Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/6)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/2/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(3/1/5/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6)-(3/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/6)-(3/1/5/8)-(1/7/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/8)-(1/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/8)-(1/7/5/2)-(8/7/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/2)-(8/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/2)-(8/7/6/3)-(3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/3)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/3)-(3/4/7)-(7/4/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/9/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/9/4/6/7)-(3/9/4/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(7/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRETCH THE TRUTH Jul27 Jun22 May19 Mar10 Jan25 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
PRINCE OF FENTON Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 May13 Apr01 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX) Jul27 Jun27 May26 May13 Mar30 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
WIDGET FACTORY Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
PROTA Jul27 Jul21 Jun24 Apr14 Mar10 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
GRAND FIBER Jul27 Jun22 May27 Apr28 Mar09 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
 
CT-2   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS INTENSITY Jul20 Jul06       (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 110 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MALIBU YEARS         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PARALLAX VIEW         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00    
  (by KLIMT out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
ILIKEFUNSIZE Jul19 Jun18       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 61% 0.60    
  (by UPSTART out of FRENCH SADIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SOMESUGARNSPICE Jul20 Jul06       (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
MAD SWANN         (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
  (by BLOFELD out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  HONESTLY OLIN'S Jul20         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of OLIN'S HONOR by UNCLE MO)
 
CT-3   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANAROLA Jul01 May13 Apr13 Mar11 Mar01 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
FANCY HER UP Jul07 Jun15 May27 Nov11 Oct22 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
SECRET CASTLE Jul28 Jun17 May25 Apr13 Mar30 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
COACH RUBE Jul28 Jul01 Jun20 Jun03 May13 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
SILKY SERENA Dec01 Nov09 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.40 52% 0.90    
EMBERLY Jul27 Jul01 Jun15 May27 May12 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ THE REASON Jul28 Jul14 Jun03 Apr20 Mar24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
 
CT-4   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRECT THE CAT Jul20 Jul06       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
YES TO LOVE Jul20         (lucas ant)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHE'S A PROBLEM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
NAVY BAND Jul20         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
MAKANI Jul13         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
MARGARITA SUNSET         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of DAIQUIRI by ROCK SLIDE)
RUNAWAY BEAUTY         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
MITOLE CANDY         (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
  (by MITOLE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jul20 Jul06       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
 
CT-5   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIGGY MON Jul15 Jun24 May28 Apr27   (eubanks ann)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 51% 0.90    
AW ITE Jul20 Jun27 Jun19 May21 May01 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG DADDY D R Jun15 May13 May05 Apr21 Mar30 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER Jul28 Jun09 May13 Apr21 Mar30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
BE BE BOP Jul20 Jul07 Apr28 Mar16 Feb22 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
BARRY KARAFIN BETS Jul20 Jul07 May28 Apr07 Jun02 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
NOMO RON Jul25 Jul07 May13 Apr28 Feb03 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
FLAMING EAST Jun03 May13 Apr06 Mar26 Feb20 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
 
CT-6   08/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERECOMES SCARLETT Jul29 Jul09 May18 Apr28 Apr16 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
ECLIPTICALS SHORTY Jul01 Jun02 Apr11 Mar04 Feb01 (stites w)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
RIA FORMOSA Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 May13 May07 (lucas antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 124 5.00 7% 13.50    
NELLY TOO Jul20 Feb05 Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
JERSEY COAST Jun03 Mar19 Jan23 Nov09 Oct19 (romero rafael)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
MARQUET CLASSIC Jul20 Jun22 May04     (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 11% 8.20    
THE MONEY MACHINE Jul07 Jun15 May07 Mar10 Feb22 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
CONNECTING FLIGHT Jun17 May13 Apr23 Mar31 Feb23 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
 
CT-7   08/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE IS BONAFIDE Jul13 Jun17 Jun03 May05 Apr21 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
ADDY'S LADDY T N T Jun15 Jun02 May13 Apr16 Mar26 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
ROAD PARTY Jul06 May25 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 73% 0.40    
DAN THE MAN CAN Jun30 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Sep09 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ATLANTIC VAQUERO Jul29 Jun22 Jun01 May04 Feb24 (perez e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00    
LION OF THE SEA Jun17 Jun03 Apr15 Mar25 Mar16 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00    
MARK DID IT Feb18 Feb01 Jan19 Jan07 Nov24 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S ORIENTATE Jun24 Jun11 May20 Mar26 Nov05 (heil na)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 12.00    
FIZBO Jul06 Jun15 May05 Jun16 May15 (allard t)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   08/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMONING DENIS Jul20 Jul06 Jun03 Nov26 Nov05 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
JUST CALL ME AL Jul20 Jul01       (perry lawren)WHITACRE GRANT 120 3.50 11% 8.50    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CALLER WHAT U WANT by CALLER I. D.)
SCR  KING OF LUCK Jul28 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 May18 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of HILARIOUS GIFT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jul22 Jul06 Apr22     (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
SCARE DEM Jul20 Jul06 Jun10 May18 Jul29 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
RED SPEAK PLEASE         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
  (by TUP TAKE' PLEASE out of MISS SPEAK by ORATORY)
MOON FALL Jul06 Jun01 May18     (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
I SEE NOTHING Jul21 Jun16 Apr27     (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUCHO BLESSINGS by MACHO UNO)
CIDERHOUSE WAY Jul01 Jun03       (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of APPLE VALLEY MISS by POINT GIVEN)
SCR  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Jul28 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.