Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAN-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(7/8/2/3)-(1/3/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-2   WIN (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/3)-(1/3/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/3)-(1/3/9/7)-(4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-3   WIN (1/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/7)-(1/3/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/7)-(1/3/9/6/7)-(1/3/9/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/9/7)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/7)-(4/5/2)-(4/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/3/8)-(6/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-5   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8)-(6/1/3)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(4/6/5)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAN-8   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAN-1   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S BELLAMY TIME Sep02 Aug08 Jul22 Jun27 Jun17 (mullins d)ORM CORY 124 6.00    
2  ONE WAY HOME Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 Jun17 May28 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00    
3  BACKSHOT Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun06 May06 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  SIRCORRI Aug12 Jul18 Jun17 May20 May06 (bentle)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
5  STUMP Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (appleton )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  SHANGHAI POINT Aug12 Jul22 Jun06 May20 Mar16 (butler ger)MOLINA F 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
7  TAPIT SAM Aug29 Aug12 Jul25 Jul08 Jun08 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00    
 
FAN-2   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY LONGBOAT Jul04 Jun06 May27 May06 Sep23 (wells )ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 12.00    
2  WINGING WAYS Aug12 Jul15 Jun25 Jun14 May28 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00 8% 11.00    
3  R H SMOAKEM Aug29 Aug08 Jun24 Jun06 May09 (wells duane)ORM CORY 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MUD ISLAND Aug29 Aug02 Jul16 Jun25 Jun08 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50    
5  SOUPER FORTUNE Aug16 Jul30 Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 6.00    
6  READTHETRANSCRIPT Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jun24 Jun06 (juarez blas)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
7  CHICKS FOR FREE Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 Jul08 Jun06 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
8  PACHI Sep09 Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jun27 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
FAN-3   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAHOKIA POSSE Aug27 Jul25 Jul11     (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by GHAALEB out of ALGONQUIN POSSE by POSSE)
2  SILVER EYES Sep05 Aug24 Jul26 Jul06 Nov13 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 5.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of DAKOTA LILL by LIL E. TEE)
3  MOLLY'S TEMPLE         (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of LADY MOLLY by BROTHER DEREK)
4  DON'T TELL ALYCE Sep02         (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 126 15.00    
  (by CASHEL CASTLE out of CHARLOTTEOHARA by CHARLIE BARLEY)
5  SKIP TO BALI Sep05 Jul11       (wilborn kevi)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SPECIAL SKIPPY by SKIP AWAY)
6  WICKED SKY Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul09 Jun13 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 120 3.00 ★    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
7  HOT N FRESH Oct14         (fridley st)SIMPSON M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BANDIDA BONITA by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
8  HER SPEAKER'S ON Sep05 Aug13       (coontz a)ORM CORY 120 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LOOKN EVEN FINER by POINT GIVEN)
9  FERGIE ATTACK Sep02 Aug19 Jul11     (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 3.50 8% 11.40    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ROYAL GUEST by GUEST STAR)
10  FEATURED POWER Aug10 Jul20 Jul09 Jun25 Jun25 (rodriguez hugo)REYES FRANK 126 10.00    
  (by GREYTAP out of SAM'S FARIT by WHEATON)
 
FAN-4   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINA'S TAPIZAR Aug26 Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 118 8.00    
2  SLEEPY CAT Aug06 May11 Apr09     (wells duane)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
3  HIGHTAILING IT Sep02 Aug19       (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 4.50    
4  CARICIA Aug19 Jul08       (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  BLAZE BEAUTY Aug02 Jul09 Jun07 May21 Apr06 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  WILDWOOD GHALY Sep05 Nov13 Oct23     (becker sco)SIMPSON M 126 4.00    
7  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Sep04 Aug05 Jul06 Jun10 May27 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
FAN-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY LOOKER Aug29 Aug12 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 (fridley st)SIMPSON M 120 6.00    
2  CANTOO Sep02 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00    
3  GHAALEB'S CITY Aug29 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Aug23 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  BE MY BESTIE Aug15 Aug02 Jun21 May25 May04 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
5  SHINE DOWN Aug29 Aug12 Jul22 Jun06 May23 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 10.00    
6  FROSTED ECLAIR Aug31 Aug06 Jul30 May31 May11 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 6.00 ★    
7  MOON PIES IMAGE Aug29 Aug12 Jul22 Jun20 Jun06 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.50    
8  MUD HUT Aug20 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 Apr20 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAN-6   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Sep03 Aug23 Jul26 Jun18 Jun08 (rodriguez )WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 7% 13.20    
2  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Mar19 Dec18 Nov16 Oct24 Oct04 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50    
3  DOROTA Aug15 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 Apr12 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RONAN Sep05 Aug17 Jul20 Jul05 Jun07 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 3.50    
SCR  SET THE PACE Sep09 Jul31 Jun25 May28 Apr02 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 124 6.00    
6  SAMARITA Sep03 Aug03 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 121 4.00 60% 0.70    
7  PALACE MAGIC Aug31 Jul16 Jun21 Jun01 May18 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
SCR  LONG TALL WOMAN Sep03 Jul26 Jul15 Jun11 May31 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
 
FAN-7   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT TO BE DENIED Aug12 Jul25 Jun24 Jun03 May06 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 10.00    
2  JULIAISON Sep02 Aug20 Aug03 Jul08 May20 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.50    
SCR  JUST A WONDER Sep05 Aug17 Jul27 Jun18 May20 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00    
4  MY MORNING GAL Sep02 Aug01 Jun17 May30 May02 (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  MISS WINDY SLEW Sep03 Aug15 Jul25 Jul15 Jul01 (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  THINK BLUE Sep02 Aug01 Jul01 Jun03 May20 (mullins d)ORM CORY 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  WILDCAT BOBBIE Sep02 Jul25 Jun13 May30 May02 (lamew l)LOPEZ A 126 4.00    
 
FAN-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE MONEY RED Sep02 Jun24 Jun03 May20 May06 (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  BRIANS WAY Aug08 Jul29 Sep24 Sep06 Aug23 (retana)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIAMND CON SUERTE Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 Jul01 Jul15 (wilbor)BAILON JADHIR 126 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Aug31 Jul19 Jun18 May28 May11 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
5  RUN THE TABLE Sep02 Aug15 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.50    
6  TRUIST Sep02 Aug19 Jul11 Jun24 May30 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 119 6.00    
7  FAST CROSS TRAFFIC Sep02 Aug19 Jul15     (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 8.00 ★    
8  SKIP AWAY CARTER Sep02 Aug19 May27 Apr29 Dec30 (mullins c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.