Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/5)-(3/9/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5)-(3/9/4/7/5)-(3/9/4/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/5)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
ALB-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(4/2/1/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
ALB-3   WIN (4/2/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/10)-(4/2/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/10)-(4/2/1/10)-(4/2/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ALB-4   WIN (6/7/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8/9)-(6/7/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8/9)-(6/7/1/8/9)-(6/7/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   09/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR SPORT         (pierce thom)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of KEY TO MY WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SNOW BOOTS         (vaughn lonnie)MEDELLIN A 120 10.00    
  (by HOLMES out of MARIZELLA by ELIJAH'S SONG)
PAYINGOFFMYMARKER Aug06 Jul21       (fincher w)HEBERT J 117 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
LATIGO ELLIS Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09   (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.50    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of DOC'S FU PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
LOS DOS CARNALES         (aldavaz herm)MACIAS J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGH COURT DRAMA out of HIGHLY ELUSIVE by HIGH COTTON)
EL HUARACHE PRIETO Jul09 Jun23       (duree dom)VALENZUELA A 120 25.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of ZILLY by WESTERN GAMBLER)
WALK ON WHISKEY         (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 117 5.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of OLD FASHIONED GAL by OLD FASHIONED)
FOXY OUTLAW         (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 12.00    
  (by TRAIN RIDER BLUES out of GO GO JULIE by SILVER WAGON)
AARON WHO Aug06 Jul21 Jun09     (f)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
  (by COMFORT out of WEEKENDS FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  HARRYS CHANCE Jul21 Jun09       (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of I'M THE QUEEN by BOOS)
 
ALB-2   09/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT AFFAIR Jun18 Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Feb19 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 2.00    
SCR  ALMOST A STORM Jul28 Aug28 Jul23 Jun05 May13 (meridyt)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 6.00 28% 2.50    
DECK HUMOR Aug26 Jul29 Jul21 Jul08 Jun10 (l)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  HOLD ME ONLY Jun18 May14 Apr29 Mar19 Feb12 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
KICK IT Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun25 Jun19 (lavanway day)MACIAS J 119 8.00    
REINING PESOS Jul21 Jul08 Jun10 May07 Apr29 (acosta carl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
 
ALB-3   09/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.26K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT BTWEEN THE ICE Apr29 Jan17 Sep17 Aug24 Jul31 (lucero ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 7% 13.60    
BLUEGRASS FAITH Aug04 Jun23 May13 Apr29 Apr15 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 4.50 11% 7.70    
FINGLAS LAD Jul08 Jun16 Apr23 Apr08 Mar14 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 12.00    
AWESOME BID Jul23 Jun25 Apr25 Mar25 Feb21 (barraza sosa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 55% 0.80    
SHANE ZAIN Aug20 Jul30 Dec19 Nov23 Nov05 (meraz jua)AMAYA RUIZ 121 25.00    
MR GOLD MAN Jul29 Jun23 Apr29 Mar19 Feb14 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.00    
JERSEY JOE Jul08 May13 Apr02 Feb21 Jan10 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
CATS GOTTA CHANCE Aug19 Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 Apr29 (l)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
MR NAVIGATOR Aug05 Jul16 Jul03 May05 Apr22 (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
10  SHANGHAI MIKE May14 Apr15 Feb21 Jan24 Dec13 (duarte javier)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50 6% 14.60    
SCR  CANNONBALL COMIN Aug05 Jul19 Jul03 May06 Mar20 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ALB-4   09/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Downs ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE WHEN READY Jul30 Jul15 Jun11 Jun03 May21 (matt wendel)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
DUBRONSKY Aug04 Jul16 May06 Mar05 Feb21 (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 117 10.00    
WILMAS IRISH ROVER May14 Apr29 Apr15 Feb28 Jan10 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 120 4.50    
GLENDORA MINECAT Jul16 Jun23 May06 Apr15 Feb21 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 120 5.00    
MAD LUTHER Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun03 May21 (matt)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 20.00    
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jul29 Jul12 May29 May06 Apr15 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 117 2.50 27% 2.70    
ASTRONOMICAL Aug05 Jul03 Jun25 Apr18 Mar28 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
KIRBY DERBY Jul15 Jun23 May20 May06 Apr15 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 117 8.00 11% 7.90    
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 (wheeler travis)LULL E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAGIC MOSCO Jul23 Jun18 May06 Apr15 Mar12 (g)DE CRUZ 120 25.00    
SCR  EAST RAND Jul15 Jun25 Jun16 May21 Apr18 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 117 20.00    
SCR  COLOR ME GONE Jul23 Jul08 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.