Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/6/1/5)-(4/2/6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/2)-(6/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3/1/7)-(6/2/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2)-(6/3/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(6/3/7/2)-(6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/2)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/2)-(6/4)-(8/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(8/3/4)-(3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(3/2)-(1/6/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-6   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/6/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/6/8/7)-(7/8/9/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-7   WIN (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7/5)-(1/6/8/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/7)-(7/8/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/7)-(7/8/9/4)-(9/8/4/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4/6)-(7/8/9/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/9/4)-(9/8/4/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-9   WIN (9/8/4/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/7/1)-(9/8/4/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/7/1)-(9/8/4/7/1)-(9/8/4/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER WINGS Dec16 Nov21 Nov05 Oct15 Sep26 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.00 ★    
2  DRIVEHAPPY Sep25 Sep01 Feb24     (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  DETECTIVE BERNARDO Sep27 Aug28 Jun26     (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
4  HONDO LANE Dec03 Oct15 Sep28 Jul23 Jul08 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
5  DUDE PERFECTA Jan07 Dec10 Nov30 Nov07 Jun24 (j)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 7% 12.60    
6  WESTONS WILDCAT Dec03 Nov08 Oct12 Sep17 Sep03 (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-2   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVINS' WARRIOR Jan07 Nov16 Oct21     (gelner )GONCALVES R 122 3.50 ★    
2  TOP HONORS Jan07 Dec07 Jul23     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 32% 2.10    
3  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO Jan07         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 ★    
4  RED DRAW Nov03 Sep24 Sep02 Jul17 Jun26 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.00    
5  NIGHT GUARD Jan07         (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
6  FORT HOOD Jan07 Dec07       (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  MY LITTLE PRINCE Jun05 May15       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 5.00 ★    
 
HOU-3   01/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY EVE Jul02 Jun11 May15 Feb24   (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of EVENING ESCAPADE by LIAISON)
2  TRANQUILITY Jan08         (hurley tina)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of DYNACHICK by DYNAFORMER)
3  GHOST BAYOU Nov14 Sep03 Aug06 Jul08   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GAL ABOUT TOWN by CITY ZIP)
SCR  CAT ATE THE CANARY         (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 15.00 7% 13.80    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LAZER LASS by FORT LARNED)
5  CLAIRE JUNE Oct01 Sep14 Aug20 Jan01   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
  (by LEA out of CAMILLE GAREY by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  BODEFIDE Jan07 Nov18 Oct26 Sep24   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
7  WISE MEMORIES Dec30 Nov27       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 11% 8.50    
  (by TAPIT out of WICKEDLY WISE by TACTICAL CAT)
 
HOU-4   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAN'S MIRACLE MAN Jan15 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22   (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
2  HEROIC SONG Dec09 Nov14 Nov07 Oct05 Sep16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
3  FIRST AVENUE Jan07 Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 Jun23 (h)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 ★    
4  MISTER K Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 Oct14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
5  MIRANDEN Dec17 Nov05 Oct08     (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 ★    
6  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Aug27 Jun25 May13 Mar18 Feb20 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  COUNTRY BRAVE Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 (davis shawn)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00    
 
HOU-5   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUROROSE Dec16 Nov25 Nov04     (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
SCR  CHATON ROUGE Jan13 Dec10 Nov25 Oct27 Sep25 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00 7% 12.40    
3  AMANTE DE SARA Jul23 Jul03 Jun19 May27 May06 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
4  BLUEGRASS DIXIE Nov12 Sep27 Jul03 Jun19 May29 (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANGEL WHISPER Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 Sep02 (p)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
6  HIGH DEF RIDGE Jan08 Sep17 Jul23 May13 Apr08 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 15.00    
SCR  COSMETOLOGY Nov19 Sep28 Sep07 Jul24 Jul09 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
8  INDY LOVER Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 Oct06 Sep15 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
HOU-6   01/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE ON THE TREE Nov03 Oct01 Jul03 Jun10   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50    
2  SOUL SACRIFICE Nov11 Oct20 Sep21     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
3  CHUY GARZA Y. G. Jan08 Nov30 Nov05 Sep21 Aug27 (mendoza edg)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00 11% 7.80    
4  STRICTLY CONFIDENT Nov25 Oct28       (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 3.50    
5  WINGS OF GOLD Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Jul08 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 ★    
6  MOR LANA SPIRIT Nov21 Oct28 Sep02     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 2.50    
7  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Dec09 Nov03 Oct01 Sep15   (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
SCR  HULLINAHURRY Nov12 Oct15 Sep15     (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  PINCH ME A PENNY Dec02 Oct15 Sep23 Aug08 Jul17 (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00 ★    
 
HOU-7   01/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOKOKOMO Dec01 Nov04 Oct06 Mar24 Feb24 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  GOSPEL MUSKETEER Dec15 Nov15 Oct21 Oct14 Sep23 (williams f)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00    
SCR  POKER PLAY Dec14 Nov18 Nov02 Oct07 Sep17 (caster boyd)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
4  LAB RAT Nov14 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep01 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 123 6.00    
5  LEGIONARY Dec14 Nov18 Oct28 Oct01 Sep10 (young e)LUZZI J 123 3.00 ★    
6  GREAT FACES Jan06 Dec15 Dec03 Nov18 Oct28 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.50 14% 6.10    
7  RIVER KAT Dec03 Nov05 Oct05 Sep21 Sep03 (keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 9% 10.20    
8  TURN ON THE MAGIC Jan14 Dec22 Dec03 Nov08 Oct26 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
 
HOU-8   01/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFINITE MORO Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 Aug13 Jul24 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
2  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Jan13 Oct20 Sep12 Aug13 Jul23 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
3  MORO COOL Oct27 Oct12 Sep19 Sep03 Aug20 (payne danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
4  NOAH Jul23 Jun24 May22 May01 Apr09 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  A HUNK OF HEAVEN Apr28 Apr09 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 (baldillez)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 3.50    
6  KLIMCO Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 Sep11 Aug22 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 ★    
7  FEARLESS PRINCE Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 May29 May08 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 55% 0.80    
8  TEXAS PRADO Jan06 Dec02 Nov19 Oct20 Sep29 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 12% 7.40    
9  MORO FLYBOY Dec08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep23 Aug22 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 7% 12.60    
10  PARABELLUM Jan06 Dec19 Dec01 Nov08 Oct16 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI GOLD Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun04 (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
 
HOU-9   01/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GOLDEN BLING Dec09 Nov18 Oct19 Sep22 Sep08 (chacaltana dom)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOC'S DENITA Jan14 Oct27 Sep23 Sep07 Jun09 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00    
3  SHACKLELACKALACKA Nov18 Oct19 May30 May21 May07 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 12.00    
4  STALEMATE Nov22 Oct20 Sep29 Sep14 Jul24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
5  MY BABYS GONE Nov12 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep08 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 119 4.50    
SCR  EXCETERA Dec14 Nov03 Oct05 Sep14 May02 (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON 119 15.00    
7  SCARLET POSITION Dec17 Nov22 Nov12 Nov03 Oct07 (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 12.00 9% 9.90    
8  MISSISZIPPY BLING Jan08 Nov22 Nov04 Oct14 Oct07 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
9  AIKEN TO BE Oct15 Sep08 Aug21 Jun25 Jun04 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
10  FREEZER BURN Nov27 Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 Aug18 (montano wilf)EDISON JOCELYN 114 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.