Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (2/10/6/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/1/5)-(2/10/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/1/5)-(2/10/6/1/5)-(2/10/6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/6/1/5)-(1/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/10/6/1/5)-(1/5/8/9)-(1/7/8/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/9)-(1/7/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/9)-(1/7/8/10)-(5/7/4/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-3   WIN (1/7/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/10)-(1/7/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/10)-(1/7/8/10)-(1/7/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/10)-(5/7/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/10)-(5/7/4/9)-(7/8/10/4/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/9)-(5/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/9)-(5/7/4/9)-(5/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/9)-(7/8/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/9)-(7/8/10/4/1)-(11/4/7/12/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/8/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/4/1)-(7/8/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/4/1)-(7/8/10/4/1)-(7/8/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/10/4/1)-(11/4/7/12/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/8/10/4/1)-(11/4/7/12/2)-(9/2/6/7/5) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
IND-6   WIN (11/4/7/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/7/12/2)-(11/4/7/12/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/7/12/2)-(11/4/7/12/2)-(11/4/7/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/7/12/2)-(9/2/6/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/4/7/12/2)-(9/2/6/7/5)-(7/1/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (9/2/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/7/5)-(9/2/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/7/5)-(9/2/6/7/5)-(9/2/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/6/7/5)-(7/1/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODY FOUR SHOES Jun20 May25 May03 Nov14   (richardville t)SANJUR SANTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MONBA out of HOLLY AT LAW by BERNSTEIN)
TIZZY JUSTICE Jun27 Jun06 May15 Apr25 Nov10 (medina tomas)RAMOS D 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by LANTANA MOB out of KID JUSTICE by STORM AND A HALF)
THIZZLE Jun27 Jun06       (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 15.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of ON THE COVER by PULPIT)
MEAN ELENITA Jun27 Jun06 May25 May15 Apr25 (garcia israel)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 20.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of LUCY by AMERICAN LION)
REDHOTJUSTICE Jun20         (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of SISTER CRIMSON by SKY CLASSIC)
SHANGHAI EXPRESS Jun27 May25 Apr25     (west m)MOJICA O 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of BANBURY FAIRE by BANBURY CROSS)
TAMARAC LADY Jun27 Jun06 May18 Nov10 Oct19 (haran john)PEREZ E 120 30.00    
  (by DOWSING out of TAMARAC CAFE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
SEQUEEKER Jul07 Jun10 Jan20 Dec30 Nov23 (lauer mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 15.00    
  (by SEQUOYAH out of FIRENDESIRE by BLAZONRY)
NOW HERES THE PLAN Jun27 Jun06 May15 Apr25 Feb16 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.00    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of FASHIONABLY COOL by TIZNOW)
10  BEYOND JUSTICE Jun27 Jun06 May15 May03 Nov14 (nance jonath)MORALES JOSHUA 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ELUSIVE BLUFF out of GRACE OF GOLD by CACTUS RIDGE)
 
IND-2   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUDER THAN WORDS Jun27 May18 Oct12 Sep20 Aug24 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
MORE THAN GLORY Jun08 May03 Apr01 Feb26   (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 118 5.00    
SCR  BOTOX KATIE Jul05 Jun07 May18 Apr27 Nov17 (richardville t)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
DIAMOND SOLITAIRE Jun29 May30 Dec11 Nov14 Oct29 (lyster s)PRESCOTT R 119 4.00    
JAZZY LADY May13 Apr22 Apr08 Jan28   (van berg )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MAGIC PALACE Jun29 Jun03 May05 Apr21 Mar08 (forster gra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 12.00    
SCR  CLIMBER Jun29 May30 Nov23 Oct05 Sep15 (garcia genaro)MOJICA O 119 15.00    
NIGHT KISS Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar18 Feb23 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SKYLERVILLE May23 May10 Mar25 Feb01 Jan11 (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  WITS AND WAGERS Jun16 May13 Apr07 Feb04 Dec23 (oliver )DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
 
IND-3   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW THE MONEY Jul03 Jun15 Apr27 Nov16 Nov03 (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
INDOCUMENTADO Jun21 Jun09 May22 May06 Aug09 (jurado luis)ROMERO GREGORY 122 6.00    
BASSCOAT Jun21 May30 May09 Apr25 Nov23 (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 122 4.50    
GO NUTS May11 Mar24 Mar17 Jan21 Nov03 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00    
SCR  LOOKING GOOD LEWIS Jun10 May17 May08     (holden j)LEAHEY HANNAH 108 30.00    
GRAND IN BAY Jun01 May09 Nov22 Nov15 Oct26 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
JERICHO EXPRESS May24 Apr18 Oct29 Sep27 Sep09 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00 19% 4.30    
PRINCE SHIM Jun29 Jun13 May23 Apr25 Nov22 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  SAKIC Jun10 May06 Apr18 Nov16 Nov09 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL Jun21 May24       (fosdick steve)PEREZ E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLEVER KATE Jun15 May22 Nov22 Nov11 Sep29 (holden j)RAMOS D 114 20.00    
SCR  ONE BIG DUDE Jun13 May30 May09 Nov16 Oct18 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
SCR  BONNE CHERE Jul03 Jun07 May24 May06 Jul20 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 3.50    
 
IND-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALINE Jun27 May31 Sep12 Aug22   (natio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 5.00    
SUTTON'S PASS Oct17 Sep28 Aug31     (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
QUEEN D Jul05 May15 May03     (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 6.00    
CAROLYN'S ANGEL May16         (fosdick steve)PEREZ E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNBRIDLED DEVINE Jun27 May31 Apr25     (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  E Z AVENUE May31 Apr25       (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 30.00    
LUCKY LINDA W Jun21 May25 May10 Apr25   (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 120 1.80 10% 8.90    
MAE BEE RIGHT Jun21         (spicer james )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00    
EVIL MATTERS Jun13         (gorham rober)MORALES JOSHUA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-5   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($18K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESCIENCE May29 May05 Mar29 Mar07 Jan30 (thompson eri)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
KICK OUT THE JAMS Jun10 May19 Mar15 Feb15 Jan05 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
TELLER TO SING Jun13 May12 Apr19 Mar24 Feb16 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 3.00    
WICKED INTENT Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 Oct24 (caramori caio)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ARDIS Jun29 Apr19 Feb05 Jan06 Dec10 (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00    
PRETTY ASSETS Dec17 Oct29 Oct03 Sep14 Aug03 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
POLKA POLENTA Jun13 May25 May09 Mar24 Feb16 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 49% 1.10    
FIRESIDE KITTEN Jun13 May06 Mar31 Mar17 Feb16 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50 17% 4.70    
GET N TIPSY May18 Apr27 Mar30 Oct29 Oct03 (haran john)PEREZ E 119 30.00    
10  LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Jun06 May06 Dec08 Nov23 Nov12 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  BLOODY MARY MORNIN May29 Mar25 Mar04 Dec17 Oct10 (reid r)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00    
 
IND-6   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN JUSTICE Jun29 May30 May08 Nov16 Oct26 (short ricky )RAMOS D 122 15.00    
CASPER JUSTICE May30 May22 May03 Dec17 Dec07 (medina tomas)PEREZ E 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
INDIGO RICH Jun29 Jun20 Jun07 Apr25 Apr01 (riley donna)HUGHES CARLY 122 15.00    
DEVILS GOTTA GO Jun13         (nance jonath)MORALES JOSHUA 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
TOUR THE MOON Jun29 Jun13 May10 Apr19 Nov11 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
AMAZING JUSTICE Jun13 May09 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
J'S NAUGHTY BOY Jun13 May30 May09 Apr25 Nov09 (davis d)PRESCOTT R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
HE B READY Jun07 May24 May03 Nov17 Nov08 (lauer mic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 30.00    
PAYNTER'S CANVAS Jul08 Jun24 May10 Apr19 Oct10 (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
10  BOOK OF ROMEO Jun10 May30 Jul04 Jun11 May18 (holden j)SANJUR SANTO 119 8.00    
11  HUMBLE WARRIOR May31 Nov03 Oct26 Sep20 Aug18 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
12  FOR MAMA Jun29 May30 May17 Apr25 Jun21 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOULDER BAY Jun13 May09 Nov11 Oct26 Oct12 (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  ALMIGHTYJUSTICE Jul05 Jun07 May17 Nov22 Oct18 (granitz)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
 
IND-7   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWERPECKER Jun22 May06 Apr19 Nov22 Oct31 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00    
AZZARO STEEL May22 Apr26 Feb17 Dec30 Nov02 (contreras cipria)PRESCOTT R 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
BONNIE BILL Jun24 May06 Apr18 Nov22 Oct24 (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
CAP DE FUEGO Jun24 May06 Apr19 Nov22 Oct27 (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00    
FERDAN Jun15 May22 Apr26 Nov22 Oct24 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 4.00 6% 17.00    
ORO AZTECA Jun20 May10 Apr18 Nov23 Oct27 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
CIELO AZUL Jun20 Jun01 Nov10 Oct06 Sep26 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 4.50 8% 11.50    
THEDEVILSALGORITHM Jun24 May29 May06 Apr18 Oct20 (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 122 15.00    
DOUBLE TUFF Jun20 Apr18 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
IND-8   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROTARY DIAL Jun17 May11 Apr28 Jun29 Jun11 (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
ZOLO Jun17 May16 Apr26 Sep13 Aug03 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
SCR  GUARD May16 Jan15 Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 20.00    
JEOPARDY THEORY Jun17 May06 Apr08 Nov11 Oct05 (glyshaw t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
TURBO SIX O Jun17 May16 Nov23 Nov15 Oct18 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.50 9% 9.70    
KING SOCIAL May16 Jan14 Oct25 Sep26 Sep07 (wisner )DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
TOO BAD JUSTICE Jun07 Apr26 Nov15 Oct29 Oct12 (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 119 1.40 48% 1.10    
DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Jul03 Jun07 May22 Apr27 Mar24 (egbert james)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.