Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(5/1/2/4)-(3/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(3/7)-(2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LS-5   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-6   WIN (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/5)-(9/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2)-(1/6/2/4)-(6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LS-7   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/4)-(6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
LS-8   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/8/2/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/8/2/7/3)-(6/8/2/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUROROSE Mar26 Feb17 Feb05 Jan21 Dec16 (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00    
2  SI QUERE Mar24 Mar10 Jan15 Jul24 Jul04 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 1.60    
3  BLONDES HAVEMO FUN Mar26 Feb12 Jan22 Jan07 Nov25 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 10.00    
4  QUEEN OF BEERS Mar19 Feb25 Jan13 Jul17 May14 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 4.50 10% 8.90    
5  HIT'EM UP Feb12 Jan07 Nov03 Oct12 Sep23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  CHAPARRITA Mar10 Jan13 Dec08 Nov25 Nov19 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
LS-2   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACK IT TO ME Mar26         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  GOLD MEMORIES Mar24 Jan06 Oct05 Sep14 Jul10 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50    
3  MADAME RUE Apr08 Mar24 Feb25 Dec19 Jul09 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 10.00 ★    
4  JULIE'S PASSION Apr01 Mar10 Feb26 Feb11 Jan15 (scholl kevin)MORA GERARDO 118 4.50    
5  BLACK CHEETAH Jun23 May14 Apr05 Feb23   (ramirez r)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 8.00    
6  GUITAR GROUPIE Apr01 Sep09 Jul23 Jun26 Jun05 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
LS-3   04/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARRY Mar24 Feb19 Feb03 Apr23 Mar17 (asmus)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
2  DELIRIUM Apr14 Mar31 Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 1.40 16% 5.40    
3  UNCORKED HUMOR Mar24 Feb03 Jan14 Dec03 Sep14 (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00    
4  JAMES'S MOONSHINE Mar11 Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  BREW CREW Mar24 Mar11 Feb17 Feb03 Nov22 (jacks kar)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  RECKLESS RED Mar10 Feb12 Jan14 Oct08 Sep28 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 10.00    
7  SELLING SHORT Mar28 Mar06 Dec03 Nov25 Nov04 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00    
 
LS-4   04/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLD NIGHT AIR Mar26 Feb20 Jan27 Aug07 Jul25 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 120 4.50 ★    
2  RUN WITT RUN Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 Feb11 May12 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 10.00    
3  TRANQUILITY Mar26 Feb25 Feb10 Jan21 Jan08 (hurley tina)HAMILTON WESTON 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  TEXAS TWINKIES Apr02 Feb11 Jan28 Jan08 Sep09 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 114 15.00    
5  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Jul09 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 120 2.00    
6  LEXINGTON DIVA Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 4.00 ★    
7  REASON OVER RICHES Mar25 Feb26 Jan27 Jan06   (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00 20% 3.90    
 
LS-5   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTIE Mar25 Feb18 Feb04 Jan16 Dec01 (dupuy allen)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00    
2  FOREVER LIGHTS Apr02 Feb25 Jan27 Dec15 Nov19 (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  SALTAMONTES DIVA Mar19 Jul23 Jul04 Jun10 May07 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 5.00    
4  TEXAS TIDELANDS Apr02 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov05 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50    
5  PRIDDIS Apr02 Jan21       (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  WILD PROSPECT Feb04 Jan14 Dec15 Dec02 Nov26 (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 20.00 ★    
7  GANGSTER RAP Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Feb05 Jan27 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 13% 6.90    
 
LS-6   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAB RAT Apr15 Mar24 Feb17 Jan21 Nov14 (scholl ke)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
2  KIERKEGAARD Mar18 Mar03 Feb05 Jan16 Dec31 (b)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  PINKY RING BLING Apr01 Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 Dec03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
4  OPTIMAL COURAGE Mar24 Mar03 Feb19 Feb05 Dec31 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  YANKEE INDIAN Apr01 Mar19 Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  SECRET BLARNEY Mar20 Mar12 Feb19 Feb05 Jan22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 12.00 ★    
7  SAMURAI CAUSE Mar18 Mar03 Feb24 Feb05 Jan27 (tuley rhond)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
8  STOCKPILER Mar22 Feb23 Feb12 Jan06 Dec17 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00    
9  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Apr13 Mar19 Mar03 Feb09 Jan05 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
 
LS-7   04/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE T Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Oct19 (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 120 1.20 34% 1.90    
2  CHIKARA Feb25 Feb04 Jan06 Oct20 Sep29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00 10% 9.10    
3  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Apr08 Mar18 Jan14 Dec03 Sep21 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
4  TOLONDA Mar25 Jul17 May07 Mar26 Feb09 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  PINKY TOE Apr02 Feb24 Jul09 May19 May01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50    
6  MEDALLA MATCH Sep25 Aug11 Jul17 Jun22 May02 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
7  NEON SUMMER Apr08 Feb04 Oct12 Sep09 Aug19 (young e)DIEGO V 120 15.00    
8  PRINCESS PHONE Sep27 Sep11 Jul16 Jun24 May22 (roubion ste)HAMILTON WESTON 120 6.00    
 
LS-8   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO LEGEND Mar03 Feb19 Jul24 Jul02 Jun16 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
2  TOP HONORS Mar19 Jan21 Jan07 Dec07 Jul23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 ★    
3  INFINITE MORO Mar31 Feb25 Jan21 Jan06 Sep19 (k)DE CRUZ 124 5.00 ★    
4  CAPTAINS COVE Mar31 Mar03 Jan27 Jan05 Dec20 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 8.00    
5  RICHARD'S TX BLING Apr08 Feb25 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
6  IRONICAL Jun19 May29 May14 Mar26 Feb25 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 124 2.50 75% 0.30    
7  SWEET TAPIN MORO Mar18 Feb19 Feb03 Jan15 Aug13 (whitton m)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 ★    
8  FLY'N SEXY Mar31 Feb25 Feb10 Jul24 Jul02 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 ★    
9  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Apr08 Mar17 Feb25 Jan21 Jan13 (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 124 12.00    
10  DOUBLE TRAP Jan06 Dec22 Nov26 Oct27 Oct07 (ramirez e)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.