Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/4/3)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/1/2)-(6) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
HAW-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6)-(6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (6)-(6/4)-(5/7/2/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(5/7/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/7/2/1)-(6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1)-(6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/1)-(6/3/7)-(2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(2/6)-(2/5/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/5/6/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-9   WIN (2/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/9)-(2/5/6/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/9)-(2/5/6/9/7)-(2/5/6/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEORA STORE Mar12 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 (kirby fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 Aug27 Jul30 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Mar12 Feb03 Jan07 Sep18 Jun30 (rosin w)EMIGH A 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  TAPIT SAM Mar12 Feb16 Feb03 Dec30 Dec10 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
5  IRONMAN RICHIE Mar23 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan07 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50    
6  READTHETRANSCRIPT Mar02 Feb02 Jan08 Dec07 Oct30 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLS OF JOY Mar16 Dec30 Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
2  MAIDEN ROCK Feb20 Dec30 Dec18 Nov11 Oct16 (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
3  OCEAN HONEY Mar09 Feb09 Nov22 Nov02 Sep26 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 116 2.50 7% 12.40    
4  FROST WARRIOR Mar16 Mar09 Dec18 Dec09 Nov25 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
5  EVIE Mar16 Feb08 Jan25 Jan06 Feb16 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
6  G MONEY LIV Mar10 Feb05 Dec16 Oct11 Sep20 (jansen kenn)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
7  ROARINGLIKETHUNDER Mar16 Sep03 Aug27 Aug07 Jul26 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 109 10.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD SECRET Dec17 Nov26 Oct09 Sep03 Jul29 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 16% 5.30    
2  PO BOY Mar12 Dec16 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
3  RESTORING HOPE Dec30 Jul06 Jun11 May27 May08 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  WINGING WAYS Mar16 Oct30 Oct02 Sep23 Sep09 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 12% 7.50    
5  IRISH TUFF Mar16 Dec17 Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 (perez manny)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
6  IRISH MAJOR Mar12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 122 12.00    
7  HATCHET CREEK Mar16 Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 Nov19 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 5.00    
 
HAW-4   03/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNABLUE Mar16 Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Nov04 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
2  FIRST MASAMUNE Mar16 Dec18 Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 ★    
3  JEFF THE LION Nov27         (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.00    
4  GOING WITH STYLE Feb28 Dec18 Nov19 Oct28 May23 (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 ★    
5  PINEDALE Dec30 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Oct07 (rodriguez jos)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
6  GITA'S LAD Dec18 Dec11 Nov20 Oct29 Jun28 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.40 66% 0.50    
 
HAW-5   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JULIAISON Dec10 Oct23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug16 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00    
SCR  ARDIS Feb05 Jan06 Dec10 Nov26 Oct07 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  GET N TIPSY Oct29 Oct03 Sep15 Aug29 Aug03 (haran john)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
4  LICHITA Jan27 Jun04 May21 May10 Mar19 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
5  WAR COLORS Dec10 Oct30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (wainwright j)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
6  ICY RIVER Mar12 Nov30 Nov20 Nov02 Oct01 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.40 29% 2.40    
 
HAW-6   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRY TRY AGAIN Mar09 Dec31 Nov20 Aug20 Aug06 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHANNEL WON Mar05 Jan20 Oct21 Aug17 Jun02 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00 16% 5.40    
3  WILD FOX Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Oct14 Sep16 (watkins j)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00    
4  CINDY'S STORM Mar16 Feb08 Jan17 Dec31 Dec10 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00    
5  SILVER MOON ROAD Mar09 Jan14 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 124 1.40 33% 2.10    
6  PERFECT WAGER Mar09 Dec31 Nov26 Nov06 Oct15 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00    
7  DARK HEDGES Mar09 Jan19 Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
HAW-7   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANK AND FILE Mar12 Dec31 Nov20 Nov13 Oct07 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 ★    
2  I DON'T KNOW MARGO Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jun14 (pompell rober)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
3  WILDWOOD DREAMER Mar19 Dec30 Dec02 Oct21 Sep23 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  FROSTED ECLAIR Mar12 Oct21 Sep30     (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
5  BEG BORROW N STEAL Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Sep30 (block chris)COLON H 122 5.00    
6  RAINY MOUNTAIN Dec31 Dec11 Nov13 Aug12   (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  TIME BREAK Dec31 Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 7% 12.40    
 
HAW-8   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE KITTEN Feb18 Jan13 Dec22 Nov26 Oct29 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
2  TAPE TO TAPE Feb26 Feb03 Dec31 Nov25 Oct30 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
3  W W HOTSHOT Mar12 Nov26 Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 ★    
4  W W CANDY Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 (quinonez max)COLON H 122 8.00    
5  WALKER'S WIN Nov27 Nov13 Jun28 Jun11 May21 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
6  W W SCOUT'S HONOR Dec03 Oct29 Sep24 Aug16 Jul29 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  GOLDEN HORNET Mar12 Feb25 Jan06 Dec10 Nov21 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 ★    
 
HAW-9   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY LADY SLEW Mar19 Dec18 Dec02 Oct21 Oct01 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00    
2  RATTRAPANTE Sep23 Aug20 Aug08 Jul15 May06 (delong ben)COLON H 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  MISS WINDY SLEW Sep06 Aug23 Aug06 Jul12 May17 (burdess terry)EMIGH A 122 12.00    
4  LORI ATTACK Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Sep16 Sep02 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
5  SUM KINDA PRETTY Aug30 Aug19 Jul19 Jul05 May18 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
6  BETHY Aug18 Aug05 Jun07 May29 May15 (burdess ter)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
7  MAYSTART Mar19 Nov25 Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
8  RUNNERS HEAT Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov18 Oct23 (wilson sharo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
9  WITCHING Mar19 Sep20 Sep03 Aug20 Aug02 (lynch e)ORM CORY 122 4.50 7% 13.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.