Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   12/15/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIPARI Nov11 Oct07       (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
MY INSANITY Nov11 Sep16       (williams mat)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 20.00    
SUBTLE FAITH         (palmer nicho)MORELOS E 118 8.00 6% 15.80    
ARTIFACT (GB) Nov27 Nov04       (sano antonio)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  MISS KRISTY Nov13 Oct12 Sep07 Aug10   (cibelli jane)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 8.00    
CLOUD STORAGE Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 Sep16 Aug07 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
ROYAL JUBILEE Dec01 Nov05       (zerpa gilber)ZAYAS J 118 20.00    
INFLUENTIALOUS Oct27 Sep01 Aug05 Jun05   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
SING SCAT Nov25 Oct30 Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 (rodriq)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
10  AMOR SALVAJE Nov27         (garoffalo jose)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
11  MY REAL DREAM Oct23 Sep23       (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 17.80    
SCR  FOR THE THRILL Nov11         (williams mat)TORRES A 111 20.00    
SCR  LA PALMA Dec01 Sep16 Aug26     (moubarak mohamm)PANICI LUCA 118 20.00    
SCR  GO MIKA Dec01 Oct23       (spatz b)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
SCR  IRON LOTUS Dec01 Sep25       (bayeh edgar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  SAMURAI'SDON'TCRY Oct16         (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
 
GP-2   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEQUIN LADY Nov19 Oct15 Sep08 Aug08 Jul17 (danner kelsey)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
CROWDING OUT Sep25 Sep05 Aug19 Jul20   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50    
SCR  ULIKEAPPLES Oct07 Sep17 Aug13 Jun17 Jun03 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
ONE IDENTITY Nov19 Jul22 Jun18 May21 Apr09 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
BABY BLUE EYES Dec04 Nov10 Aug06 Jul15 Jun12 (hiles a)SUTHERLAND C 118 15.00    
SCR  TANK TOP Nov13 Jun09 May08 Apr10   (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 120 15.00    
DESIGNED BY KITTEN Oct25 Oct03 Sep09 Aug02 Jul03 (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
 
GP-3   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANCE PELUSA Oct27         (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
MY MICROBURST Nov20         (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 6.00    
LADY PETAL Nov27 Oct23 Sep23 Sep02 Aug21 (mcgoey monic)TORRES A 111 4.00    
SCR  MAJOR PRYCE Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.40 31% 2.20    
RESONANCIA Nov25 Oct16       (gaffney emmy)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
I LOVE IRELAND Nov27 Oct30 Sep11     (hurtak daniel)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
GREY PRINCESS         (o'dwyer jeremiah)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
TWO BEER BUZZ Dec03 Oct30 Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 (pinnock hubert)PANICI LUCA 118 10.00 6% 16.20    
 
GP-4   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERESTING GEM Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 (yanez reyn)PIMENTEL JR 121 6.00    
SPONGER         (orseno josep)TORRES A 114 4.50 31% 2.20    
MISSY TOO         (green su)BERTICELLI E 124 20.00    
BREEZY CONNECTION Nov25 Oct29 Oct02     (maragh a)KRIGGER K 121 2.00    
VELOCISSIMA Nov19         (amado enrique)PEREZ EDGAR 121 8.00 35% 1.80    
RESTORATION Jan14         (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 121 8.00    
HEIRESSTRAY Oct16         (pompay terri)REYES LEONEL 121 2.50 10% 9.40    
SHOW ME LOVE Nov25 Oct08 Sep16 Aug28 Jul02 (negrete j)HERNANDEZ H 121 20.00    
 
GP-5   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL ROMANTICO Oct01 Sep23 Aug06 Jul19 Jul02 (lanum crystal)BORACO DAVID 123 20.00    
POETIC CODE Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 120 4.00    
BACH (IRE) Nov26 Oct01 Jul10 Jun18 May15 (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 123 12.00    
DOUBLE BLESSING Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 Sep25 Aug27 (ritvo )VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
RARE JEWEL Oct16 Sep25 Aug21 Jul24 Jun18 (zerpa gilberto)JARAMILLO E 120 4.50 12% 7.70    
D. SILO Nov26 Nov05 Sep25 Aug21   (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
KING ALFREDO Nov19 Oct22 Aug06 Jun25 Jun09 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 49% 1.10    
THE TWINS SNEAKERS Oct28 Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 May21 (alter happy)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
SAVAGE SAILOR Aug12 Jul17 Jul03 May26 Mar31 (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 120 30.00    
10  DRUM AND DRUMMER Nov26 Oct13 Sep24 Aug29 Jul17 (torres enrique)RIOS M 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DANLEY Dec03 Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 (lutchman padara)PANICI LUCA 120 20.00    
12  FORTY FLASH Nov05 Oct16 Sep02 Jun26 Jun12 (acker d)SUTHERLAND C 123 15.00    
 
GP-6   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORTARIA         (minguet ramon)PEREZ EDGAR 118 6.00    
MY GYPSY WITCH         (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BULLOCK Nov04         (o'connell ka)TORRES A 111 12.00    
ST. JOE JET Apr07         (jackso)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
SCR  MUSICAL JOURNEY         (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
LIGHT AND PATH Oct23 Jul01       (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 1.80 54% 0.80    
SCR  ANTRIM Oct09 Sep09       (sano antonio)PRADO S 118 30.00    
SCR  BALI BALLERINA Nov13 Oct14 Sep16     (duncan christoph)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
 
GP-7   12/15/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMAHA CITY Nov26 Jul03 Jun11 Apr22 Mar19 (jehalu)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 30.00    
SCR  SEVEN CHANNELS Nov06 Sep06 Jul18 May21 Apr23 (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 123 20.00    
SKYRO Oct23 Sep01 Jul04 May20 Apr27 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
HOT BLOODED Nov06 Sep05 Aug14 Jul18 Jun12 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 4.50 10% 9.20    
VALUE PROPOSITION (GB) Oct01 Apr30 Apr09 Jan08   (goodman gedalia)PANICI LUCA 123 20.00    
BREAKING THE RULES Oct28         (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Jul02 Jun09 Apr24     (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 123 2.50    
ARM CANDY (IRE) Oct21 Sep25 Mar10 Jan30   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  PROVEN STRATEGIES Oct28 Sep02 Jul23 Jun19 Apr30 (casse mar)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00    
10  SCUTTLEBUZZ Nov25 Oct01 Aug23 Jul15 Jun11 (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 123 30.00    
11  MAX K. O. Sep01 Jul18 Jun12 May05 Mar27 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 8.00 7% 14.10    
12  SUMMER ASSAULT Nov20 Sep14 Jul11 May28 Jan02 (maker michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 15.00    
SCR  COLONEL LIAM Jan29         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
SCR  NEVER SURPRISED Mar05 Jan29       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
SCR  DREAMS OF TOMORROW Nov10 Sep29       (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00    
 
GP-8   12/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAINGER COUNTY Nov19 Oct22 Sep18 Aug12 Jul15 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 122 3.00    
SCR  TREVESS Oct15 Sep25 Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 (cazare)VASQUEZ ANGEL 117 6.00    
HOPE IN HIM Nov13 Oct22 Oct09 Aug27 Jul30 (croft barry)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
RESERVENOTATTAINED Jun09 Mar16 Feb02 Jan05   (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
KASIM Oct26 Oct08 Jul22 Jun17 Apr29 (margotta anth)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
MIGHTY TOUGH Nov27 Sep19 Feb03 Jan15   (hills a)PANICI LUCA 122 20.00    
WAR OF AGES Dec01 Oct29 Sep25 Aug28 Jul31 (mckanas leon)TORRES A 110 6.00 14% 6.30    
BAHAMIAN MOON Nov13 Oct08 Aug08 Jul15 Jun12 (david carl)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 8.00    
 
GP-9   12/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Nov18 Sep23 Aug14 Jul29 Jul03 (exposito a)ALONSO LUIS 120 12.00    
ROYAL BLUSH Nov03 Oct10 Feb02 Jan02   (lynch a)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN BELIEF Oct14 Aug19 Jan06     (matz mich)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00    
RED HOT AND BLUE Oct27 Apr13 Feb25     (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 9% 9.80    
DAMANDA Nov09 Oct27 Sep18     (precia)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  ASPEN         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
WATCH IT Mar11 Feb10       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  MITESSE Nov13         (yates michael)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
SINFILTRE Sep17         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.