Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/3/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/5)-(6/1/2/4)-(3/7/6/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-3   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(9/2/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (3/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/5)-(8/6/4/5/2)-(5/7/4/2/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-7   WIN (8/6/4/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/5/2)-(8/6/4/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/5/2)-(8/6/4/5/2)-(8/6/4/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/4/5/2)-(5/7/4/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-8   WIN (5/7/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2/1)-(5/7/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2/1)-(5/7/4/2/1)-(5/7/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   06/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZ DA BEEZ KNEEZ         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of BUMBLE BEE MAMA by NOTEBOOK)
2  COPPER KAN May28         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of WILDWOOD KANTHAROS by KANTHAROS)
3  TAPITSGOTAPISTOL May28         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of PURRFECT GEM by CAT DREAMS)
4  COUNTRY VISION         (crumley jevon)JUDE JOHN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VISIONIT out of COUNTRY PLAYER by INTIMIDATOR)
5  RUNWAY HIT         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 12.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of SPICY SUPRISE by LATENT HEAT)
SCR  WHY TEXAS WHY         (b)DE CRUZ 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GAGAOVERYOU by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR  I'M GRINNIN         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of JENNIFER'S AFFAIR by NUREYEV)
8  BRINGONTHEBUBBLY         (silva miguel)FUENTES A 119 4.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of JOLLY GOOD by PADDY O'PRADO)
 
LS-2   06/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANOR BORN Jun02 May06 Apr27 Apr02 Feb20 (willis mindy)MORA GERARDO 121 8.00    
2  READY TO ROLL (IRE) May28 May05 Apr08 Mar24 Feb25 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  COLOR FAST May03 Apr22 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 (b)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  TRES SOLES May12 Apr16 Mar12 Feb18 Nov26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 5.00    
5  EXETER May28 Apr27 Mar11 Mar03 Feb17 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 121 10.00 9% 10.70    
6  CANATLAN Jun03 May28 Apr27 Mar31 Feb19 (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 4.50    
7  SUMMER LOVER May28 May07 Mar31 Mar18 Mar01 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 121 15.00 17% 4.80    
8  HOLY EMPEROR May28 May14 Apr29 Apr22 Feb28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
SCR  FROM THE HEART Jun02         (ashford)GONCALVES R 116 15.00    
 
LS-3   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENCE D'ORO Mar03 Dec16 Nov04 Sep16 Sep03 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  STANS HOME RUN May13 Apr29 Mar17 Jul24 Jun23 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00 9% 10.00    
3  TEXAS GOLD RUSH May27 Apr29 Mar31 Mar10 Feb12 (k)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
4  WILL THE THRILL May13 Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50 8% 11.10    
5  MY GOLDEN M May27 May05 Mar25 Feb05 Jan20 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 10.00    
6  FEARLESS PRINCE Jun04 May07 Apr14 Mar18 Mar10 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
7  TAPITS KASH Jun03 Apr22 Mar31 Mar03 Feb03 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
 
LS-4   06/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREAM PUFF REAPER May28         (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ROYAL MARQUE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
2  LITTLE ELLIE May28         (rangel ra)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HIDATSA by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  CRESSONS LIL CHARM May28         (silva mig)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of ARTISTIC CHARM by DUTCH ART)
4  DULCE AMANECER YG May28         (mendoza edgar)CABRERA DAVID 119 15.00 5% 18.40    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of LET'S GET FISCAL by BANDINI)
5  TEXACANA         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 6.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MIJITA by ROCK HARD TEN)
6  SHAKE THOSE DICE May28         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.00 9% 9.60    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of LUCKY DICE by MECKE)
7  BLING DANCER         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of LOVE THIS DANCE by UNCLE MO)
8  ALL AMERICAN LADY         (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
LS-5   06/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RODEO CHAMP May05 Mar11 Feb05 Dec07   (davis h)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
2  WILL TAKE CASH May06         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
3  TUNGSTEN May27 Apr23 Apr02     (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
4  DOSE'S DREAM May05 Feb05 Nov03 Oct01   (baldillez )ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
5  AARON'S SPIRIT May28 May12 Apr16 Mar12 Feb19 (b)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
SCR  STRAIGHT LUCK Jun11 May12 Apr16 Feb19 Jan20 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00    
7  BYE May27 May05 Jan31 Dec19 Sep23 (green greg)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
8  DARK AFTERNOON Apr28 Apr07 Mar09     (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 9% 9.50    
9  TOO MUCH INFO May05 Mar23 Dec09 Aug26   (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
10  MUD ON MY BOOTS Jun04 May27 Apr13 Mar31   (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 117 30.00    
SCR  MY LITTLE PRINCE Jun08 May13 Apr23 Apr07 Mar04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.00 10% 8.80    
 
LS-6   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLE EXPRESS May14 Apr13 Mar10 Feb12 Jan08 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  TOOTIE Jun03 May18 Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 (dupuy allen)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00    
3  BLING ON THE LIGHT Apr29 Mar19 Mar10 Sep14 Jul22 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  ITS MY MONEY TOO Jun03 Apr30 Apr14 Apr02 Jan16 (baldillez a)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
5  ITS A GEE THING Jun09 Apr30 Apr22 Feb24 Feb04 (b)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  A SONG FOR MICKEY May14 Apr22 Jan14 Jul23 Jun09 (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
7  PHUNK May14 Apr15 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 119 6.00    
8  PROUD VALENTINE May18 Mar25 Feb12 Dec15 Sep30 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
LS-7   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIST Jun10 May29 May14 Apr16 Mar17 (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
2  BRAZIL NUT Apr30 Mar17 Mar04 Jan20 Dec10 (montano w)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  VICTOR VALENTINO Jun10 May29 May13 Apr16 Mar31 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
4  BIG STORY May29 Apr30 Apr16 Mar18 Feb18 (roubion steve)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
5  MAJOR CONTENDER May14 Apr21 Mar25 Mar09 Feb17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 5.00 6% 15.00    
6  SOMEBODY IN TEXAS May07 Apr07       (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
7  DENS DEVILLE May28 May02 Mar14 Nov14 Oct20 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 15.00    
8  KISS PRINCIPAL Mar25 Feb26 Jan08 Nov06 Oct12 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 123 1.20 38% 1.60    
9  PLUTONIUM May29 Dec20 Nov26 Oct26 Sep26 (chaparro gay)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
 
LS-8   06/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jun02 May21 Apr29 Apr07 Mar12 (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
2  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Jun02 May18 Apr23 Apr08 Mar24 (butler )GONCALVES R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JOHN LOUIS' MONEY out of JOHN LOUIS' PENNY by CHIEF THREE SOX)
3  GOD'S GOLD Jun02 May21 Apr29 Apr07 Feb19 (martin ja)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
4  TEAM GORMLEY Jun02 Feb11       (scholl kevin)MORA GERARDO 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by GORMLEY out of DANCE TEAM by DYNAFORMER)
5  IBERIAN RUNNER Jun02 May21 Apr29 Apr13 Apr07 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 123 1.40 33% 2.00    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
6  EAGLEFORD May27 May18 Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 (bryan)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 8.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of BRIGHT PERFECTION by GRAND SLAM)
7  TEXAN FARMER Jun04 May07 Mar19     (t)DE CRUZ 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of PURE MOTHER by PURE PRIZE)
8  SECOND BATTALION Jun02         (dupuy allen)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 20.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of NINE FROM TWO by CURLIN)
9  MODOC May21 Apr23       (dodso)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 20.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of FATED LOVE by KAREN'S CAT)
SCR  TITO May21 Apr29 Apr13 Feb19 Jan13 (chaparro gay)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.