Handicappers' Racing Form

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Hawthorne
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-2   Win (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-3   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-5   Win (8/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-6   Win (6/7/5/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
HAW-7   Win (7/3/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
HAW-1   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAN THE CAMERAMAN Jun25 Jun07 May21 May04 Apr16 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
FROSTED TEMPTATION Jul06 Jun14       (robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  CRUISING ALTITUDE Jul12 Jun07 Aug09 Jul23   (bahena fern)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
CHERRY ORCHARD Jul19 Jul05 Jun25 Jun15 Jun07 (hughes w)COLON H 120 4.00    
FLYING CRICKET Jul06 Jun07 May07 Mar26   (witthauer k)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
UNCAPTURED DREAM Jul13 Jun25 Jun07 May25 Apr29 (watkins james )GILES EMMANUEL 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
BLACK RUSSIAN Jul13 Jun25 Jun07 May25 Apr30 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 8.00    
 
HAW-2   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYCLONE ATTACK Jun15 May31 Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 (childers va)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
NULLARBOR Jul08 Jun15 Apr09 Feb11 Jan06 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.50    
MAN ON ATTACK Jul16 Jun21 May28 May07 Apr16 (childers vance)GILES EMMANUEL 113 10.00    
DANCE SOME MO Jun18 Jun04 Mar05 May30 May07 (rosin w)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
MAD DRAGON Jun25 May25       (bigelow e)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
FREDDY J Jun15 May26 Apr06 Oct01 Aug01 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
FOLLOW THE SIGNS Jul16 Jun14 May18 Apr23 Apr02 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-3   07/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZEONDEC May18 Apr13 Feb24 Jan28 Jan13 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 6.00    
SHARP AZ NAILS Jul16 Jun25 May28 Mar05 Feb03 (winebaugh cher)GILES EMMANUEL 113 2.00 29% 2.40    
MINNESOTA MOON Jul06 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr13 (block chris)MOJICA O 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
SLAVA UKRAINI Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 May28 Apr30 (zawitz joel)COLON H 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  GOLD SMOKE Jul12 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr09 (essenpreis edw)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
T LAW May29 May15 Apr29     (kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 8.00    
 
HAW-4   07/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESLAN Jul09 Jun10 May27 May04 Apr09 (wainwright john)FELIX E 118 8.00    
GLOBAL EMPIRE Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 May14 Apr27 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00 10% 9.00    
HIGH BROW Jun29 May31 May04 Apr06 Mar19 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
PATH TO SUCCESS Jul09 Jun18 May31 May04 Apr13 (rodriguez edua)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
CONI'S COUP Jul09 Sep23 Aug22 Aug01 Jun17 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50    
SOUPER FORTUNE Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 May11 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   07/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOM'S TOWN Dec03 Nov12 Oct03 Sep05 Aug23 (rivelli larry)COLON H 118 8.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  JULYNNE Jul18 Jun20 May30     (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 10.00    
FROSTED ECLAIR May31 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar12 (watkins james )GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
R KATIEBUG Jul12 Jun07       (boyce michele)FELIX E 118 5.00    
ROMANTIC ATTACK Jun18 May31 Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 (childers va)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
NIFF Jun11 May25 May07 Apr29 Apr13 (witthauer john )HERNANDEZ K 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRL FRANKIE Jul06 Jun18 May31 May21 May04 (rednour jr)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
SUMMER DAY Jul06 Jun18 May31 Dec02 Nov04 (mitchell anthony)MOJICA O 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-6   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL RIVER Jul13         (cristel j)FELIX E 120 8.00    
SECRET HONOR Jul11         (bahena fernan)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 10.00    
STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Jul07 Jun18 May26     (clay pat)MOJICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMBER EDGE Jul13 Jun11       (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 20.00    
WIN THE CUP         (becker scott)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50 8% 12.10    
BLACK RAVEN Jun18 Jun11       (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
LARRY THE POET Jul12 Jun15 May28     (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 23% 3.30    
MAX A MILLI         (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
POWER ALLEY Jul01 May03 Apr13 Mar24 Jan20 (forster gra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 6% 16.00    
 
HAW-7   07/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZANDREA'S Jun18 Jun04 Apr09 Dec11 Nov13 (rodriguez edua)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
NO NANNETTE NO Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 May04 Apr16 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KITTEN ROCKS Jun29 Jun18 Jun07 May18 Apr27 (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 17% 4.80    
APRIL'S GEM Jul12 Jun11 May25 May07 Apr02 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 6% 15.20    
CELESTIAL SPIN Jun04 May18 Apr27 Jan20 Dec31 (cristel j)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
MY LADY SLEW Jul16 Jun29 Jun01 May18 May07 (rodriguez j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
STACY ATTACK Jun11 May25 Apr13 Mar17 Dec31 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
GET N TIPSY Jul15 May18 Apr27 Mar30 Oct29 (haran john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
AUNT STELLA Jul16 Jul06 Jun11 May28 May07 (castro isidro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
10  EMBARRASSING Jun21 Jun04 Nov20 Oct08 Sep24 (rodriguez hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50    
SCR  TIMELESS GLORY Jul12 Jun25 Jun11 Apr26 Apr14 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
SCR  EMITYAAZ Jul20 Jun21 May04 Mar26 Feb12 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
SCR  ZENCHUA SKY Jul20 Jul09 Jun07 May23 Apr27 (castro isid)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.