Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - March 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2/1)-(4/5/7/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(8/5/1)-(6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-2   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1/9/7)-(8/5/1/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1)-(6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/2/4/5)-(6/1/2/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(4/1/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(4/1/2)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
PRX-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRX-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/8/7/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/8/7/2/5)-(1/8/7/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(3/6/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/6/5)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRX-6   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/1/4/5)-(3/6/1/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/4)-(5/7/2/3/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/7/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/7/6/1)-(3/4/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/7/2/3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/7/2/3/6)-(3/4/5/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-8   WIN (5/7/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3/6)-(5/7/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3/6)-(5/7/2/3/6)-(5/7/2/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3/6)-(3/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/3/6)-(3/4/5/7)-(2/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7/2)-(3/4/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(2/7/1)-(10/2/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-10   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/4/3)-(2/7/1/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(10/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-11   WIN (10/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/8)-(10/2/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/8)-(10/2/5/8/3)-(10/2/5/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   03/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPEST RISING Feb20 Feb06       (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00 ★    
2  ISLAND BELLE Jan31 Jan11 Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE BAWSE'S LADY Feb21 Jan16 Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 (whylie o)GILPIN SEAN 120 15.00    
4  FANCY SCEPTER Jan17 Dec14 Nov21 Oct16 Aug01 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 4.50 40% 1.50    
5  WILDCAT GIRL Feb08 Jan23 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (solis jacinto)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  END OF THE RAINBOW Jan24         (pattershall)NUNEZ Y 126 8.00    
7  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Feb20 Feb06 Jan10 Dec14 Dec05 (bedard alan)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
PRX-2   03/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORSUPUESTO Feb22 Feb13 Jan10 Dec20 Nov22 (castillo sa)RAMOS C 116 6.00 6% 14.40    
2  WHERESTHEPASSION Feb13 Jan23 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 (mercedes pedr)PEREZ M 121 15.00    
3  FULL CONTACT Feb01 Jan02 Dec14 Nov29   (soto c)DE KEMICH 114 8.00    
SCR  CLASSY UNION Feb15 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jun25 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 15.00    
5  JOVIAL Feb13 Jan23 Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 9% 9.70    
6  RUTHENIAN Nov16 Oct22 Sep29 Sep15 Aug20 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 121 10.00    
7  AVA K'S BOY Feb19 Feb12 Jan13 Dec29 Apr15 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 121 4.00 ★    
8  BIG BROWN SHOES Jan23 Dec13 Nov23 Jun07 May11 (simon linda)BISONO J 121 5.00 56% 0.80    
9  STRAWBERRY CONE Jan17 Nov02 Oct05 May23 Apr05 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 ★    
 
PRX-3   03/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABUELO NUNO Feb14 Feb01 Jan03 Nov29 Oct31 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 5.00 ★    
2  ICONIC LEGACY Feb21 Jan17 Nov22 Oct19 Sep14 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 4.00 ★    
3  HOTPOT Feb21 Jan17 Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.50    
4  DOCTOR DOOM Feb21 Feb06 Dec19 Nov30 Nov02 (servis john)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 3.50 ★    
5  RUFFY Feb06 Jan18 Dec07 Nov21 Oct19 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00 ★    
6  HOOPLA Feb13 Jan31 Dec21 Nov29 Oct07 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
PRX-4   03/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINTH OF APRIL Sep30 Sep04 Aug27 Jul17 Jul04 (simon linda)BISONO J 126 10.00 22% 3.50    
2  AMERICAN DAY Oct14 Sep04 Jul31 Jun26 May22 (simon linda)NUNEZ Y 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUNGLHERLY LOVE Jan31 Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 Sep13 (milian carlos )ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00    
4  GOLDEN WILDCAT Feb08 Jan16 Nov29 Oct31 Oct03 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 126 1.80 25% 3.10    
5  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Jan31 Jan16 Dec19 Nov07 Oct18 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  ALMOND CIDER Feb27 Feb15 Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  PRINCIPE Jan31 Dec19 Nov30 Nov21 Nov02 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 116 10.00    
 
PRX-5   03/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG AMBITION Feb18 Feb08 Jan10 Nov24 Nov03 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 68% 0.50    
2  TEMPTED TO TOUCH Feb21 Feb06 Dec14 Dec05 Nov15 (whylie hero)RAMOS C 116 4.50 ★    
3  LOOKINATLIGHTENING Nov15 Oct24       (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00    
4  CAPE NEDDICK Feb08 Jan10 Dec14     (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 121 10.00    
5  TRUE PHENOMENON Feb08 Jan23 Dec20     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 5.00 ★    
6  CULPA BLANCO Dec20 Oct20       (aro michael)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 12.00    
7  BLANCHIMENT Jan28 Jan12 Dec02 Nov04 Sep25 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 ★    
8  UPTOWN CHARLOTTE         (cole)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 8.00 ★    
 
PRX-6   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN YEARS LATER Feb28 Feb01 Jan10 Dec21 Nov25 (nicholson jun)RANGEL JOEZER 121 2.50 ★    
2  SHEWEARSTHEPANTS Feb13 Jan25 Jan03 Dec19 Dec05 (catalano m )CONCEPCION AXEL 114 4.00    
3  CATALON Mar07 Feb20 Jan25 Jan04 Dec07 (rodriguez mig)OCASIO M 121 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  GOLDEN BOW Mar01 Feb01 Jan16 Jan04 Nov28 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 ★    
5  FALL CAMPAIGN Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Mar01 Feb17 Jan03 Dec07 Nov23 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
PRX-7   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBY DOOBY DOO Mar07 Feb22 Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 (ashton patr)RAMOS C 121 20.00 ★    
2  WILD KEYLIMAR Feb14 Feb07 Oct23     (castillo sanch)LOPEZ DERECK 116 15.00    
3  BET ON DRAMA Mar07 Feb22 Feb14 Feb07 Jan09 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 1.80 51% 1.00    
4  CUP OF LIFE Feb22 Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  ONLY GIRL Feb22 Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 116 15.00    
6  ESCANDALO Feb15 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Dec07 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 5.00 ★    
7  FLORA Sep28 Sep16 Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 126 4.00 ★    
8  COUSIN MARIE Feb14 Jun21 May30 May11   (dotolo david)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 20.00    
 
PRX-8   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPFOR PAROLE Feb01 Jan12 Nov23 Nov09   (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 4.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BILLYGETS ARRESTED by LOUIS QUATORZE)
2  BEN'S IMAGINE         (castillo mic)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by IMAGINING out of BENS KIN by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
3  NINJA PRIZE Feb28 Feb15 Jan24     (curry dee)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LEMON STRUDEL by RIMROD)
4  LUCKILY LEYTON Jan24         (padilla hugo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LUCKY NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
5  GO EAST Feb15 Jan24 Dec06 Nov16   (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by EASTWOOD out of MARINA VIEW by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  GAMBLER'S RUN         (dunn john)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LIFE'S A GAMBLE by MALIBU MOON)
7  BEAR OR BULL         (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CORPORATE QUEEN by COLONEL JOHN)
 
PRX-9   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LILLY FACTUM Feb28 Feb08 Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 121 8.00    
2  POWWA OF LOVE Feb28 Jan30 Jan17 Dec21 Nov28 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 ★    
3  BOSS CARA Feb01 Jan25 Dec21 Nov15 Sep23 (simon linda)BISONO J 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  JET FORCE Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec12 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 111 5.00 25% 2.90    
5  TOURING MARYANNE Feb20 Feb08 Jan18 Dec06 Nov07 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
6  TWIRLING WIND Feb22 Jan25 Jan17 Jan03 Nov29 (tapsas elias)RIVERA D 121 6.00    
7  HALLIGIRL Feb28 Jan10 Dec13 Nov08 Oct11 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00 7% 13.80    
8  LULINDA'S HEART Feb08 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Oct31 (st uriah)LOPEZ DERECK 111 10.00    
 
PRX-10   03/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOBE B Jan25 Jan10 Nov01 Oct11 Aug24 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00 7% 12.70    
2  DREAMING OF GERRY Feb14 Jan23 Jul23 Jun30 May25 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  KAZ'S BEACH Feb18 Mar27 Mar05     (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50 ★    
4  MR. ROUNDTREE Feb20 Jan30 Jan17 Dec21 Dec06 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00 ★    
5  LARGE Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 (jones carl )NUNEZ Y 123 15.00    
6  COMMISSIONER G Feb20 Feb13 Jan30 Sep10 Aug02 (smith everton)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 8.00    
7  STRUGAR Feb13 Jan30 Dec31 Dec02 Sep13 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  FEDERAL CASE Feb28 Feb20 Jan25 Jan16 Jan09 (arce josue)RAMOS C 118 10.00    
 
PRX-11   03/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S THRILL Feb14 Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00    
2  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 Apr21 Apr03 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
3  ABSENTEE Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 121 3.00 ★    
4  EXCURSION Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 Dec21 Dec06 (aristone phi)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
5  ARTISTIC REASON Feb28 Feb06 Jan14 Dec18 Nov23 (abrams ronal)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 5% 17.30    
6  COBBLE HILL Jul13 Jun25 Jun01 May11 Apr18 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 121 15.00    
7  DEVOTED KITTEN Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 Dec06 Nov18 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00    
8  ACKER Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 Jan03 Nov23 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SPEIGHTSTER RED Feb21 Feb02 Jan09 Dec20 Oct17 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 121 6.00    
10  ANGELUS WARRIOR Jan10 Dec13 Nov05 Oct19 Sep16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 50% 1.00    
11  JARLIAN Feb28 Jan31 Dec21 Nov28 Nov02 (king)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.