Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5/2/6)-(1/4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4)-(7/1/5/2/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)-(4/8/5/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-2   WIN (7/1/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2/4)-(4/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2/4)-(4/8/5/6)-(1/6/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/6)-(4/8/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/6)-(4/8/5/6/9)-(4/8/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/5/6)-(1/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/6)-(1/6/4/7)-(7/6/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7/3)-(1/6/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7)-(7/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7)-(7/6/2/3)-(7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3/1)-(7/6/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/2/3)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/3)-(7/4/2)-(4/7/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/3/6)-(7/4/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(4/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(4/7/3/1)-(9/12/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1/6)-(4/7/3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/3/1)-(9/12/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/1)-(9/12/2)-(11/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-8   WIN (9/12/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/12/2)-(9/12/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/12/2)-(9/12/2/6/7)-(9/12/2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/12/2)-(11/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-9   WIN (11/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/9/4)-(11/9/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/9/4)-(11/9/4/1)-(11/9/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 45 M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE AND SPEIGHT Nov17 Sep19 Aug14 Jul02 May06 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  BELL PEPPER Dec19 Nov25 Oct22     (winslow janine)DIEGO V 123 4.50 ★    
3  ROSITA LA CARINOSA Nov12 Oct22       (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00    
4  GANGSTER RAP         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  CUPID'S JOY Jan16 Dec15 Dec07 Nov12 Nov02 (davidson sa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 ★    
6  J M SKY CLASSIC Jan15 Aug14 May12 Apr28 Mar18 (m)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 ★    
 
HOU-2   01/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Jan08 Dec17 Dec07 Nov24 Aug25 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
2  CALCULATING KING Jan08 Dec16 Nov08 Jul18 Jun24 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  MEAN CANNON Jan14 Nov15 Oct23 Oct03 Sep25 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00    
4  AFLEET SNIPER Jan06 Dec09 Nov08 Oct12 Sep08 (pruitt jody )ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
5  BIG MONEY MACHINE Dec15 Nov11 Oct28 Sep28 Sep08 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
6  RAILROADER (GB) Aug27 Jul17 Jul02 May22 Mar25 (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 10.00    
7  SAMURAI CAUSE Jan06 Dec16 Nov02 Oct20 Oct15 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
HOU-3   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L L COOL GREY Jan14 Dec09 Nov22 Oct01 Aug20 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00    
2  MORO LINGERIE Nov19 Oct26 Oct13 Aug27 Jul23 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
3  XTRA SPICY Jan08 Oct14 Sep14 Sep07 Jul21 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
4  COLD NIGHT AIR Aug07 Jul25 Jul09 Jun23 May14 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  HONOR GIVEN May28 May07 Apr08 Mar02 Feb04 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00 8% 11.00    
6  RECLUSIVE Jan08 Sep25 Sep05 Feb23   (h)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUMBERJACK LESLIE Jul04 May22 May14 Apr02 Mar19 (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
8  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Jul09 Mar02 Jan27     (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
9  GEE SHE'S FANCY Jan14 Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 Jul23 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 ★    
 
HOU-4   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIEVIEW Dec17 Oct28 Oct01 Sep02   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  FOREVER LIGHTS Dec15 Nov19 Oct28 Oct12   (ashford ray)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00    
3  MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Jan08 Dec17 Nov30 Nov11 Oct21 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 ★    
4  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Dec17 Oct28 Sep25 Sep08 Aug19 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 3.50 8% 10.90    
5  HOW BOUT ME Jan08 Dec14 Nov19 Oct12 Sep03 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00    
6  SANTA FE GOLD Oct07 Sep15 Jul17 Jun25   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
7  RIOBELLA Jan08 Nov21 Oct28 Oct05   (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 8.00 5% 18.10    
 
HOU-5   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS HOLIDAY Jan06 Oct28 Oct12 Sep14 Aug19 (padilla car)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 ★    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of QUEENS PEG by IN EXCESS (IRE))
2  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL Jan06         (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of MY GOLDENS A HONEY by MY GOLDEN SONG)
3  REASON OVER RICHES Jan06         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 6% 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
4  BLINGONMERCURY Jan07 Jul21 Jun26     (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
5  THE NEXT BIG BLING Jan07         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
6  SATIN HEART Jan06 Jun19 May19     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  TWITTER TRAFFIC         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ALL A TWITTER by D'WILDCAT)
8  CRANKY SHEILA Jan06 Dec14       (w)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLING'S ACE by TOO MUCH BLING)
9  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Jul21 Jul10       (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
HOU-6   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A KNOCKOUT         (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
2  DRENCHED Jan15 Oct07       (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00 8% 11.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of UNBRIDLED MAGIC by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  BLOOMING HILLS Nov02 Oct12 Sep09 Jul04   (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 6.00 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of CALL FOR FIRE by WAR CHANT)
4  WINDY BAY Dec31 Dec01 Oct26 Sep18 Aug05 (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 9% 10.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of CO by CANDY RIDE)
5  OIL N CANDY         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ECHO WARRIOR by TIZNOW)
6  FAME STREET Oct08 Sep14 Aug20     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 ★    
  (by STREET SENSE out of NEWSREEL (IRE) by A.P. INDY)
7  MIZ CALI Jan13 Dec14 Nov25 Nov19 Aug28 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  BETYAR AZETS Dec18 Nov02 Aug20     (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BETYAR by UNCLE MO)
9  CHARMING LEAH         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
10  MISCHIEF ANGEL Nov11         (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ANGEL'S FLIGHT by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
HOU-7   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLEE'S SHADOW Jan06 Jul10 Jun19 May14   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
2  TRICKY CARLA Jun05         (c)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MY LITTLE TRICK by LITTLEEXPECTATIONS)
3  MISSINGYOUCRAZY         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of WON PESO by VICTORY GALLOP)
4  CANDY BEE Jul10         (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of CANDY ON THE ROCKS by TWIRLING CANDY)
5  FLIGHT TO LONDON         (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of LADY LONDON by THE FACTOR)
6  HIGINIA Jan06         (brav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
7  TWISTED BRADE Aug15 Jul21 Jun19 Jun05   (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of CAUGHT INTHE ZIP by CITY ZIP)
8  MOONPIE IN THE SKY Jan06         (dupuy allen)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of READUM N REAP by YOUR EMINENCE)
SCR  AZUNIA Jan15         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DEELOCA by NAJRAN)
10  CANDY DAY         (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRIFOLIUM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
HOU-8   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE CANE SUGAR Dec07         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
2  MY CALANTE Jan06 Dec15 Nov26 Nov03 Oct06 (roberts blai)MONTALVO C 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  STOLICH Dec09 Nov15 Oct27 Sep24   (ashford ra)PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00    
4  IMMA BLINGY LAD Jan14         (tuley rhonda)JUDE JOHN 122 20.00    
5  TREASURE COAST Dec15 Nov26 Oct27     (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 20.00    
6  WEST JET Jan14 Dec07 Aug06     (caster boyd)DIEGO V 122 4.50 ★    
7  BIG TICKET         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 ★    
8  PEARL'S EARL Dec07 Nov07 Oct01     (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
9  JERSEY JIM Nov22 Nov07       (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 35% 1.90    
10  ELUSIVEDESTINATION Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 Oct22   (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00    
11  EAGLEFORD         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
12  GUSTAVO Jan06 Aug29 Aug08     (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
HOU-9   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY RIDGE Jan14 Oct22 Sep11 Aug20 Aug02 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 ★    
2  CINCO RICHIE Nov30 Nov05 Oct22 Oct14 Sep09 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.00    
SCR  WHISKEY OVER ICE Sep10 Jun19 May29 May08 Apr23 (gomez david)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50 61% 0.60    
4  WINGS FOR ENO Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Jul22 Jul09 (payne w)LUZZI J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LINC'S BOY Jan06 Jul24 Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00    
6  SINGING DIXIE Oct26 Oct01 Sep10 Aug19 Jul21 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00    
7  PHARME'S PHAITH Sep27 Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 Jul24 (j)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
8  VICTOR VALENTINO Jan06 Sep03 Jul21 Jun19 May28 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
9  GHOSTER Oct19 Sep20 Jul24 Jul02 May08 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00 6% 15.60    
10  BULLS IN THE BRONX Jul22 May15 Mar24 Mar03 Feb09 (bravenec )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00    
11  GHOST COWBOY Nov10 Oct19 Jul15 Apr23 Mar26 (briley lonn)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 9% 9.70    
12  CAPTAINS COVE Jan05 Dec20 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 (butle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
SCR  SILVER AND GOLD Jul24 Jul02 Jun23 May29 May14 (j)DE CRUZ 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.