Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULTRY SALLY H Nov26         (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00    
MYSISTERNANCY Nov26 Nov06 Oct16 Sep25 Aug28 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
BROOKLYN GIRL Nov06         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 122 12.00    
SCR  GRACE AND CHARM Nov06 Oct08 Sep11     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
MAMA'S EYES Sep02         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
SUSANAS LUCKYCHARM Dec04         (frock charl)PAREDES JHOVANY 108 30.00    
DONNA'S COURAGE Nov12 Oct13       (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
 
LRL-2   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 2 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL DREAMING Nov19 Oct22 Aug31 Aug09 Jun19 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Nov07 Oct16 Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 6.00    
ICE CUBE BABY Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 Sep25 Sep18 (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00    
MUSICMANSANDY Nov19 Oct16 Sep02 Jul14 Jun22 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 115 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  NEVER DONE Oct21 Sep18 Sep05 Jul20   (capuano dale)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
FINE ALEIGH Oct29 Oct12       (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00 5% 17.60    
FANCEE GRACE C Nov25 Oct12 Sep07 Aug25 Jul09 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
DON'T TELL DEREN Nov25 Oct29 Oct16 Sep30 Jul23 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
 
LRL-3   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOSS LOGIC Dec03 Sep30 Sep15 Jul21 Jul07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 72% 0.40    
SCR  GUILLAUME Nov30 Nov09 Oct27 Oct01 Sep09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
MEAN MACHINE Nov18 Oct01 Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00    
GOLDEN GULLEY Nov26 Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 Sep07 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
CROUCHELLI Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 Jul29 (vukelic robert)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
SCR  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 Sep07 Aug22 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 5.00    
MONEY RIDE Oct13 Jul27 Jun26 May08 Apr21 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
PIT BOSS Nov15 Nov02 Oct27 Oct15 Sep24 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 126 12.00    
SCR  PICASSO Jun24 May20 Apr20 Mar11 Feb05 (walden willia)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
WALK AWAY JOE Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 Sep09 Aug20 (capuano dale)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
 
LRL-4   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY OUT Nov24 Nov12 Oct09 Sep18 Sep05 (capuano dale)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
FUNNYBET Nov24 Sep24 May03 Feb12   (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50    
AWESOME VIEW Nov11 Nov03 Oct21 Oct13 Sep22 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
BAHAMA PEARL Nov11 Oct22 Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 6.00    
SCR  PROPER ATTIRE Nov11 Oct13 Sep23 Jul30 Jun26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  DEVILISH AFFAIR Dec03 Nov24 Nov13 Oct27 Oct09 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING GAL Nov30 Jan01       (rodriguez )MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 30.00    
 
LRL-5   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY JOY Nov07 Oct20 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
AWESOME DYNAMO Nov20 Oct20 Sep10 Aug06 Jul15 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50    
RED DEVOLUTION Nov20 Jul30       (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 20.00    
NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Dec09 Nov18 Oct15 Sep11   (magee kieron)BATISTA A 125 6.00 6% 15.50    
WEST VIRGINIA BOY Dec06 Oct20 Sep29 Aug14 Jul29 (rawlings amanda )CRUZ ANGEL 126 20.00    
CALL ME MAESTRO         (dilodovico)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00    
WIRED IN Oct20 Oct08 Feb27     (eppler e)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 5.00    
TEGO Nov27 Nov07       (casey m)LOPEZ DERECK 111 30.00    
GET THEM DIGITS Nov07 Oct08 Sep05 Aug09 Jul20 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 125 3.50 62% 0.60    
10  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Nov29 Nov07 Oct07 Sep05 Aug19 (zerpa gilber)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00 7% 12.60    
 
LRL-6   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARDANI Nov24 Oct14 Sep25 Sep01 Jul08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  CELTIC TREASURE Dec03 Nov03 Oct10 Sep24 Sep06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
AWESOME MAN Nov24 Sep25 Aug07 Jun10 May14 (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
OUR LUCKY MAN Nov26 Oct27 Oct16 Sep25 Sep03 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
MAGIC MULE Nov21 Oct16 Sep24 Aug14 Jul22 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
NOSTALGIC RUN Nov26 Oct14 May13 Apr22 Feb21 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
MOSE PERFECT Nov24 Oct29 Sep25 Aug14 Jul09 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50    
SCR  PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH Nov21 Oct16 Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 15.00    
TATE Nov24 Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 Sep07 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
HACHURE Nov26 Oct14 Sep25 Aug17 Jul30 (cole wayne)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 30.00    
SCR  LATE NIGHT LARRY Nov24 Sep24 Jun25 May26   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00    
 
LRL-7   12/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY REPLY Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 Oct21 Oct06 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
HYDRA Nov26 Nov08 Oct23 Apr23 Apr03 (englehart jeffre)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50    
MADERA Nov19 Jan20       (hillegass alex)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00 7% 12.40    
FACTORINTHEHEAT Nov11 Oct21       (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 114 12.00    
MY LOVELY GIRL Nov26 Nov15 Oct22 Oct02 Sep23 (larrosa)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 8.00 12% 7.70    
BACI Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 Aug27 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
SPICY MARGARITA Nov19 Nov11 Oct02 Sep17 Aug12 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
BEHIND THE COUCH Nov21 Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.50    
 
LRL-8   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRY WELL Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 Sep30 Aug14 (walters henry)KARAMANOS A 125 10.00    
LA CASA D'ORO Oct30 Jul15 Jun12 May20 Apr22 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
COMBAT QUEEN Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 Aug26 Jul23 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.00    
MIT MAZEL Nov21 Nov06 Sep30 Apr01 Feb25 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00    
BLUEBERRY INDYGO Jul21 May19 Apr09 Feb25 Jan28 (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
THAT'S SOME KISS Nov24 Oct21 Sep16 Aug21 Aug05 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
SCR  PROPER STORM         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
WHO KNOWS WHAT Nov18 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 Aug19 (trombetta micha)GARCIA LUIS 126 5.00    
MY FLICKER Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Oct07 Sep05 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
LRL-9   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK UNITY Nov25 Nov03 Oct19 Oct01 Sep21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 2.50 49% 1.00    
UNION FLEET Nov27 Nov07 Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
SHOOT THEMESSENGER Dec03 Nov25 Nov03 Oct26 Oct14 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 125 4.50 6% 15.90    
BURGEE Nov25 Oct15 Sep14 Aug12 Jul08 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Dec02 Nov20 Oct26 Oct01 Sep10 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 Sep23 Aug27 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00    
SCR  LORD MIO Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Aug12 Jul08 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 15.00    
SCR  ASHAAB Dec06 Nov18 Oct24 Sep03 Aug16 (parra hernan)ARAUJO DENIS 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.