Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/6/4)-(1/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-3   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4/3)-(1/5/6/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/4)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/4)-(1/2)-(6/3/4/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/3/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/3/4/7)-(2/3/5/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/7)-(2/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/7)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4/10)-(2/3/5/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(2/5/7)-(3/9/8/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4/1)-(2/5/7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(3/9/8/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-8   WIN (3/9/8/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/6/1)-(3/9/8/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/6/1)-(3/9/8/6/1)-(3/9/8/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT MOON Feb12 Jan06 Nov15 Sep30 Sep15 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 1.80 29% 2.40    
2  AFFICIONADO (FR) Feb11 Aug21 Aug14 Jun14 May06 (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 123 4.00    
3  FROSTY FLIRT Feb04 Jan16 Jan07 Dec07 Oct08 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 123 3.00    
4  HOT TUB HOTTIE Feb11 Jan22 Oct13 Oct01 Aug26 (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00 11% 8.00    
5  TOP TEN DUCHESS Feb20 Sep25 Sep10 Jul25 Jul11 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  MRS. KRINKLES Feb18 Feb03 Jan08 Dec15 Nov26 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
7  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Feb04 Jan13 Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00 7% 13.10    
8  FADED MEMORIES Feb20 Jan07 Nov04 Oct19 Sep29 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00    
SCR  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Jan28 Sep27 Sep11 Jul30 Jun13 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 123 4.00 15% 5.90    
 
HOU-3   03/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GANGSTER RAP Feb20 Feb05 Jan27     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  DREAM TOWN Jan13 May28 May06 Apr15 Feb25 (rangel raul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
3  ALL AFLUTTER Feb20 Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov07 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 10.00 ★    
4  C J 'S CAT FIVE Feb17 Feb03 Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 6% 16.30    
5  HAL'S DREAM Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 Nov25 Mar05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 11% 8.40    
6  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Feb11 Jan13 Dec09 Nov14 Nov02 (craddock ka)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00 8% 12.00    
7  AUNT JANA Feb17 Feb04 Nov09 Oct26 Aug24 (mallery vonn)SANCHEZ M 123 50.00    
8  SWEET DYNASTY Feb12 Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 Nov04 (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 4.50    
 
HOU-4   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST TRACK Jan28 Jun05 May14     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
2  SHACKED STATESIDE Feb11 Jul08       (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  TEXAS TWINKIES Feb11 Jan28 Jan08 Sep09 Jul10 (s)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
SCR  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL Jan27 Jan06       (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
5  CANDY BEE Feb11 Jan27 Jul10     (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 ★    
6  WAVING BYE Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Jul10 Jun19 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 ★    
7  LET FREEDOM BLING Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 Jul04 Jun19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
8  SKY TIZZY Jan28 Jan06 Nov02 Oct22   (bryant geor)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00    
 
HOU-5   03/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHTSIDEOFLIFE Sep10 Aug18 Jul26 Jul13 Jun02 (courtemanche c)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
2  IMA SKY TRAVELER Feb04 Jan13 Aug19 Jun19 May27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
3  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Jan13 Nov14 May30 Apr29 Apr02 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
4  STREET TAPPER Jan06 Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 Sep10 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
5  GEE SHE'S PRETTY Feb04 Jan08 Dec15 Nov26 Nov15 (d)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
6  HONOR GIVEN Feb18 Jan27 May28 May07 Apr08 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 1.80 24% 3.20    
7  BALLERINI Feb04 Jan08 Oct14 Sep14 Jun11 (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00 6% 16.20    
8  GRASS QUEEN Oct22 Oct07 Sep15 Jul21 May30 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00    
SCR  MALIBU MIDNIGHT Feb12 Jan13 Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50    
SCR  SWEET PERFECTION Feb12 Jan13 Jul23 Jun18 Apr29 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SUNDAY Dec20 Nov22 Jul11 Jun12 May08 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00    
SCR  TEXAS TIDELANDS Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov05 Oct22 (g)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
SCR  ITS MY MONEY TOO Jan16 Nov05 Sep03 Jul17 Jun17 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 123 2.50 6% 15.30    
 
HOU-6   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN FOREST Jun26 Jun10       (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 30.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of THE CAT WHO by MAGIC CAT)
2  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Feb11 Jan20 Jan06 Dec11   (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CAPTAIN COUNTDOWN out of MALORIE'S FIRST by TOTAL COMMAND)
3  HARD GOLD Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Jul17 Jun19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
4  HYPERION NORTH Feb26 Jan28 Jan07     (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 10.00 8% 10.80    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
5  TEXAS CLUBMAN Jan28 Nov12       (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of QUEENLAND by TASTE OF PARADISE)
6  OH SEAN Jan14 Dec19       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of RHONIN VICTORIA by LANGFUHR)
7  RED SUMMERBIRD         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of PINETOP by SUMMER BIRD)
8  SPARRA Jan28         (w)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PELICAN LAKE by ALDEBARAN)
9  BIGTIMEINTHECITY Feb18         (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
  (by ALLSTAR DANCER out of SNIPPETS OF TIME by WANDO)
10  JUST WHISKEY Feb18 Jan28 Jan07     (mayfield randy)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of WHISKEY EYES by SPECIAL RATE)
11  ZAVALA         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
  (by HAMAZING DESTINY out of BLUSHING SIS by GIACOMO)
12  BLINGO Feb11 Jan28 Dec07 Nov12 Oct14 (caldwell j )HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of BRICKYARD BABY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
HOU-7   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING KONGO Jul22 Jun25 May29 May08 Apr09 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 119 15.00 ★    
2  HERN Jan28 Dec02 Nov07 Oct14 Aug20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.60 55% 0.80    
3  TALE TWISTER Feb17 Sep17 Aug08 Jul10 Jun17 (jacks karen )PIVARAL GERBER 119 15.00    
4  PAST VISIONS Feb19 Jan22 Nov14 Jun21 May09 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 10.00 ★    
5  BIG BERNIE May21 Apr30 Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 (willis )GONCALVES R 119 4.50 10% 8.80    
6  LIONS NOT SHEEP Feb23 Dec02 Nov07 Oct19 Sep10 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 10.00    
7  FIND NEW ROADS Jan28 Nov21       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00 8% 11.40    
8  LOVING LUCKY Oct05 Sep19 Sep03 Jul26 Jun22 (asmus)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00    
9  CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Feb11 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 (schneider e)HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00    
 
HOU-8   03/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY MISCHIEF Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23   (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 20.00 6% 16.10    
2  TATANKA Oct20 Sep25 Aug20 May21 Apr30 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 6.00    
3  SINGAPORE FLASH Feb18 Jan22 Feb19 Jan20   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  LOGICAL MYTH Jan28 Dec17 Nov22 Oct27 Sep25 (davis s)GONCALVES R 119 8.00    
5  CARLEA'S DREAM Jan20 Oct27 Sep25 Aug06 Jun21 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 2.50    
6  BUBBA BLING Jul17 Jun19 May22 May01 Mar26 (dupuy allen)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00 7% 14.10    
7  RISK MANAGER Jan28 Dec26 Nov18 Aug21 Aug06 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 119 3.50    
8  SEDUCTIVE U S A Feb24 Jan28 Jan20 Nov24 Oct27 (g)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 8% 11.90    
9  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Feb24 Jan07 Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  BROCK ON BY Feb10 Nov08 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 119 3.50    
SCR  CHROME BABY Feb10 Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
SCR  PARROT HEAD Feb18 Jan30       (g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
SCR  BIZZY LEGS Jan28 Jan06 Nov19 Nov08 Oct20 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 119 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.