Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/4/6)-(1/2/7/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(6)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/3/2/4)-(6/1/3/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(1/4/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/4/6)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/3/2)-(1/4/6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/3/2)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/4/1)-(5/3/2/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(6/3/5)-(4/6/1/5/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/2/4)-(6/3/5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/6/1/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(4/6/1/5/8)-(1/2/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/6/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5/8)-(4/6/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5/8)-(4/6/1/5/8)-(4/6/1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5/8)-(1/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5/8)-(1/2/7)-(3/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/5/6)-(1/2/7/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(3/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/10)-(3/10/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/10)-(3/10/8/6)-(3/10/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S DO THIS Jan26 Nov24 Nov04 Oct06 Sep02 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  ODINA Jan18 Jan06 Dec02     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 12% 7.10    
3  XPOSED SECRET Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21   (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
4  WISHING FOR SPRING Jan21 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21   (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 ★    
5  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY Jan21 Jan06 Dec02     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
6  XALTINGRUN Dec02 Oct21       (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 ★    
7  AWESOME MOON Jan21 Jan06 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 (jones michael )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 9% 9.70    
 
CT-2   02/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 Nov25 May05 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 ★    
2  WE B SHACKIN Nov17         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 ★    
3  TRIKITRAKI Jan07 Nov25 Sep02 May27 Apr24 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 ★    
4  BILLINGSGATE Jan01 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct15 (magana jose )BATISTA A 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  ROCKET SOUND Jan27 Dec01 Nov10 Oct05 Sep23 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
6  MI GUSTO ES Jan21 Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 Oct19 (rodriguez angel)BOCACHICA O 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
 
CT-3   02/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACCACI Dec14 Nov18 Nov02 Jul01 Jan23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of BEAT THE BLUES by GREAT PYRAMID (IRE))
2  LIL BOSS Dec27         (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 8.00 ★    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SARA'S CAPE by CAPE TOWN)
3  DR. CALKINS Jun10 May26 May13 Apr20   (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 124 1.80 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BATTLE GIRL by BATTLE CRY)
4  DYSFUNCTIONAL         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by JUMP START out of LITTLEBITABLING by CARSON CITY)
5  T J STORM VISION Jan13         (hunt ja)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of STORM BOUNTY by MYSTERY STORM)
6  MAKAAN         (soldo elaine)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 14% 6.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
 
CT-4   02/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASHION ICON Jan05 Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 ★    
2  DECISIVE CAUSE Jan19 Jan12 Dec08 Nov25 Nov04 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 10% 8.50    
3  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Jan14 Nov16 Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  CUMULONIMBUS Jan12 Dec10 Oct14 Aug21 Jul31 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 2.00 ★    
5  DIAL HER Jan12 Nov17 Oct13 Sep14 Mar11 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
6  FORT ZANNA Jan12 Dec16 Nov18 Nov02 Oct14 (walters l)BAEZ M 115 10.00    
7  TAPPING SOUTH Oct12 Oct01 Jun23 May28 May07 (barahona isaac)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
 
CT-5   02/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAL ROBINSON Jan14 Dec09       (shanley mark)BAEZ M 115 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI (BRZ) out of BROOKSIE ROBINSON by CITY ZIP)
2  BARB'S PRIDE Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 Oct29 Oct01 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 ★    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ANOFFICERANDALADY by OFFICER)
3  BABY BULLDOG Jan14 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of POLLARD'S GIRL by POLLARD'S VISION)
4  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Jan14 Dec09 Nov25 Oct28   (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 ★    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of REGAL DAVIDA by HOLY BULL)
5  IRISH VALENTINE         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 117 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of INDIAN BEAUTY by FAST BULLET)
6  CALERA LOVE Jan13         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 117 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
SCR  KIDMAN KERRY Jan24 Nov01 Oct18 Sep24   (whylie o)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STARSONHERSHOULDER by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
CT-6   02/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHAMITA Jan30 Jan18 Jan06 Dec18 Dec09 (cash norman )LEWIS M 115 1.60 15% 5.50    
2  DIAMONDS N DENIM Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 Aug17 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
3  VICTORY ROYALE Jan21 Dec12 Dec04 Nov06 Oct07 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
4  KATALIMA Jan14 Dec10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct28 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  GOLDEN SWEETS Jan27 Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 8% 12.30    
6  CODAS HONOR Jan19 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
7  CAPTIVATING GAL Jan28 Jan15 Nov30 Jan01   (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
8  SKYFLY Jan21 Jan06 Dec10 Oct22 Oct07 (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   02/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDIOSELY Jan25 Nov04 Sep23 Jun05 May08 (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  THELADYISTRUE Jan14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep22 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
3  WITNESS THE ENERGY Jan14 Dec07 Nov06 Oct20 Sep29 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
4  JUBA'S HOUSE Jan14 Dec07 Nov11 Oct20 Sep22 (casey a)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
5  LUNAR PRAYER Jan11 Dec17 Nov05 Oct15 Sep29 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 ★    
6  CEDAR'S WISH Jan20 Jan14 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 ★    
7  ALL WORKED UP Jan25 Jan14 Dec09 Nov26 Apr08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 7% 12.50    
8  CASTLE LIGHTS Jan14 Dec07 Nov09 Oct08 Sep21 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
 
CT-8   02/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEPRETTYTHING Jan18 Dec14 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 (smith osbor)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
2  LIFE IN FLASH Jan13 Nov18 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
3  MISS MORENO Sep21 Sep03 Aug15 Aug08 Jun24 (allen ferris)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
4  CONGRESS HALL Jan06 Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 May30 (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
SCR  BEARAKONTIE Jan18 May27 Mar16 Feb22 Feb04 (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  STYLISH PAINT Dec10 Oct15 Sep24 Aug04 Jun10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
7  SHE FIGURES Jan13 Dec10 Oct29 Oct05 Sep09 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
8  SHACKABOOM Jan18 Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 Jul29 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 115 6.00 ★    
9  SEEDS OF TIME Jan18 Dec10 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 (davis billy)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00    
10  ONLY REWARD'S Jan18 Sep25 Aug17 Jul13 Jun21 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
11  SHINY PENNY Jan27 Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 Nov14 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.