KITTEN Mar30 Mar16 Feb11 Dec15 Oct19 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00 16% 5.30    
9  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Mar30 Mar01 Feb18 Jan17 Dec30 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
 
TAM-6   04/20/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOURS IN A DAY         (pletcher a)CENTENO E 120 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  ROSSO Mar27 Jan26       (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CHAPARELLA by SERVICE STRIPE)
3  MAIN BEACH         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SIREN SERENADE by MARFA)
4  WHISKEY N SODA         (pletcher todd )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BIBLE BELT by PULPIT)
5  WHISKEY OR WINE         (rice kevin)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of CRUZIN ON IN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  ARROW SPEED Mar27 Dec02 Oct21 Sep03   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of AVIE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  SALACIOUS Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Dec28 Dec09 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
 
TAM-7   04/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR BEAT Mar08 Jan13 Jan20     (walsh brendan)MORALES PABLO 123 3.50 12% 7.70    
2  ARTIE'S ANGEL Mar30 Jan24 Dec01 Nov10 Oct10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE PENINSULA Mar30 Feb24 Jan20 Dec30 Dec15 (rodriguez d)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 2.50    
4  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE Mar30 May13 Nov19 Sep24 Aug28 (crook-demasi)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
5  WORLDS ON HIGH Mar22 Mar08 Feb14 Feb04 Jan10 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  THE SKIPSTER Mar30 Feb25 Feb03 Jan24 Dec23 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 4.50 18% 4.70    
7  BASSANIO (GB) Oct21 Sep02 Aug02 Jun25 May31 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  ANALOGY Mar30 Sep23 Aug17 Jul16 Jun18 (parra hernan)FERRER C 119 12.00    
9  SWING LOW Apr13 Mar22 Feb28 Jan26 Oct13 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 119 20.00    
SCR  NAPOLEON'S WAR Apr03 Feb24 Dec17 Oct28   (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 119 12.00    
SCR  KING RAMOS Mar13 Feb14 Jan27 Dec30 Jun10 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 2.00    
 
TAM-8   04/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PINK ROSE Mar10 Feb21 Jan03     (sacco gregory)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
2  GIRVIN'S PRINCESS Mar24 Mar10 Feb16 Jan13 Nov29 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  D'LIGHTFUL SUMMER Mar27 Feb10 Jan13 Nov29 Oct13 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
4  QUALIFICATA Mar29 Mar09 Feb10 Nov09 Oct21 (gutierrez fa)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO Aug19 Aug05       (smith r)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00    
6  BETSYLICIOUS Mar27 Feb28 Dec02 Sep08   (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAIDEN LANE Feb28 Jan03 Sep21 Aug21 Jul17 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
8  SUMMER'S COMIN Jan03 Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 Sep04 (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  CORINTH Mar27 Feb28 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 (munoz carlos)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
 
TAM-9   04/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPEREYA Apr12 Mar02 Feb16 Jan28 Dec08 (smith cra)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
2  SMART SPENDING Jul23 Jun11 Apr15 Mar15 Jan11 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  SUWANNEE CHICK Mar23 Feb24 Jan27 Jan07 Dec16 (parra h)TORREALBA LUIS 118 15.00    
4  FALL MOON Apr06 Feb07 Dec13 Sep03 Aug24 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
SCR  CHEM MAJOR Mar13 Mar01 Feb04 Jan03 Dec16 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 120 1.60    
6  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 Jan10 Dec22 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.50 12% 7.60    
7  UNWHIRLED Mar30 Mar08 Feb21 Feb04 Jan17 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  IRAZU Mar24 Mar03 Feb07 Jan20 Dec22 (jones douglas)FUENTES MARIO 118 6.00    
9  THE SWEATY FOX Mar02 Jan21 Jan03 Dec20 Oct21 (wilson tony)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
10  CINDY'S SONG Apr06 Mar13 Feb18 Jan26 Sep22 (gonzalez m)BRACHO A 118 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.