Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (2/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/5)-(5/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/5)-(5/4/1/8)-(1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-2   WIN (5/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8)-(5/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/8)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/8)-(1/2/5)-(4/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/7/2)-(6/8/7/5/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
GP-4   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(6/8/7/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(6/8/7/5/4)-(6/1/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
GP-5   WIN (6/8/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/1/5/2)-(2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
GP-6   WIN (6/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/2)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/2)-(2/4/7)-(2/10/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-7   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(2/10/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(2/10/7/3)-(4/3/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/10/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/7/3)-(2/10/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/7/3)-(2/10/7/3/1)-(2/10/7/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/7/3)-(4/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-9   WIN (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   02/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A RING THING Feb08 Jan11 Nov11 Oct13 Oct01 (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
2  CURRENT SITUATION Jan01 Dec07 Nov11 Sep04 Jul11 (garoffalo jose)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 33% 2.10    
3  KHOSEA Feb07 Jan10 Dec14 Nov11 Oct14 (mongeon kath)ZAYAS J 123 2.50    
4  NANA FANNY Jan28 Jan01 Nov18 Oct13 Sep02 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00 13% 6.50    
5  RUNAWAY BREEZE Jan20 Dec07 Oct28 Oct01 Aug26 (o'connell kath)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RADIANT GEM Jan28 Jan01 Dec07 Nov18 Oct29 (passle)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 30.00    
7  TEMPEREYA Jan28 Dec08 Nov18 Nov11 Sep07 (dobles elizabet)PEREZ EDGAR 123 15.00    
 
GP-2   02/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 4UP M/F PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLYMPIC ARTIST Jan18 Jun12 May06 Apr07 Feb18 (cibelli jane)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MINESTORM by MINESHAFT)
2  UNCAPTURED DOVE Sep09 Aug11 Jul21 Jun10   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of MY SWEET DOVE by HELLO BROADWAY)
3  QUEEN VALENTINA Jan26 Dec17 Sep09     (garcia rodo)MELEAN J 123 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NEED TO BELIEVE by HOLY BULL)
4  STREET CHARITY Jan18 Jan07 Dec14 Oct28 Oct08 (margotta anth)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SUPER HOLIDAY by SUPER SAVER)
5  DEFINITE DIVA Jan19 Apr22       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.60 30% 2.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PRETTY PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  FAMOSA Apr22 Feb18 Jan15     (sano antonio)BRAVO J 123 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LOVEOFALIFETIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  CALL ME PENNY Jan18 Sep27 Aug23 Aug03 Oct28 (caramori edua)MORALES ANGEL 123 6.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
8  APPLAUSE Nov24 Aug04       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MAGIC by AMERICAN CHANCE)
 
GP-3   02/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACLIN Feb01 Jan01 Dec02 Aug05 Apr08 (klesar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  LAST SHIFT Feb01 Jan17 Dec26 Jul29 Jul07 (sano antonio)RIOS M 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  PAYNTED BLUE Dec24 Dec10 Jan06 Nov17   (grainger wil)ZAYAS J 123 1.80    
SCR  BOOYAH Jan12 Oct13 Sep05 Aug11 Jun21 (viands gregor)MORALES ANGEL 123 20.00    
5  BLUE SOLDIER Jan01 Dec10 Oct22 Sep17 Sep08 (gonzalez javier)SERPA ANGEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BERNARDO'S LEGACY Feb01 Jan17 Jun25 Jun11 May20 (rodriquez rode)REYES LEONEL 123 10.00    
SCR  WHISKEY AND WINE Feb01 Jan11 Oct12 Aug03 Jul14 (viands gregory)PANICI LUCA 123 15.00    
 
GP-4   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST TAKE NOTES Jan17 Dec07 Sep24 Sep01 Aug06 (rodriq)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
2  MARSHMALLOW QUEEN Jan04 Nov10 Oct15 Aug27   (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 5.00 9% 10.40    
3  KOZEM Dec26 Dec07 Oct21 Sep29 Aug05 (coy ronald)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
4  KHOZY COLBY Jan25 Dec26 Dec07 Nov10 Sep10 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  AMY THE BUTCHER Jan21 Sep16       (miller herbe)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 10.00    
SCR  MIGUEL'S BELLE Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 Dec07 Nov04 (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.00    
7  KIKI Dec15 Dec03 Oct08 Sep15 Aug20 (alvarado juan)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
GP-5   02/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLOVERNOW BABYBLU Jan11 Nov22       (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
2  LADY MONIQUE Feb01 Jan06       (preciado g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
3  PLATINUM ROCKER Jan31 Dec28 Dec01 Nov10 Oct14 (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
4  MISS MUTZ Jan19         (stormfelt julie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIZZLE         (alvarado juan)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUTTERFLY QUEEN Jan25 Dec29 Nov29 Oct11 Sep16 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 44% 1.30    
7  MY LITTLE SECRET Jan21         (stormfelt julie)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOUSE OF MELODY Jan21 Dec01       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
9  TAKE YOUR POINT Jan12 Dec24 Sep07     (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50    
10  VILLI OLENTO Jan18 Dec09 Nov04 Sep16 Aug30 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
 
GP-6   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL TEKILERO         (hernandez a)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00 9% 10.30    
2  BLAZING TYREEK         (hurtak danie)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Dec28 Nov18 Oct23 Sep10   (margotta anth)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00    
4  BREEZE THE BAYOU Jan18 Dec10       (yates michael)RIVERA JON 111 4.50    
5  EXCLUSIVE DANCER Feb04 Oct22 Sep22 Aug25   (miller herbert)KRIGGER K 118 6.00 9% 10.30    
6  STARSHIP MOCHA Dec30 Dec03 Nov11     (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
7  AIR FORCE ROYALTY Jan18 Dec17       (yates michael)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
GP-7   02/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLESHAZZA Jan24 Jan01 Dec08 Nov11 Sep15 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
2  CALMING SEA Jan19 Jan01 Nov11 Nov03 Oct04 (wilensky her)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) Oct28 Oct12 Jul03 Jun02 May14 (stormfelt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80    
4  RECONNECTING Jun18 May18 Apr21 Mar23 Feb24 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 5.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  FAST KIMMIE Jan24 Dec17 Sep03 Aug20 Jun22 (serpe philip )ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
6  KILKENNY BELLA Jan01 Nov05 Sep29 Sep10 Jul15 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 123 12.00    
7  SHEZ SPEIGHTFUL Jan18 Jan05 Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 (labo b)RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-8   02/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 3 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPALIDAY         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DAYATTHESPA by CITY ZIP)
2  HIDDEN PRESENCE Jan21 Dec16 Oct27 Sep29 Sep02 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of INCREDIBLE GRACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  STAR PERFORMANCE Jan26 Jan11 Sep13 Aug20 Jul16 (antonucci m)EGAN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
4  PRISCILLA'S COVE Jan21         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SITUATION ROOM by SUMMER FRONT)
5  LADY MADONNA Jan07         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ROSALIND by BROKEN VOW)
6  Z TRAIN (IRE) Nov04 Sep02       (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
  (by CHURCHILL out of MNEMONIC ALEXANDER by KODIAC (GB))
7  CELEBRITY RO Jan28         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BACCHANAL LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  FINAL DRAFT Jan17 Dec14 Oct15     (casse mark)ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOWNWIND by CURLIN)
9  JUST MARYANN Jan21 Dec24 Sep08     (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  BORED NO MORE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 10% 9.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MISS LUANN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  REDO Jan28         (ortiz a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNDO by FLATTER)
 
GP-9   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING TONES Jan17 Dec21 Nov24 Nov11 Oct14 (hurtak danie)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00    
2  THOUGHT Jan12 Dec15 Nov12 Jul27 Jun25 (cazares laur)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
3  THE DISTRACTOR Jan17 Dec21 Dec01 Nov05 Sep23 (breen j)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
4  CONCRETE GLORY Jan11 Dec02 Oct15 Aug27 Mar23 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  CELESTIAL GLAZE Jan13 Dec24 Jun11 May27 Apr27 (hurtak danie)ZAYAS J 118 12.00 6% 16.70    
6  MORGAN POINT Jan07 Dec23 Dec01 Nov24 Oct21 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
7  BIRD WILDCAT Jan28 Nov18 Oct21 Sep08 Aug11 (spatz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
8  ZYDECEAUX Jan17 Dec09 Oct22 Sep23 Jul16 (narvaez carlo)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 7% 12.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.