Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/1)-(4/6/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(6/9/4/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(6/9/4/10)-(6/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/9/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/10)-(6/9/4/10/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/10)-(6/9/4/10/3)-(6/9/4/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/4/10)-(6/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/10)-(6/7/5)-(8/6/4/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-3   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(8/6/4/7/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(8/6/4/7/2)-(2/1/10/3/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
WRD-4   WIN (8/6/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7/2)-(8/6/4/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7/2)-(8/6/4/7/2)-(8/6/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/4/7/2)-(2/1/10/3/5) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/7/2)-(2/1/10/3/5)-(11/6/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/1/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/10/3/5)-(2/1/10/3/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/1/10/3/5)-(2/1/10/3/5)-(2/1/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/10/3/5)-(11/6/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/1/10/3/5)-(11/6/5)-(6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
WRD-6   WIN (11/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/9/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (11/6/5)-(11/6/5/9/4)-(11/6/5/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/6/5)-(6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/6/5)-(6)-(3/6/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/2/9/8)-(6/2/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(3/6/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/6/11)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/6/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/11)-(3/6/11/1/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/11)-(3/6/11/1/9)-(3/6/11/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/11)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/11)-(3/5)-(5/11/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-9   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/11/7/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
WRD-10   WIN (5/11/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/7/8)-(5/11/7/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/11/7/8)-(5/11/7/8/2)-(5/11/7/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR GRIFFIN Apr05 Mar27 Mar21 Mar07 Dec10 (camillo angelo)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
SMART CALL Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Feb03 Sep15 (roberts joe )HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00    
DEL MOON Apr12 Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 Jan22 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00    
FIRE EXTINGUISHER Apr11 Mar27 May25 Apr13 Mar22 (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 58% 0.70    
PARABELLUM Apr10 Mar27 Mar07 Feb19 Feb03 (williams steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
MR OKLAHOMA CITY Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Dec14 Nov25 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 8% 11.00    
GHOST STRATEGY Apr12 Feb19 Jan20 Sep23 Aug27 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.00    
BIG SKIPPER Apr04 Mar21 Dec08 Nov18 Oct22 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
WRD-2   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNY T         (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 12.00    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of BIRTHSTONE by NORTHERN BABY)
FOREVER INDIAN Dec07 Nov15 Oct28 Sep28   (horner liz)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
  (by LIAISON out of FOREVER JENNY by SIR SHACKLETON)
TRUE DOMINUS Mar21 Dec01 Oct28 Oct08 Sep08 (mitchell ralp)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of TRUE YOLO by YES IT'S TRUE)
HOLCOMBE Apr10         (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
PONZA Apr10         (stephens jer)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of PRECIOUS LIFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
LATENT SHADOW Apr03         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of GHOST SHADOW by GHOSTZAPPER)
MAJESTIC LOVER         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 8.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of FULL OF SASS by BORREGO)
HERO TIME Apr07 Oct21 Sep21 Aug27   (davidson brent)BIRZER E 118 3.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SHARE THE GLORY by GRAND SLAM)
FORT NECESSITY Mar21 Dec08 Oct27 Oct12   (corderman scott)KIMES C 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of CARRIE THE COWGIRL by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
10  LUCKY MCCOY Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb12 Dec08 (merrick j)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 11% 8.30    
  (by I SPENT IT out of THE REAL MCCOY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
 
WRD-3   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVIVAL Mar28 Mar07 Nov21 Oct15 Sep21 (luneack sue)KIMES C 121 6.00    
HOLD TIGHT Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 Jun11 (morales arnol)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
EUROMANTIC Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (hanson vic)WETHEY JR 118 8.00    
WESTONS WILDCAT Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 Nov08 Oct12 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 5.00    
VERRAZANO FIRST Sep20 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 Jun11 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
BAYRON Mar24 Feb18 Jan15 Dec14 Dec03 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
TIME MACHINE Mar28 Mar13 Feb24 Nov14 Oct13 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
WRD-4   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECAUSE Dec09 Nov18 Nov07 Oct21 Oct12 (hanson vic)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
SIGICRICKET Mar13 Dec03 Nov03 Oct05 Sep17 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 15.00 6% 14.60    
HEATIN UP Apr03 Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
HEADY MOVES Apr03 Mar06 Dec17 Dec03 Oct22 (biehler mic)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
SMART OKIE Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 Nov30 Nov11 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 15.00    
SURE SHOT SHELLY Apr05 Mar20       (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
BRING IT ON BABY Apr03 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Sep29 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 2.50 6% 14.40    
MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Apr03 Jan27 Jan08 Dec17 Nov30 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
GOSPEL MOLLY Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 Dec02 Nov07 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
 
WRD-5   04/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POKER PLAY Apr03 Mar21 Mar07 Feb17 Dec14 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
ABSAROKA Mar28 Dec01 Nov08 Oct21 Sep07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
LEGIONARY Apr03 Mar20 Feb17 Jan21 Dec14 (young e)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00 7% 12.50    
NOMOREMRNICEGUY Apr03 Mar21 Dec10 Nov18 Nov05 (sneed todd)LANDEROS C 121 6.00    
LIMBO'S PROMISE Apr03 Mar06 Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 (david ron)KIMES C 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
JOHN ALLEN Apr03 Oct07 Sep25 Sep08 Jul19 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 30.00    
EXCITING Apr12 Mar20 Nov22 Nov14 Nov03 (luneack ther)JORDAN R 118 8.00    
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Apr03 Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 Nov14 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
KWIK Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Dec08 Nov25 (williams s)ERAMIA E 118 10.00    
10  JACKS SPRING BREAK Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb11 Jan20 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 118 4.00 9% 10.30    
 
WRD-6   04/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKIE HOPE Apr04         (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
PASCALA Nov18         (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00    
SECRET PASS Mar25 Mar03       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00    
MY GOLDEN PRIZE Apr05 Mar20 Feb26 Feb12 Dec09 (lee mark)JORDAN R 124 3.50    
SAY WHAT YOU WILL         (oberlande)TRIANA JR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAT TALE SKY Apr12 Mar27 Mar03 Feb05 Jan07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 5.00 28% 2.50    
NAUGHTY NOELLE Apr11 Mar11 Feb26 Dec15 Dec08 (revels gear)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
BOTTLES AN BIBLES Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 Feb22   (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 12.00    
BIKER BABE Apr10 Mar27 Mar06 Dec02 Nov07 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
10  GREEN LIGHT GIRL Apr10 Nov12 Oct19 Oct07   (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00    
11  PASSION FOR SAND Mar03 Nov18       (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
WRD-7   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARING CROSS Mar20 Dec15 Dec02 Nov22 Nov14 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 30.00    
CATALE STORM Apr03 Mar20 Dec08 Nov22 Nov02 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 118 8.00    
RONALD DALE Apr03 Mar20 Dec08 Nov25 Nov19 (davidson brent)KIMES C 118 12.00    
SPECTACTICAL Mar28 Dec08 Nov14 Oct06 Jun13 (gunter michael)SANCHEZ OBED 118 30.00    
J B'S LEGACY Apr03 Mar20 Mar03 Jan22 Dec10 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 4.00    
WRANGLERED Apr03 May09 Apr06     (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 121 2.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  HEADEDTOTHESTARS Mar20 Dec13 Nov30 Sep05 Mar21 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.50 6% 17.10    
EURO SUPRISE Apr05 Mar07 Dec01 Oct21 Oct06 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 118 5.00    
MEGA BOND Apr12 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Oct12 (davidson b)JORDAN R 118 10.00    
10  OUR CORNERSTONE Apr03 Mar20 Oct21 Sep15 Aug27 (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 15.00    
 
WRD-8   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NITRO NINA Apr03         (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 8.00    
FLASHY GAIL Mar28 Mar03 Feb10 Jan22 Dec08 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 117 30.00    
GENUINE DRAFT Mar28         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 54% 0.80    
HELLO IN THERE Oct22         (rodriguez mart)LANDEROS C 122 30.00    
PREACH IT GIRL Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 Feb09 Jan25 (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
RUN DOTTIE RUN Apr04 Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
AZUSA STREET Mar25 Mar03       (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
FREYAS CATZ Feb19 Jan28       (baze t)KIMES C 122 12.00    
LET ME DOWN EASY Sep10 Aug17 Jul27     (biehler michael )BIRZER E 122 8.00    
10  MISS CARMEN CIBO Apr03 Mar21 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
11  RUNNIN BOOTS         (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  SPLITSECONDECISION Apr11 Mar21 Mar07 Feb17 Feb05 (davis d)SANCHEZ OBED 122 15.00    
 
WRD-9   04/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilma Mankiller Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIFFANY TWIST Apr04 Mar20 Mar06 Jan20 Dec14 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of SUCCESSFUL SLEW by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
STAR OF THE NORTH Apr11 Sep10 Aug21 Jul17 Jun25 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 118 8.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
RAGAN'S JET Mar27 Oct21 Sep29 Jul18 Jun24 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of SHE'SGOTHEROWNJET by SONGANDAPRAYER)
ADRIA Apr11 Mar27 Mar14 Feb12 Jul22 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of AMYLIMEHOUSE by LIMEHOUSE)
DISTORTED FLASH Mar06 Nov22 Sep25 Jun24 May30 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 121 3.00 9% 10.40    
  (by FLASHBACK out of UNANIMOUS DECISION by FIT TO FIGHT)
AQUILA MOON Jan16 Dec09 Nov21 Oct26 Sep24 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of KATIE'S KEEPSAKE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DICEY Mar27 Mar06 Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 121 3.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BROKEN BLUES by BROKEN VOW)
 
WRD-10   04/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURIOUS IRISH Feb23 Feb11 Jan18 Nov25   (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of WEATHERFIELD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
CAPTAIN DOZER Mar13 Dec07 Nov12 Oct01 Sep07 (escamilla-gonz)LANDEROS C 118 3.50    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of ONE SUPER SLEW by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
LANGMEAD Jul05 Jun14 May10     (thomas de)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 30.00    
  (by RISKY TRICK out of CHERUBINO by VISION AND VERSE)
PEPPERMINT CANDY Apr03         (luneack sue)KIMES C 118 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MINE FOR KEEPS by KOKAND)
OKLAHOMA MOON         (williams alan)BIRZER E 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BEST PRESENT EVER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
LITTLE MAD MAX         (morales arno)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 30.00    
  (by SILVER MAX out of LOVE GAME by FRIENDLY LOVER)
LATE NITE RADIO         (caster boyd)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TALKIN AND SINGING by SONGANDAPRAYER)
MEGA SHACK Oct15         (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 118 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of GOLDEN ALPHABET by ALPHABET SOUP)
GOSPEL BONANZA         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ABBYBOO by UNKNOWN)
10  MONEY EXPRESS         (corderman s)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of FERVENT by FIRST SAMURAI)
11  MAJESTIC LIAISON Apr10 Mar21       (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by LIAISON out of MAJESTIC CHIVETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.