Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (1/3)-(6/1/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/1/7/5)-(5/7/1/4) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
WO-2   WIN (6/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/1/7/5)-(5/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/5)-(5/7/1/4)-(1/5/9/7) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-3   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(1/5/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/4)-(1/5/9/7)-(3/7) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
WO-4   WIN (1/5/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/7)-(1/5/9/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/7)-(1/5/9/7/2)-(1/5/9/7/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (1/5/9/7)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/7)-(3/7)-(8/4/2/1) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
WO-5   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/2/8)-(3/7/2/8) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (3/7)-(8/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(8/4/2/1)-(1/3) 16 $0.20 $3.20 
WO-6   WIN (8/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/4/2/1)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/1)-(1/3)-(5/3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (1/3)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/3/4)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
WO-8   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/4/5)-(5/4/8) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-9   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WO-10   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/8/1/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICKLE HER TOE Apr22 Dec08 Nov03 Oct07 Sep15 (powell dal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Dec11 Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 123 10.00 ★    
3  LOADED VIXEN Nov03 Oct07 Aug27 Jul24 Jun17 (dunslow m)WILSON JAYNE 123 4.00 14% 6.40    
4  GREEN GABLES Nov24 Nov10 Oct29 Oct06 Sep04 (macrae donal)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 1.60    
SCR  NO WHAMMIE Dec10 Oct30 Sep24     (dunslow a)HUSBANDS P 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  AWILDAS TREASURE Dec01 Nov17 Oct20 Sep15 Aug25 (powell da)SEECHARAN A 123 15.00    
7  OHEAVENS Dec11 Nov24 Nov12 Oct09 Oct01 (mcpherson )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 8.00    
 
WO-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 3 ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORY'S HOLIDAY Oct14         (dixon patric)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 10.00 13% 6.60    
2  GIVE ME MY MONEY Nov27 Nov10 Oct02 Aug28 Aug12 (tharrenos wi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 2.00    
3  GRAND AMBITION Dec11 Nov11       (ritchie sarah)MORAN DAVID 118 6.00    
4  ARNIE P Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct13 Sep18 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 10.00    
5  PREETZAH'S STAR Dec11 Dec04 Nov13 Oct30 Sep10 (raghunath raven)HOYTE JASON 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DO THE GRIDDY Dec01 Nov11 Oct02 Sep10   (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
7  MANETKA Dec04 Nov13 Oct27 Oct14 Sep25 (tharrenos w)WENC C 118 20.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  BIG RANSOM Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 Oct09 Sep10 (mcclachrie deny)VIVES SOFIA 113 2.50    
 
WO-3   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREST B Dec01 Oct29 Oct01 Sep09 Aug12 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 117 6.00 9% 9.90    
2  MONEY MATTERS Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 Aug05 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00    
3  TRICKY MAGICIAN Dec10 Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 (armata vito)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.50    
4  MASTER SPY Apr23 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Oct27 (russo joe)SEECHARAN A 122 8.00 6% 14.50    
5  BET Dec11 Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Sep04 (ladauceur ha)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  MAYITO Nov27 Nov19 Nov03 Oct24 Oct03 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 122 15.00    
7  HONEY WON'T Nov18 Nov06 Oct02 Aug25 Jul24 (russo s)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
WO-4   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3 F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALABRIAN QUEEN Mar18 Feb18 Jan22     (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of MISS METEOR by TRAPPE SHOT)
2  MORAL TURPITUDE Feb05 Jan08 Dec11 Oct16   (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 116 10.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of JADE PRINCESS by TAPIT)
3  CANDY WINE         (bell dave)MORAN DAVID 118 12.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of MINI CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  ELYSIAN FIELD Feb05 Jan08 Aug25     (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 118 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELYSIAN by KRISKRIS (IRE))
5  TIMELESS ELEGANCE         (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by WAR FRONT out of L' AGE D'OR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  TOWN'S A BREEZE Feb12         (carroll josie)STEIN JUSTIN 118 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DIXIE AND A BREEZE by DIXIELAND BAND)
7  WORST BEHAVIOUR Feb15 Jan08 Dec11 Nov12 Oct15 (ward a)HOYTE JASON 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of C J'S LEELEE by MIZZEN MAST)
8  GRAVY Apr01         (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of FLAWLESS DIAMOND by SAINT BALLADO)
9  ZONING ORDER Dec01         (ban)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 12% 7.20    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ONE NIGHT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
WO-5   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORMIN' HUMOR Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 Sep06 Jul26 (glennon c)SALLES LEO 123 8.00    
2  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Nov26 Oct15 Sep25 Sep05 Aug20 (banach darwin )STEIN JUSTIN 123 6.00 ★    
3  STYLISH GENT Apr23 Dec11 Dec03 Nov11 Oct14 (armata vit)CAMPOS LUIS 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
4  SUPER HEADLINE Nov27 Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 Sep25 (pottinger )ANDERSON JODEIEN 123 20.00    
5  CANYOUHEARMENOW Feb26 Feb15 Feb01 Jan20 Dec09 (krczmar zelk)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 2.50    
6  SIR GRAYVENSCROFT Nov27 Nov04 Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 (colbourne gor)JOHNSON DEVON 123 10.00    
7  EXTRACTION WILL Apr06 Feb26 Feb01 Dec18 Oct29 (bailey barbara )VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00 7% 12.40    
8  LIL GREEN MACHINE Mar26 Mar11 Jan15 Apr16 Mar04 (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 122 12.00 ★    
 
WO-6   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FADE AWAY Oct03 Aug09 Jul11 Jun19 May31 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 8.00 7% 12.80    
2  MAXIMUS MOMENTUS Dec02 Nov18 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 (armata ross)SALLES LEO 124 10.00 16% 5.20    
3  RADCLIFFE Nov25 Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 (siddo barring)GOBAY WILBERT 122 20.00    
4  RACING IN THE RAIN Mar09 Feb16 Jan18 Dec28 Nov27 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
5  DUKE OF MIAMI Dec09 Nov25 Oct09 Sep23 Aug23 (armata v)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 10.00    
6  UNILATERAL Dec08 Nov04 Oct28 Sep23 Aug28 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 122 3.50    
7  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) Dec02 Oct03       (husbands anthon)HOYTE JASON 122 6.00    
8  BIG BAD BEAST Mar21 Feb02 Jan16 Dec13 Nov06 (dix)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
WO-7   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD CHESTNUT Oct23 Oct09 Aug27 Jul03 Apr28 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 2.00 64% 0.60    
2  ABISKO Apr01 Feb25 Nov27     (halden rachel)VIVES SOFIA 118 12.00 ★    
3  LAPOCHKA Dec11 Nov25 Nov13 Oct16 Oct02 (armata vit)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 3.00 7% 12.40    
4  HILARIOUS AFFAIR Feb24 Jan27 Nov06 Sep25 Sep04 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 123 3.50    
5  PERFECT CRIME Dec04 Oct28 Oct09 Sep03 Aug12 (dixon patric)CARROLL DECLAN 123 8.00    
6  REPEAT THE HEAT Dec02 Nov13 Sep30 Sep05 Jul21 (armata jr)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00    
7  ROCKSTAR RO Mar17 Jan21 Dec11 Oct28 Sep16 (attard kevin)FLORES ESWAN 123 6.00 ★    
 
WO-8   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG EXECUTIVE Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Sep23 Sep04 (mattine jo)CAMPOS LUIS 122 12.00 ★    
2  POINT TO THE STARS Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 Sep05 (hall philip)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
3  SOONER LUNAR Nov04 Oct09 Sep22 Aug21 Jul29 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
4  LONG POND Dec11 Oct28 Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 (armata jr)STEIN JUSTIN 122 8.00 7% 13.90    
5  UNCLE JOE Oct21 Sep13 Aug12 Jul17 Jun19 (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  TALK TO YA LATER Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep24 Aug28 (black ian)WILSON JAYNE 117 6.00    
7  SOUPER CLASSY Dec11 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep23 (armata jr)BOULANGER G 122 3.50    
 
WO-9   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Woodstock Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAYHONOR GOODSIDE Nov06 Oct09 Sep17 Aug20 Jul04 (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 118 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of NICKI KNEW by TETHRA)
2  GRAN SPIRITED Nov06 Oct09 Aug28 Jul29 Jul17 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 122 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of GRANNY BROUGHTON by SKY MESA)
3  NEW YORK THUNDER Dec30 Nov27       (delgado )SANTANA JR 120 1.40 30% 2.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of START OVER by MIDSHIPMAN)
4  SHIP THE GOODS Mar10 Feb02 Dec03     (clement chri)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SENATE CAUCUS by SIPHON (BRZ))
5  NINETYFOUR EXPOS Oct23 Sep17 Aug20 May29 May01 (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by OUTWORK out of SIMPLY GOOD by SKY CLASSIC)
6  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Oct09 Sep06 Jul19 Jun12   (trombetta mich)STEIN JUSTIN 118 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CONCHITA'S PEARL by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
WO-10   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 3 ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSTURING Dec09 Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 Aug12 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00 ★    
2  CONFUSING Oct21 Sep04 Jul29 Jun30 May21 (cox gail)VIVES SOFIA 116 20.00    
3  SMART SKY Dec10 Dec04 Oct30 Sep22   (raghunath raven)HOYTE JASON 118 20.00    
4  PUDDINGONTHERITZ Oct23 Oct02       (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  PARAMOUNT PRINCE Dec09 Nov12       (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 1.60 34% 2.00    
6  HIGHLAND LIFE Jul10 Jun12       (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 20.00    
7  HALF TO RELOAD Dec09 Nov04 Oct14 Sep24 Aug28 (hall philip)CIVACI SAHIN 118 10.00 ★    
8  ONE BAY HEMINGWAY Nov26 Oct30 Sep24 Sep11 Aug12 (attard c)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  GUNGI Nov27 Oct28 Oct07 Sep11 Aug28 (ban)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 12.00    
10  MORSTACHY'S Mar15 Feb02 Dec11 Nov25 Oct21 (attard ke)WILSON JAYNE 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.