Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/5/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/5/3/1)-(2/7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7)-(7/9/6/1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(7/9/6/1/2)-(10/4/5/9) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/9/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/1/2)-(7/9/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/1/2)-(7/9/6/1/2)-(7/9/6/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/6/1/2)-(10/4/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/1/2)-(10/4/5/9)-(1/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/9)-(10/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/9)-(10/4/5/9)-(10/4/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/4/5/9)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/4/5/9)-(1/2)-(1/2/3/9/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/2/3/9/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/2/3/9/7)-(7/4/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/2/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/9/7)-(1/2/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/9/7)-(1/2/3/9/7)-(1/2/3/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/3/9/7)-(7/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/9/7)-(7/4/3)-(6/5/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/6/3/5)-(7/4/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(6/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1/7)-(6/5/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/4/1)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/1)-(6/1)-(10/3/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(10/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-9   WIN (10/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/9/6)-(10/3/1/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY BOY Nov19 Oct22       (breaux samuel)BIRZER E 117 4.50    
1A  A'DEBRIS Dec19 Dec01 Nov09     (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 117 4.50 ★    
2  MARKS PROMISE Dec30         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  MOR BIG LEE Dec19 Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 Jul17 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 112 6.00 ★    
4  I SEE CLEARLY NOW Nov22 Oct29 Oct14     (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 117 10.00    
5  HALF FULL Dec10 Nov09       (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00 ★    
6  CLEARLY WAR Dec15         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00    
7  CUSTOM CRESCENT Nov30         (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
DED-2   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SARCASTIC TONE Dec20 Dec03 Nov11 Oct26 Oct12 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  DOCTOR LEO Dec30 Dec09 Nov26 Nov17 Oct13 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 3.00    
2  MACHO ROCCO Nov11 Oct08 Sep17 Aug31 Aug17 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 6% 15.40    
3  IN THE ARCH Nov18 Aug18 Jun30 Jun15 Apr21 (mojica a)BIRZER E 117 12.00    
SCR  SLITHER Dec17 Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Sep18 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 114 15.00    
5  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Aug21 Jul12 May24 May15   (dunn ra)VARGAS P 114 15.00    
6  EXTIRPATOR Dec10 Nov17 Oct13 Sep04 Aug02 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 15% 5.60    
7  UNION STATION Dec27 Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 Aug17 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 3.50 29% 2.50    
8  CUCINA Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 Sep16 Jul16 (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 117 6.00    
9  POMEROY HAZE Dec03 Nov02 Oct21 Oct05 Sep23 (gustafson aust)THORNTON G 117 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
DED-3   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS FRIDAY Dec09 Sep17 Jul30 Jul04 Jun20 (johnson henry )COTTO L 120 10.00    
SCR  MOSHINYFUTURE Dec02 Oct15 Sep04     (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
3  BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA         (tracy greg)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
4  SUNNY AND CLEAR Dec30         (bruno )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
5  CAJUN TRINITY Dec09         (klanfer alan)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  BRITNEY B.         (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
7  BROADWAY PEARL Dec30 Jul04 Jun20     (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 120 15.00    
8  XTRAFRIESWITHAT         (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
9  VODKA SUNRISE Dec30 Dec02 Nov22     (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  MARDI GRAS ALARM Dec10 Nov16       (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  COUNTRY LADY Dec23 Nov16 Oct08 Aug20   (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 3.00 ★    
 
DED-4   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS WOW WOW Dec29 Dec16 Nov23 Sep17 Jul24 (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 23% 3.30    
2  FLAT ROSE Dec20 Nov19 Jun16 May07 Apr13 (bourque warren)BACA L 120 12.00 6% 15.00    
3  GALAXY AFFAIR Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Oct13 Jul16 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 120 10.00    
SCR  SUE HAPPY Jan04 Dec21 Nov25 Oct13 Aug26 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  I LOVE YOU MORE Dec29 Dec09 Nov19 Oct26 Oct15 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 3.50    
6  LUMBERJACK EMPIRE Aug24 Jul30 Jun16 Jun05 Apr13 (romero j)BOURQUE J 120 5.00    
SCR  TABLE ONE Dec29 Dec01 Nov09 Sep03 Aug18 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
8  ANIME DAY Jan04 Dec09 Oct26 Oct12 Aug26 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 ★    
 
DED-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT'S LADY Dec27 Nov26 Nov09 Oct15 Sep30 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 ★    
1A  BRINEE Nov18 Nov10 Oct13 Oct05 Jul08 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE Dec27 Dec07 Nov19 Oct21 Oct12 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jan04 Dec16 Nov26 Nov05 Oct19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.00    
3  MARILYN'S MAGIC Dec27 Oct26 Oct15 Sep06 Jul11 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
4  MARAMA Nov26 Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jul01 (del er)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00    
5  MY REBEL GIRL Dec27 Dec16 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 (landry jaco)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
6  WHO DAT GREY Dec16 Dec07 Nov19 Oct28 Oct12 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 6.00    
7  CLOCKED IN TYME Oct21 Aug11 Jul09 Apr23 Apr09 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SEGOVIANA Dec27 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
9  BEAUX TOX Nov19 Oct28 May31 May15 Mar05 (turner patti)STOKES J 117 15.00 10% 8.70    
 
DED-6   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PUZZLING PRIORITY Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct20 Sep18 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
2  SOPHIE'S PRAYER May29 May11 Apr23 Feb23 Jan08 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 118 8.00    
3  SIENNA BREEZE Jan01 Nov23 Oct12 Sep06 Aug17 (rosier charles)MCMAHON J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DROP DEAD SEXY Nov18 Oct05 Sep11 Aug06 Jul12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  LADY HOPPER Nov16 Jun16 Jun04 May11 Mar05 (ludwig b)STOKES J 118 5.00 ★    
6  MY SISTER ANNETTE Dec17 Nov16 Sep11 Aug20 Jul12 (schultz robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50 ★    
7  SNOWBALL Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 Aug27 Aug06 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
8  MISS JANA Nov18 Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 Feb05 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 6.00    
 
DED-7   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKING GUN (GB) Dec29 Nov30 Sep29 Sep11 Jul31 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 10.00 12% 7.60    
2  NATE'S REVENGE Dec21 Nov30 Oct21 Jul29 Jul02 (mojica a)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
3  DALLAS GOLD Dec27 Dec15 Nov04 Oct02 Sep18 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 10.00    
4  HIGHTAIL COWBOY Dec21 Nov30 Nov17 Nov04 Oct15 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  SCREENPLAY Dec27 Nov30 Oct15 Aug27 Aug13 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  GOLDEN QUALITY Dec27 Nov30 Nov05 Oct12 Sep18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  PAYNT BATTLE Dec27 Dec01 Nov11 Oct29 Oct06 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 120 5.00 ★    
 
DED-8   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND JURY Nov18 Oct16 Sep22 Aug30   (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  SON CARLOS Aug09 Jul12 Jun04 May09 Feb25 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 117 6.00 ★    
3  GOLDEN SOPO Dec28 Dec15 Nov23     (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 12.00    
4  MEANT FOR ME May29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan13   (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 ★    
SCR  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jan14         (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 19% 4.40    
6  ELUSIVE WAR Dec01 Nov04 Oct06 Sep17 Aug20 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  MCKAY Dec28 Aug28 Aug14 Jan21 Jan06 (ramire)RUIZ GARCIA 117 15.00    
8  MEET KEVIN Dec21         (romero john )BARRERA J 112 15.00    
9  TAPIT TO THE LINE Oct14 Aug13 Jul21 Jun17 Apr06 (brown i)STOKES A 120 10.00    
 
DED-9   01/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALCULATED         (del eri)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00 13% 6.60    
2  G E H GIANTS WAY Dec01 Nov18 Oct27     (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 12.00    
3  TEXAS TURBINE Dec02 Nov11 Oct20 Aug12   (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  RAZZ Dec20         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
5  MALIBU MONEY Dec28 Dec08 Nov23 Nov04 Oct20 (mojica)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
6  OMG UR KIDDING ME Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 Oct07   (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MACER THE RACER Dec28 Dec15 Mar11     (dixon tim)VARGAS P 123 20.00    
8  CHECKULATER Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar13   (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
9  YO PLAY Dec28 Sep13       (roberts ke)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 5.00 ★    
10  LITTLE PUCK Dec20 Dec07 Nov25 Nov04 May06 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.