Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/8)-(1/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/7)-(6/7/1/5)-(5/6/1/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5)-(5/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5)-(5/6/1/3)-(7/5/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(1/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3)-(7/5/1/4)-(12/13/3/4/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (7/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(2/3/4/12/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/4)-(12/13/3/4/2)-(9/6/7/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (12/13/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/13/3/4/2)-(12/13/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/12/13)-(2/3/4/12/13)-(2/3/4/12/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/4/12/13)-(6/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/13/3/4/2)-(9/6/7/8)-(3/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/7/8)-(9/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/9)-(6/7/8/9)-(6/7/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/9)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/7/8)-(3/4)-(6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(6/5/1)-(6/12/1/4/11) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/4/6/11/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/12/1/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/1/4/11)-(6/12/1/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/1/4/11)-(6/12/1/4/11)-(6/12/1/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   06/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN BUCKY RUN May25 May04       (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HEAVENLY MOON by MOJAVE MOON)
2  SHERIFF RONNIE May20 May14 Apr06 Mar19 Mar04 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
3  DEAR SANTA Aug01         (delacour )CARRASCO R 126 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SIMPLY SUNNY by SUAVE PROSPECT)
SCR  CLASSIC LEGEND May20 Apr15 Mar26 Jan27 Nov20 (cole c)DELGADO A 126 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN LEGEND by CHEROKEE RUN)
5  KING JOEY May20         (woodit jose)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 109 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of QUEEN OF DENIAL by MIESQUE'S SON)
6  SUSTENANCE Sep01 Aug03       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUSTAIN by VINDICATION)
7  DEVILMENT May25         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 7% 13.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOOT Z by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  SUPER ACCELERATE May25 Feb05 Nov27 Nov04 Oct14 (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BAWLMER HON by SILVER TRAIN)
 
LRL-2   06/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC SEAPORT Jun02 May14 Mar12 Feb26 Feb10 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
2  LOVING CUP (JPN) Oct07 Sep05 Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
3  STRAWBERRY POINT May12 Mar21 Dec09 Nov28 Nov05 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00    
4  MELIPONINI BEE Jun09 May12 Oct30 Oct20 Sep17 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50    
5  LILLY SIMONE Apr20 Feb15 Jan25 Dec10 Nov19 (magana j)MONTERREY R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALLIALLIOXENFREE Dec04 Nov14       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
7  GATITA SUAVE May27 May12 Apr30 Dec03 Nov12 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
LRL-3   06/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDYNESS         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HARTIGAN by INCLUDE)
2  MALIBU SLEW May26         (salzman e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SKIPALONG by INCLUDE)
3  PASSIONED         (nixon justin)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00 9% 10.30    
  (by PAYNTER out of CERTAINLY SPECIAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  WINE COLLECTOR May26         (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 120 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CORINTHIAN'S LARK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  NEVER GREW UP         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOCIETY HILL by CITY ZIP)
6  CAPTAIN WOODROW May26         (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by KLIMT out of INGLORIOUS SONG by BROKEN VOW)
7  WYSOQUIET May26         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of G G'S DOLLY by COMIC STRIP)
 
LRL-4   06/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZYRAMID May25 May05 Sep23 Sep02 Jul29 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 6% 14.60    
2  REMUDA Apr16 Jan15 Nov23 Apr23 Mar27 (harty eoin)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00    
3  MARVALOUS MIKE May04 Mar08 Feb16 Jan30 Jan07 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00    
4  DETERMINED KINGDOM May20 Sep07 Aug14 Jul11 Jun11 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRATEFUL BRED Oct22 Sep24 Sep07 Jul30 Jul18 (meyers madiso)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  CAZADERO Nov05 Oct08 Aug27 Jan14   (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00    
7  ARZAK May14 Nov27 Oct01 Sep10 Aug05 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
LRL-5   06/16/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW AND LATER May04 Jan28 Dec03 Oct18   (mcgaughey cla)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 3.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
2  HERE'S LIAM May20 Apr15 Nov21 Oct23 Oct07 (cooney s)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of STAY HERE by DEHERE)
3  RUNAWAY STORM May11         (west ethan )RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of RUNAWAY BETTY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
4  SWING SAMMY May25         (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of IN STITCHES by SEWICKLEY)
SCR  MARTY'S MAGIC May14 Mar18 Feb12 Jan14 Oct13 (de horacio)NO RIDER 119 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
6  ZEVON May26 Oct29 Oct09     (hodsdon danie)KARAMANOS A 126 15.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of ZAFEEN'S PEARL by ZAFEEN (FR))
7  QUALITY ART May26 May11 Apr20     (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of NEREID by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  MAJOR NELSON May27 May19 Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 (caison l)ACOSTA D 119 30.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GREAT LOOKINBLONDE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
9  MARTINI MARTIN May13         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MADEIRA PARK by LANGFUHR)
10  NANGA PARBAT (GB) May25 Mar25 Feb25 Nov18   (saville niall)EVANS CECILY 119 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PICCO UNO by MACHO UNO)
SCR  OCCASIONAL MOON May29 May05 Mar31 Feb26 Aug10 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 119 3.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of OCCASIONALLY by TIZNOW)
12  TOOFAREASTISWEST May20 Apr15       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 1.80 70% 0.40    
  (by STREET SENSE out of EMPRESS MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
13  HARD TRAVELER May29 Aug09 Jul01 May21   (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 5.00 5% 17.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTERROOT by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
LRL-6   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST GO WITH IT Jun03 May05 Apr14 Aug27   (kee wil)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 30.00    
2  CAVALRY COMMAND Jun02 May18 May04 Apr02 Mar25 (salzman timothy)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
3  HE ROLLS May26 May04 Apr13 Apr01 Feb19 (dove ke)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
4  MUNGO MAGIC Apr30 Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 Jan27 (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 119 12.00    
SCR  AWESOME STEPHEN May26 Apr08 Feb13 Jan21   (allen ferri)ALVELO C 126 30.00    
6  HERE AND NOFURTHER May26 May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  RASCALLY REBEL Jun02 May27 May07 Apr15 Apr02 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 4.00 12% 7.00    
8  STREET HUSTLE May26 May04 Mar18 Feb25   (eubanks ann)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  GLORIOUS MAHOMES Feb26         (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
10  NATAGAR Feb24 Jan23 Dec18 May20 Apr09 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 3.00    
 
LRL-7   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAYLIGHT QUEEN Mar10         (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 119 20.00    
SCR  I CAN DO IT May04 Feb25 Jan13 Dec04 Nov04 (gamber )BRICENO GREGOR 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN CHARM Jun04         (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  NORTHERN GLOW         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
5  NEW ROME Jan01 Dec04       (corrales jose)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
6  TOO MANY KISSES         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 119 10.00    
7  CELTIC WAR CRY         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 6.00    
 
LRL-8   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENEATH THE STARS Mar24 Mar12 Feb20 Feb02 Apr16 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  SHERO May27 May08 Apr18 Feb15 Jan24 (smith everton)OCASIO M 126 10.00    
3  DECO STRONG Jun02 May08 Apr15 Mar24 Mar07 (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
4  JUROR NUMBER FOUR Dec30 Nov25 Oct19 Sep30 Aug13 (reid robe)CARRASCO R 123 3.00    
5  SELF ISOLATION May28 Mar17 Feb10 Jan21 Dec03 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.60 9% 10.80    
6  INTREPID DAYDREAM Oct19 Sep30 Sep08 Aug13   (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
LRL-9   06/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMING CHROME Apr29 Apr01 Mar09 Jan29 Nov24 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Jun02 May13 May04 Sep04   (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 119 3.00    
3  POPPY B Mar24 Sep29       (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 20.00    
4  THEOLOVESAWINNER Jun09 May19 Sep07 Aug22 Aug01 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
5  FREEGFTWTHPURCHASE Dec30         (mcclure)BRICENO GREGOR 126 30.00    
6  DISPUTED CLAIM May25 Apr14 Feb26 Feb05   (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
7  UPSIDEDOWN MAN Jun02 May04       (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 119 10.00    
SCR  BRIDGE TO SUCCESS Aug14 Jul03 Apr30 Apr02   (geralis emanu)ALVELO C 126 8.00    
9  BUBBA CHROME May06 Apr16 Mar31 Feb20 Feb03 (cox kenneth)RUSSELL SHELDON 115 20.00    
10  BLAME B B May29 May04 Nov05 Sep07 Aug23 (aguirre anthony )RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00    
11  SWIFT DANCER Jun01 May04 Mar23 Mar11 Feb02 (william)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00 7% 12.90    
12  NICK'S LITTLE BOY         (capuano phillip)CRUZ ANGEL 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.