Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/4/1)-(6/5/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/5/4)-(2/6/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/6/4)-(1/6/4/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(1/6/4/3)-(1/3/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (1/6/4/3)-(1/3/7)-(5/3/6/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/3/7)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/09/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A POSE Jul24 Jul11 Jun19 May29   (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 112 3.00    
JACKIE'S THUNDER Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
MILAN OHIO Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 1.60    
BIG BIG ENERGY Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 1.40 65% 0.50    
NONO MIDNITE Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 (johnston donna)BALROOP SVEN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-2   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LANGSKIP Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 May22 Sep12 (miller blair)AEBLY FRASER 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
MORO OUTLAW Jul26 Jul02 Jun15 Jun08 May14 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 4.00    
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 Aug31 (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00    
AT THE LYRIC Jul17 May22 Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 (miller blair)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT PIO Jul26 Jul10 Jun24 May29 May12 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 3.00    
MY NOAH Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun21 May06 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 1.00 71% 0.40    
 
ASD-3   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTO DEL LUPO Jul26 Jun20 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 20.00    
FINE SOFT MORNING May29 Apr16 Mar17 Feb20 Apr23 (cole terry)TARASENCO P 124 2.50    
FAVORITE LIGHT Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 May23 Apr30 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 8.00    
LOOKIN FOR KICKS Jul19 Jul05 Jun20     (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 12% 7.70    
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Jul26 Jul10 Jun28 Jun04 May18 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
FORITTABLE Jul04 Jun06 Dec11 Dec02 Nov06 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.20 34% 1.90    
 
ASD-4   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Graduation Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPROCK Jul04         (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 120 20.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of STAGE CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN Jul04         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by RELOAD out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
SCR  SILVER JAGUAR Jul04         (brown jared)CARRENO J 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
DANCINGINTHECREEK Jul04         (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MIDNIGHT SHADOW by TRAJECTORY)
SCR  SHIVER Jul10         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DIRTY SHAME by IDE)
PICKIN' RIFFS Jul24 Jul04       (miller blair)TARASENCO P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHARP A by LIMEHOUSE)
KONTIE Jul25 Jul04       (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 117 4.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MILK RUN by RUNNING STAG)
 
ASD-5   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Jul25 Jun12 May30 Sep26 Sep05 (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 123 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCARLETT'S FLOWER Jun19 Oct28 Oct14 Sep27 Jul29 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00    
LIVING SKY Jul31 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARGOT'S GIRL Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 May22 Apr05 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 118 5.00 9% 10.00    
SKY TIZZY Jul12 Jun26 Jun21 May23 Apr22 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 10.00    
TAPITURE WAY Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 May22 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 3.00 10% 9.30    
MO ARETHA Jul19 Jun15 May10 May03 Mar28 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 117 2.00    
 
ASD-6   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Aug02 Jul10 Jun27 Apr29 Feb10 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 114 3.00 43% 1.30    
DIAMOND GRAND Aug02 Jul10 Jun02 May13 Apr30 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.50    
OTTER POP Aug02 Jun09 Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MIDSUMMER SOIREE Aug01 Jun18 Jun08 May11 Apr21 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 8.00    
SILVERCREEK LADY Jul12 Jun27 Sep27 Sep05   (brown jared)CARRENO J 119 2.00    
STAN'S STARLET Jul26 Jun23 Jun11     (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 119 10.00    
DIANE'S WISH Jul24 Jul11 Jun21 May29 Sep20 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 20.00 12% 7.50    
 
ASD-7   08/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIM'S TEXAS BLING Aug01 Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.50    
FLYING TO THE LINE Jul25 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 Feb21 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
THATSALOTOFBLING Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May29 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
CORDILLERA Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 Oct14 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 123 6.00    
SAVAGE LOVE Jul19 Jun20 Jun05 Sep26 Sep12 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
HARLONS COMMISION Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 May14 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Sep28 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.