Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Sunday - February 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(1/2/6)-(5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SUN-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/6)-(6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SUN-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/6)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-5   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-6   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/1/4)-(8/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-7   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(8/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(8/4/5)-(4/8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-8   WIN (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/5)-(8/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/5)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/5)-(4/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5)-(4/8/6/2)-(2/9/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/6/2)-(2/9/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SUN-10   WIN (2/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/5)-(2/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/5)-(2/9/7/5)-(2/9/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN NIGHTS Dec05 Jul22 Jun17 Jun26 Jun12 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 12.00    
DANJERUS STORM Sep24 Aug18 May21 Feb28 Feb14 (chavez ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
KING BARON Jan05 Aug18       (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ZACH WHO Feb12 Jan08 Nov14 Oct24 Sep23 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50    
SPEND AGAIN Jan26 Jan11 Dec12 Oct06 Sep02 (gonzalez and)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 10.00    
I AM THE JUAN Feb01 Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 (morales danny)PEREZ A 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
 
SUN-2   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYE BYE BROOKY Feb08 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 (chavez ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00    
OUR SOARING ANGEL Feb08 Nov20 Sep02 Aug06 Jun24 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
I WIN LIKA GIRL Feb01 Dec11 Nov20 Nov07 Sep20 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
RAISE OUR FLAG Feb08 Jan25 Nov13 Oct14 Sep23 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 12.00    
MADDIE POPPE Feb08 Jan25 Jan12 Dec11 Nov21 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 3.00    
TURN ON ARCH Dec11 Nov21 Oct15 Sep03 Aug25 (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
SUN-3   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Red Hedeman Mile Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUNITY LEADER Jan18 Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug06 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of MIDNIGHT SUMMER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MARKING CANYON Jan18 Dec04 Nov13     (fincher leroy)CARRENO J 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MARKING out of STORMY CANYON by SCATMANDU)
HORNS N HALOS Dec20 Oct11 Sep20 Aug19 Jul21 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 4.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of HALOSOVERHOLLYWOOD by IRON HALO (ARG))
SHAME ON WHISKEY Feb08 Dec18 Nov13 Aug06 Jul21 (lambert t)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of DRINK MO HENNESSY by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
HOLY BULLET Jan18 Dec18 Nov13 Sep04 Aug20 (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 8.00    
  (by MARKING out of CRAFTY CONTESSA by GIACOMO)
SINAI Feb08 Dec20 Dec04     (marr jo)FUENTES T 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of DESERT STEPPER by DESERT GOD)
 
SUN-4   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARMER FRED R F Feb09 Jan25 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 (martinez a)TORRES J 124 12.00    
MCTHANKS Jan26 Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct29 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.50    
COMET CAUSEY Nov27 Nov06 Sep03 Feb28 Jan31 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 3.50    
SPINNING BLACK Jan26 Nov27 Oct29 Oct20 Sep03 (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
I'MAGAMBLER Jan26 Nov20 Oct20 Sep08 Aug04 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
ALL CHROME Feb02 Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 Jun11 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 2.00 10% 9.50    
 
SUN-5   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harry Henson Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE TANK Dec19 Nov28 Sep24 Aug18 Jul08 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 122 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PERICHOLE by FAHIM)
LOANA Nov21 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 Jul23 (hone bart)JUAREZ J 118 10.00 12% 7.70    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
CITYONTHENILE Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 Sep27 Sep03 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PRINCESSOFTHENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BIRDIE CURDY Feb02 Dec19 Nov21 Nov13 Aug31 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 116 20.00    
  (by UPSTART out of BIRDIE DANCE by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
CHARLEE MAE Jan05 Dec09 Nov06 Sep30 Sep14 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of CORINTHIAN LUCK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
FLYING CONNECTION Nov28 Sep30 Sep02 Jul22 May05 (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 125 0.80 51% 1.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of FREE FLYING SOUL by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
SUN-6   02/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bill Thomas Memorial Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAXON TRAVELER Feb03 Nov28 Oct13 Sep16 Aug23 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LISTEN BOY by AFTER MARKET)
PERFECT DUDE Feb11 Jan23 Dec13 Nov04 Aug13 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
MINE THAT STAR Nov28 Oct21 Oct01 May29 Apr02 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MINING MY OWN by SMART STRIKE)
ESPIONAGE Jan19 Jan05 Dec12 Nov07 Sep03 (fincher ler)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
LOCO LUNA Dec04 Nov06 Oct13 Sep11 Aug26 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WILD CATOMINE by MILWAUKEE BREW)
HOYA PARANOYA Jan05 Dec12 Nov07 Sep11 Aug20 (garrett j)HEBERT J 120 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LOST IN SUCCESS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
SUN-7   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sunland Park Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY AISLE Jan19 Nov28 Oct14 Aug06   (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROSALIE ROAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
SIMPLY ENCHANTING Jan21         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of ENCHANTE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  FLOATING BEAUTY Jan20 Dec31 Nov25     (briley lonn)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PEA by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
RASPBERRY WINE Jan19 Jan12 Dec19 Nov28   (rust terri)TOHILL S 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
RECHARGE Jan21 Dec14       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REMIT by HUCKSTER)
METHODS Feb09         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of DARING REALITY by INCLUDE)
 
SUN-8   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Enchantress Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONKY TONK HONEY Jan18 Dec19       (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 8.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of LA RITA by CHIMES BAND)
STREET MARK Jan18 Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug19 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
AMASS MONEY Feb09         (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 15.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of CLASSY DOM by DOMINIQUE'S CAT)
PAYINGOFFMYMARKER Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
MAKE UP A STORY Jan18 Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug06 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 4.00 5% 17.60    
  (by MARKING out of HOLIDAY HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
LA JOYA Dec05 Nov14 Oct08     (valdez-cabral mar)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
  (by HARRIS out of KILLARNEY ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
MARK THE DATE Jan05 Dec05 Nov14 Jun25 Jun09 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
  (by MARKING out of RENEWED VOWS by ATTILA'S STORM)
MARK THE WINNER Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 Aug06 Jul21 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MARKING out of UNOFFICIAL WINNER by ATTILA'S STORM)
 
SUN-9   02/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Sunland Park Derby Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TROUBLE (IRE) Jan18 Dec11 Aug27     (marr h)TOHILL S 122 10.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PHILADELPHIA GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
SURROUNDEDBYANGELS Jan19 Jan05       (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 122 12.00 9% 9.60    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ANGEL OF BATTLE by DUNKIRK)
CURLIN'S KAOS Jan27 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17   (garcia anto)HERRERA A 122 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of IT'S VENGEANCE by CURLIN)
LUCKY JEREMY Jan19 Oct29 Sep29     (morey willi)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of POWDER N BLUSH by WAR CHANT)
STRONGHOLD Dec16 Nov19 Oct01 Aug27   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECTATOR by JIMMY CREED)
ALOTALUCK Jan19 Dec11       (garrett j)CEBALLOS F 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of COLINDA DAWN by LUCKS MINE)
DA RINGO Jan19 Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 Jul28 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 122 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PLEASE EXPLAIN by CURLIN)
INFORMED PATRIOT Jan01 Nov25 Oct29 Sep22 Aug12 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of YAWKEY WAY by GRAND SLAM)
 
SUN-10   02/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST FEAT Jan11 Nov06 Oct06 Jul22 Mar26 (singh johnny)TORRES J 123 8.00    
JED Jan19 Dec04 Nov07 Aug18 Jun25 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
SECRET'S DOUBLE Feb02 Oct21 Oct15 May23 Apr16 (clemme)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 4.50    
AR YA WEEGEE May07 Apr09 Mar14 Sep10 Aug24 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 12.00    
JEEPS STRIDE Feb02 Jan26 Nov20 Sep10 Jul16 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ARTFUL CRITIC Feb02 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 Oct08 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00    
PLAYTHEMARKER Feb02 Dec11 Dec04 Nov20 Oct08 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  AWESOME COMPANY Jan26 Dec18       (constan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 30.00    
FLAGS FINALE Feb02 Dec04 Nov07 Oct08 Sep20 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.