Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/5)-(5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/6/2)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(6/4/5/3)-(3/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/3)-(3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/3)-(3/2/1/4)-(1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4)-(1/6/7)-(2/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(2/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(2/7/8)-(7/11/1/6/12) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-7   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(7/11/1/6/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/11/1/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/1/6/12)-(7/11/1/6/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/1/6/12)-(7/11/1/6/12)-(7/11/1/6/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   06/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TU ROYAL Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 Dec30 Dec03 (manley steve)EMIGH A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
SCR  GO ON GIRL May25 May04 Dec11 Dec03 Nov12 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 118 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of HOLLARFORADOLLAR by BRING THE HEAT)
MOMENT TO SHINE Dec07 Nov16       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MOMENT OF SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  DESIRED LEGACY May18 May10       (rodriguez hugo)REYES ANGEL 118 20.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of CHICA SILVER by CATIENUS)
SWEET LITTLE LISA         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIGRESS TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
ANGEL EXPRESS Nov12         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 118 10.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of HI HANNAH by BERNSTEIN)
WILDWOOD ENOUGH         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ELLENVILLE by CARSON CITY)
SCR  REBA ATTACK May25 May16 May02     (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
 
HAW-2   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALI BABY Mar17 Feb22 Jan19 Nov13 Aug29 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.80    
LITTLE BELLA         (witthauer )SIMPSON M 122 3.50 59% 0.70    
SWEET FRAULEIN May25 May07 Mar09 Jan12 Dec31 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 2.50    
NIFF May25 May07 Apr29 Apr13 Mar26 (witthauer j)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 8.00    
RUNNERS HEAT May18 Apr27 Mar30 Dec30 Dec18 (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.00 11% 8.20    
 
HAW-3   06/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AH LEAH May20 May06 Apr09 Mar16 Dec17 (schlenk jad)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
HER GOLD MINE Jun01 May04 Apr09 Mar16 Feb27 (meraz antoni)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIMELESS GLORY Apr26 Apr14 Mar12 Feb03 Jan18 (granitz j)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
SCR  TIME BREAK May11 Apr20 Mar30 Dec31 Dec16 (jansen kenny)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00    
ON A TOUR May04 Mar26 Feb15 Feb06 Dec31 (jansen kenn)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
BERTRADA May25 May07 Apr13 Mar17 Jan21 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
HAW-4   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARITA May31 May07 Apr23 Apr06 Dec31 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  ARCH FLYER May28 May07 Apr22 Apr09 Mar23 (zawitz joel)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 15.00    
WAY TOO SMARTE May21 Apr25 Apr09 Mar23 Dec31 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEAWARD May31 May17 May05 Apr23 Apr13 (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 3.00 10% 8.70    
AUNT STELLA May28 May07 Apr30 Apr09 Mar16 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LONG TALL WOMAN May31 May07 Apr23 Mar05 Nov25 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
FIRST KITTEN May31 May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
RACEDAY ATTIRE Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Feb14 Dec18 (witthauer k)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
 
HAW-5   06/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY TWENTY Jun04 May06 Apr22 Sep17 Aug16 (castro isid)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 11% 8.20    
FIRST SQUADRON May25 May11 Apr02 Mar23 Mar09 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 12% 7.60    
GOOD MONGOLIA Apr23 Mar26 Dec11 Nov25 Nov13 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
GO STORMIN GIRL May25 May02 Apr06 Mar05 Dec31 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 6% 16.50    
APRIL'S GEM May25 May07 Apr02 Mar19 Dec16 (villa francis)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
STACY ATTACK May25 Apr13 Mar17 Dec31 Dec11 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 2.50    
GOTTA B KITTEN ME May25 May07 Apr27     (gonzalez li)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00    
SCR  RANK AND FILE Jun04 May28 May18 Apr16 Apr06 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 20.00    
SCR  SHEZ RECKLESS May25 Apr18 Apr02 Mar05 Feb08 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
10  RARE ACTION ATTACK May25 May02 Nov27 Nov11 Sep23 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb15 Jan10 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
 
HAW-6   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY FAST May11         (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 114 6.00 55% 0.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of RIDE TO HOUSTON by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  TENPAK May20 May06 Apr23 Mar26   (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 12.00    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of SILVERLITE J C by AIRDRIE APACHE)
SCR  LARRY THE POET May28         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 3.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of OCTAVIA by SWAIN (IRE))
BLACK RAVEN         (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
AMBER EDGE         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of MY LADY MUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
WILDWOOD MINISTRY May27         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of RIDDLE ME THIS by BOONE'S MILL)
GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS         (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of WAYNE'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  TAHOE RUN May28 May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 119 2.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of TAHOE DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
 
HAW-7   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN HORNET Apr06 Mar12 Feb25 Jan06 Dec10 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 122 3.50    
W W SCOUT'S HONOR May28 May06 Mar30 Dec03 Oct29 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.00 51% 1.00    
HUEY ATTACK May28 Nov27 Oct29 Oct08 Aug05 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
WENT WEST Oct02 Feb21       (roussel j)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
CAN MAN DO Apr30 Apr06 Mar09 Jan12 Dec31 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
SCR  TAPE TO TAPE Jun09 Apr29 Mar30 Feb26 Feb03 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50    
OMAHA RED May25 May07 Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
NAVY SEAL (IRE) May06 Apr22 Mar26 Feb05 Jan01 (knott s)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 8% 11.60    
 
HAW-8   06/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNABLUE May21 Apr23 Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
DIAMOND DAVE May27 Apr20 Mar16 Nov18 Oct08 (childers vance)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE May28 Apr16 Mar15 Feb03 Dec14 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 12.00    
SCR  EVERLOVINGHAND May27 May09 Apr13 Mar19 Feb21 (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
MITZRAYIM May07 Apr16 May13 Mar26 Jan16 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 30.00    
BAKENEKO May21 Apr20 Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
IOYA AGAIN May21 Apr23 Mar24 Feb09 Dec31 (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
DRAMATIC KITTEN May21 Nov26 Nov13 Nov06 Oct15 (cook brian)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
SON OF GRACE Jun04 May25 May14 Apr30 Apr13 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 15.00    
10  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS May14 Apr23 Dec17 Dec04 Nov20 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
11  BIG BLUE Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 Dec09 Nov04 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
12  MALIGATOR May21 Sep23 Aug24 Jun24 Jun04 (reid r)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON DELIGHT Jun01 May21 Apr20 Apr02 Mar12 (castro isidro)FELIX E 124 5.00    
SCR  GO FOR SHERRIE May27 May03 Nov16 Oct27 Sep26 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.