Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-2   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-3   Win (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-4   Win (3/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-5   Win (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-6   Win (8/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-7   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-8   Win (7/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRETCH THE TRUTH Jul27 Jun22 May19 Mar10 Jan25 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
PRINCE OF FENTON Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 May13 Apr01 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX) Jul27 Jun27 May26 May13 Mar30 (ramos agost)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
WIDGET FACTORY Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
PROTA Jul27 Jul21 Jun24 Apr14 Mar10 (sanderson s)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
GRAND FIBER Jul27 Jun22 May27 Apr28 Mar09 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
 
CT-2   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS INTENSITY Jul20 Jul06       (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 110 30.00    
MALIBU YEARS         (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50    
SCR  PARALLAX VIEW         (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00    
ILIKEFUNSIZE Jul19 Jun18       (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 61% 0.60    
SOMESUGARNSPICE Jul20 Jul06       (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
MAD SWANN         (farrior antho)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  HONESTLY OLIN'S Jul20         (contreras javier)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
 
CT-3   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANAROLA Jul01 May13 Apr13 Mar11 Mar01 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
FANCY HER UP Jul07 Jun15 May27 Nov11 Oct22 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
SECRET CASTLE Jul28 Jun17 May25 Apr13 Mar30 (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
COACH RUBE Jul28 Jul01 Jun20 Jun03 May13 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
SILKY SERENA Dec01 Nov09 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.40 52% 0.90    
EMBERLY Jul27 Jul01 Jun15 May27 May12 (ramos agost)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ THE REASON Jul28 Jul14 Jun03 Apr20 Mar24 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
 
CT-4   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRECT THE CAT Jul20 Jul06       (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
YES TO LOVE Jul20         (lucas antho)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
NAVY BAND Jul20         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
MAKANI Jul13         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
MARGARITA SUNSET         (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAWAY BEAUTY         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
MITOLE CANDY         (farrior antho)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jul20 Jul06       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGY MON Jul15 Jun24 May28 Apr27   (eubanks annet)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 51% 0.90    
AW ITE Jul20 Jun27 Jun19 May21 May01 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG DADDY D R Jun15 May13 May05 Apr21 Mar30 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER Jul28 Jun09 May13 Apr21 Mar30 (brown ke)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
BE BE BOP Jul20 Jul07 Apr28 Mar16 Feb22 (davis billy)BOCACHICA J 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
BARRY KARAFIN BETS Jul20 Jul07 May28 Apr07 Jun02 (cornwell james )RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
NOMO RON Jul25 Jul07 May13 Apr28 Feb03 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
FLAMING EAST Jun03 May13 Apr06 Mar26 Feb20 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
 
CT-6   08/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERECOMES SCARLETT Jul29 Jul09 May18 Apr28 Apr16 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
ECLIPTICALS SHORTY Jul01 Jun02 Apr11 Mar04 Feb01 (stites w)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
RIA FORMOSA Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 May13 May07 (lucas anthony)CARRASCO CARLOS 124 5.00 7% 13.50    
NELLY TOO Jul20 Feb05 Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
JERSEY COAST Jun03 Mar19 Jan23 Nov09 Oct19 (romero rafael)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
MARQUET CLASSIC Jul20 Jun22 May04     (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 11% 8.20    
THE MONEY MACHINE Jul07 Jun15 May07 Mar10 Feb22 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
CONNECTING FLIGHT Jun17 May13 Apr23 Mar31 Feb23 (magee ki)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
 
CT-7   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE IS BONAFIDE Jul13 Jun17 Jun03 May05 Apr21 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
ADDY'S LADDY T N T Jun15 Jun02 May13 Apr16 Mar26 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
ROAD PARTY Jul06 May25 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 (grigsby antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 73% 0.40    
DAN THE MAN CAN Jun30 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Sep09 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ATLANTIC VAQUERO Jul29 Jun22 Jun01 May04 Feb24 (perez ern)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00    
LION OF THE SEA Jun17 Jun03 Apr15 Mar25 Mar16 (grams c)MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00    
MARK DID IT Feb18 Feb01 Jan19 Jan07 Nov24 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S ORIENTATE Jun24 Jun11 May20 Mar26 Nov05 (heil nanc)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 12.00    
FIZBO Jul06 Jun15 May05 Jun16 May15 (allard t)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   08/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMONING DENIS Jul20 Jul06 Jun03 Nov26 Nov05 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50    
JUST CALL ME AL Jul20 Jul01       (perry lawrence)WHITACRE GRANT 120 3.50 11% 8.50    
SCR  KING OF LUCK Jul28 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 May18 (ramos mig)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jul22 Jul06 Apr22     (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCARE DEM Jul20 Jul06 Jun10 May18 Jul29 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
RED SPEAK PLEASE         (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
MOON FALL Jul06 Jun01 May18     (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
I SEE NOTHING Jul21 Jun16 Apr27     (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
CIDERHOUSE WAY Jul01 Jun03       (greaves ver)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Jul28 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (jackson angelo )RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.