Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Thursday - September 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/5/2)-(7/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(7/3/4)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(5/6/3)-(8/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(8/2/7)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-5   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/5/7)-(8/2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/7)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7)-(5/6/4)-(2/7/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(2/7/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(2/7/8/9)-(1/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (2/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/9)-(2/7/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/9)-(2/7/8/9)-(2/7/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/9)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Aug02 Dec01 Oct05     (morris neil )ARROYO S 123 5.00    
2  LIFESAWINDINGROAD Aug09 Jul08 Sep15 Aug11 Jul23 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 10.00    
3  COWGIRL HOP Aug27 Jul29 Jul12 May27 May06 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
4  PAUL'S TRICKY TALE Aug09 Jul20 Oct14 Sep05   (yovanovich )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LA SANTA CLARA Aug06 Jul20 Jul08 Jun25 May26 (boniface ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 1.60    
6  DON'T ANNOY ME Aug12 Jul20 Jul12 Jun09 May24 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 1.20 66% 0.50    
 
DEL-2   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTY HEIR Aug19 Jul29 Jul05 Jun09 May10 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 10.00    
2  KIDYOUNOT Aug17 Jul22 Jul05 Jun23 May11 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TEEWINOT PASS Aug02 Jul25 Jul10 Jun23 Jun06 (lake a)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SPOKE Aug26 Jul12 Jun13 May15 May06 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.50    
5  WHAT'S TO BLAME Aug10 Jul19 Jun19 May23 Apr25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50 11% 7.70    
6  CONSPIRACY FACT Jul19 Jun28 May31 Apr22 Apr02 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
7  GREAT FACES Aug17 Aug04 Jun23 Jun09 Mar31 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 4.50    
 
DEL-3   09/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPASS RISES Aug09 Jul08 Oct26 Oct04   (lawrence james)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of FLAWLESS KID by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  SWEET PRINCESS Aug24         (dye steven)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SWEET MORGAN by SWEET RETURN (GB))
3  NONNA'S TIRAMISU Aug13 Jul08 May14 Mar19 Feb05 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NONNA MIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  SERGEANT MOLLY Aug09 Jul22       (schistl r)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 10% 8.60    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of BABY DOLL by CAPE LAZAREF)
5  EVITA Aug09 Jun24       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  THE GANG THAT SANG Aug17 Oct07 Sep05     (stidham mic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARTFULLY by RIGHT CON)
7  HEAVENLY APPOINTED Aug12 Jul15 May24     (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 1.50 33% 2.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of THE RIGHT PEW by PULPIT)
 
DEL-4   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GABBYS BIG NOTION Jul26 Jun23 Jun02 May06 Feb10 (husted ra)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
SCR  WONDER WATER Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 2.50    
3  LAWLESSNESS Aug16 Jul24 Jun15 Dec12 Dec05 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HE'S ON FIRE Aug19 Jul29 Jul19 Jul07 Jun23 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 5.00    
5  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Aug10 Jun30 Jun17 Apr28 Mar31 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
6  IM YOUR PAPI Aug16 Jul26 Jun23 Oct22 Oct05 (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 111 6.00 8% 11.20    
7  SPECTRIER Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun03 (sanchez-salo)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
 
DEL-5   09/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART WITH HEART         (blanco g)MENA E 119 8.00    
2  BOH'S N O'S Aug02         (pecoraro anthon)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  WILPIC         (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 6.00    
4  KAPADOKYA         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
5  MISCHIEFNESS         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 5.00 ★    
6  SWEET SUMMER LOVE         (nambo cesar)EVANS CECILY 119 10.00    
7  DOESN'THURTTOFLIRT         (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  OLD BAY Aug19 Aug02       (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
DEL-6   09/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLEY ROSE Aug18 Aug02 Jul12 May06 Apr15 (frock charle)ARROYO S 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  G G'S DARK STAR May27 Jan18 Dec24 Dec09 Sep24 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
3  CIRCLE OF COURAGE Aug05 Jul20 Jul05 Jun17 Dec28 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00    
4  ISLAND BELLE Jul12 Jun14 Jun05 May15 May01 (lin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY CAJUN LADY Aug11 Jul19 Jul05 Nov01 Sep03 (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 119 2.00 66% 0.50    
6  SOUTH PACIFIC Aug03 May18 Apr23 Mar26 Feb25 (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50 10% 9.40    
7  SHE SO COOL Aug23 Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 Apr20 (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 15.00    
8  EMILIA'S LEGACY (PER) Aug12 Jul27 Feb25 Jan26   (correa maxine)MARTIN MATTIE 115 20.00    
SCR  MY JO JO Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 Jun04 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 4.50    
10  PURRFECT DANI Aug23 Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
 
DEL-7   09/07/2023 5490ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABIDALE Aug17 Jul30 Jul14 Jun06 Mar20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
2  STERN CHASER Aug13 Jun25 Oct18 Aug16 Jul20 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
3  BLONDE SAMARITAN Aug24 Aug03 Jul22 Jun15 Apr28 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 15.00    
4  SISTER CLOUDY Aug13 Jul07 May14 Apr01   (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 2.50    
5  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Aug10 Jun17 May25 Nov25 Aug31 (lawrence james)CEDENO CAROL 117 15.00    
6  RECKLESS KELLY Aug04 Jan22 Jan01 Dec04   (gorham michael )CENTENO E 117 12.00    
7  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE Aug13 Apr14 Feb19 Jan22 Dec26 (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 4.00 19% 4.10    
8  FEARLESS KRISTIE Aug04 Jul21 May04 Apr13 Mar05 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 117 8.00 11% 8.10    
9  YOUENS Aug13 Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 May20 (nixon justi)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 7% 14.10    
 
DEL-8   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORK HARD Sep02 Aug19 Jul27     (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
2  SUBSCRIBED Aug12 Jul12 Jun16 May12   (machado antonio)MENA E 118 10.00    
3  CLEVER TIGER Jul12         (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 108 8.00    
4  STYLE ME ROYAL         (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
5  PLAY HARD Aug12 Jul15       (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  STREET ROCKIN Aug19         (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.00    
7  RUBYS FLASH Aug06 Jul15 Jun22     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.