Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (9/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/1/8)-(2/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/8)-(2/6/4/7)-(5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/7)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/7)-(5/4/1)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/4/5)-(4/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/5/7)-(6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(6/4)-(8/9/7/10/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
IND-6   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(8/9/7/10/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(8/9/7/10/6)-(6/7/2/12/10) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
IND-7   WIN (8/9/7/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/10/6)-(8/9/7/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/10/6)-(8/9/7/10/6)-(8/9/7/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/7/10/6)-(6/7/2/12/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
IND-8   WIN (6/7/2/12/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/12/10)-(6/7/2/12/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/12/10)-(6/7/2/12/10)-(6/7/2/12/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEO'S ROAR Aug02 Jul03 Jun07 May24 Aug25 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 12% 7.60    
2  BRENTSPENCE Aug05 Jul05 May10 Apr19 Jan07 (langemeier j)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  DO YA WANNA DANCE Aug05 Jul05 Jun08     (roggenkamp ed)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00    
SCR  HE B READY Aug03 Jul15 Jun07 May24 May03 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 115 2.00    
5  SMILE LIKE KYLE Apr19 Mar26 Mar05 Jan28 Nov17 (gorham rober)MORALES JOSHUA 119 8.00    
6  STICKER Jul19 Jun17 May29 May08 Apr18 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 115 15.00    
7  FOR MAMA Jul15 Jun29 May30 May17 Apr25 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 5.00    
8  OVERTHETOPJUSTICE Jun29 Jun07 Jun11 May18 May11 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 119 10.00 9% 10.50    
9  ELUSIVE WARRIOR Jul08 Jun15 May23     (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 115 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
IND-2   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING SOCIAL Jul15 May16 Jan14 Oct25 Sep26 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00    
2  HE TAKES CHARGE Mar16 Feb23 Feb01 Dec03 Nov16 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  INHERENT POWERS Jul29 Jul05 Jun08 May15 Apr26 (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 5.00    
4  NORDIC LIGHT Jul22 Jun10 Apr29 Apr13 Mar15 (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.50 11% 8.40    
5  DROPPED ANCHOR Aug05 Jul14 May24 Apr08   (natio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 8.00    
6  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Jul29 Jul11 Jun13 May16 Apr26 (paquett)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
7  MULBERRY STREET Jul05 May24 May06 Apr21 Mar18 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 122 4.00 8% 11.00    
 
IND-3   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIADA Jul12 Jun15 May02 Mar25   (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  SAD CAFE Jul08         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
3  NIGHT KISS Jul15 Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar18 (brownfield claud)PRESCOTT R 118 8.00    
4  JAZZY LADY Jul15 May13 Apr22 Apr08 Jan28 (van tho)RAMOS D 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
5  SELINA KYLE (PER) Apr30         (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  SKYLERVILLE Jul15 May23 May10 Mar25 Feb01 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00    
 
IND-4   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($18K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MAN Jul26 Jul01 Jun01 May19 Apr27 (blevins c)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
2  SUMMER ASSAULT Jul11 Jun01 Jan28 Dec15 Nov20 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.50 70% 0.40    
SCR  FIREWATER JAKE Jul21 May25 Mar09 Feb04 Oct12 (leonard i)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00    
4  RIVER REDEMPTION Jul21 Jul06 Jan27 Jan06 Dec11 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 2.50 9% 10.00    
5  LOADEMUPJUSTICE Jun24 Jun06 May11 Apr18 Oct12 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAJOR SPARKS Jul21 Jun24 Jun17 May25 Jan06 (wisner )DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
SCR  RACE CRAFT Jul21 May28 Apr30 Apr02 Jan01 (maker michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL KITTEN Aug05 Jul06 Jun07 May15 Apr01 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00    
9  LITTLE KANSAS Jul13 May16 Oct28 Oct15 Sep24 (michael b)BERMUDEZ E 119 30.00    
 
IND-5   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTION SEEKER Jul18 Jun24 May25 Feb24 Feb03 (roussel j)MOJICA O 124 1.20    
2  DOMHNALL Jul13 Jun24 May11 Apr19 Mar23 (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00    
SCR  FAVORABLE RETURN Jul18 May25 May15 Apr27   (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 124 2.50    
4  A LOT LIKE LUTE Jul18 Jun24       (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.00 21% 3.90    
5  HASTINGS SUNRISE         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 10.00 21% 3.90    
6  PAPA D L Aug03 May03 Mar24     (forster g)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
7  FIRE BRYAN         (patrick ga)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 20% 3.90    
 
IND-6   08/16/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($27.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NERVES OF STEEL Jul19 Jun01 Apr07 Mar05 Jan28 (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00    
SCR  PERUVIAN LUCKY Jul21 Jun15 May20 Apr01 Mar17 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
3  CADET CORPS Jun15 May06 Apr23 Mar09 Feb26 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
4  BLESS THE KITTEN Jul01 Jun01 May20 Apr15 Mar10 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ARTIE'S RUMOR May29 Feb12 Jan15 Nov11 Oct19 (leonard i)PRESCOTT R 122 6.00    
6  THE QUEENS JULES Jul03 Mar10 Feb09 Dec18 Nov12 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 38% 1.60    
7  RED FLAG ALERT Feb02 Jan12 Dec11 Nov12 Oct19 (winebaugh ch)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
SCR  LAMPLIGHTER JACK Jul23 May29 Apr29 Mar25 Dec14 (adams l)PEREZ EDGAR 122 2.00    
 
IND-7   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY MY LADY Jul20         (medina tomas)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of KINGDOM GIFT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
2  LOTTA LATTE Jul20         (patrick ga)MORALES JOSHUA 120 30.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of JONES ZING by SMARTY JONES)
3  BELLA FRANCESCA Jul15 Jun27       (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.50    
  (by SANTIVA out of JUNE'S BEST by EAVESDROPPER)
4  ONE FINALE         (roggenkamp e)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of COBRA'S LOVE by COBRA KING)
5  GO MUNECA Jul20         (donjuan sergio)HESS SARA 110 30.00    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of CLEVER GRETEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  FRONT COVER         (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOWSING out of ON THE COVER by PULPIT)
7  JEEPERSSHEZAKEEPER         (douglass de)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00 5% 17.70    
  (by PASS RUSH out of DIAL ME by DIALED IN)
8  HARD TRUTH WINS         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by PATAKY KID out of TROPHY POINT by LEMON DROP KID)
9  I MADE IT         (fosdick)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
  (by BARYSHNIKOV out of C J'S SUNRISE by ARTEMUS SUNRISE)
10  JUICY JUSTICE         (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 6.00 5% 17.70    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of AMABILE by FAIRBANKS)
11  SOLRUN         (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 120 10.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of NICE DREAMS by STRONG HOPE)
 
IND-8   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY IMAGE Aug01 May15 May03 Nov16 Nov08 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 124 30.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of RUN ALONG by RUN SOFTLY)
2  STAR REVIEW Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 May23 May08 (mullins scot)MORALES JOSHUA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of STACIA by ALDEBARAN)
3  CADILLAC JUSTICE Jul11 Jun22       (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 8.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of CORONADO CROWN by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  SARGENT HULKA Jul13 Jun24 Jun13     (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 5.00    
  (by DOWSING out of BECAUSES by COLONIAL COLONY)
5  BUGSY BREEZE Jul21 Jun22 May30 May10   (holden jay)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 30.00    
  (by DOWSING out of AUTUMN BREEZE by HARD SPUN)
6  EPIC THE LEGEND Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 May15 Nov16 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 62% 0.60    
  (by Z LUCKY out of CIERRA GRACE by PLEASANT TAP)
7  PORKYISMYNAME Jul13 Jun22 May30 May11 Apr25 (perez natasha)PEREZ E 120 4.50 8% 11.60    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of VERY BEST TRICK by ECKELSON)
8  BIGLEY HUGE Jul08 Jun17       (richardville tian)PEREZ A 120 30.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of INCREDIBLE JOURNEY by LEMON DROP KID)
9  YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Aug01         (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
  (by DOWSING out of SONATA SQUALL by DISCREET CAT)
10  TANEYCOMO Jul08 Jun17 May29 Oct17 Sep13 (paye jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of PAMPERED VOW by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  SCENIC JUSTICE Jul13 Jun22 May30 May09 Apr25 (granitz anth)RAMOS D 120 2.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of YOU BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
12  NINE POINTER Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 May29 May08 (short j)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of MISS CHATTY CAT by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.