Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT OF VICTORY Oct27 Sep20 Jul07 Apr15 Mar27 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  CUSTOM FOR CARLITA Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 Jul12 Jun19 (hatcher )LOPEZ CARLOS 118 20.00    
3  ACTION POTENTIAL Oct27 Sep24 Jul21 May27 May12 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 119 3.00 10% 8.90    
4  KICK N KISS Jul30 Jun29 Jun06 May27 Apr13 (patt jr)CULP BRIANNE 113 12.00 6% 15.40    
5  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Sep20 Aug29 Aug14 Jul12 Jun18 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 ★    
6  HALFGLAMOROUS Jul12 May21 Mar27 Mar13   (jeansonne j)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  MOMENT TO DREAM Oct06 Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 Jun02 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 111 4.50    
 
FG-2   11/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVERI EVER AFTER Aug21 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 May23 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00    
2  LADY CHURCHILL Jul29 Jul14 Jun10 May14 May06 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 116 3.50 15% 5.90    
3  LOVELY LADY MAY Oct20 Mar10 Feb03 Jan01   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 ★    
4  KITTENOFTHE COURT Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 Jul17 Jun28 (hargrave kenn)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  MO BLING Oct26 Oct05 Aug27 Aug14 Jul24 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  MEET ME Oct26 Oct05 Aug01 Jul16   (lara jorge)COHEN DAVID 121 2.50 ★    
 
FG-3   11/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Jun15 May04 Apr07 Mar16 Feb12 (pennino frank)GRAHAM J 117 10.00    
2  NOSY BANKER Jul20 Jun18 May26 May04 Mar16 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00    
3  OPTIMAL COURAGE Nov02 Oct14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul02 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 3.50 ★    
4  CRYPTOZONIC Sep12 Jul23 Jun28 Jun05 May10 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.00 ★    
5  D TWO Sep18 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 May30 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  MR. PRODUCTION Oct22         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  ROCKY BAR SIX Aug27 Aug17 Jul20 Jul02 Jun21 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
 
FG-4   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE OF WILL Sep05 Aug03 Jul02 Jun03 May11 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 ★    
2  BEAUREGARD Sep11 Aug20 Aug06 Jun28 Jun04 (gomez david)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SCR  COHERE Sep18 Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 Feb18 (meaux jas)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 ★    
4  HALF AGAIN Oct21 Aug04 Jul12 May21 Apr14 (faucheux ron)PARKER L 120 8.00 27% 2.80    
5  GRIEF Oct06 Sep12 Jul23 Jun26 May17 (tracy greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
6  SILVER GALAXY Jun17 May27 May08 Mar27 Jan27 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
7  STANDING MAN Aug19 Jul14 Jun01 Apr21 Mar06 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Aug19 Jun30 May25 Apr30 Apr15 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 8.00    
9  EVERLOVINGHAND Jul14 Jun22 May20 Apr08 Mar23 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
10  MR. FOUR SEVENS Jun21 May10 Mar20 Feb13 Jan23 (dandridge cou)GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00 ★    
 
FG-5   11/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACKTECA Nov05 Sep30 Sep17 Jul30 Jul03 (scherer gary)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
2  PROBLEM CHILD Oct21 Aug19       (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 122 20.00    
3  NOT ON HERB Oct07         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 10% 8.60    
4  BISPING Oct15 Aug27 Aug06 Jun09 May19 (courville ri)MAGNON H 122 4.00 6% 14.60    
5  KING'S LUTE Oct15 Aug06 Jun26     (woodley j)THORNTON G 122 5.00 30% 2.40    
6  CALICOCO Sep13         (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
7  FLASHY BOY Oct22         (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 ★    
8  LATE SEPTEMBER Oct15 May20 Apr20     (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
FG-6   11/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE Sep22         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
2  IM SINGLED UP Jul23         (flint steve)THORNTON G 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
3  MASTER SOM Oct27 Sep01       (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
4  MUNNDIVA         (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 120 6.00    
5  KAYLEE LOU         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
6  HAYUNEVANO         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
7  CAMP AKEELA Sep28 Sep05 Jul15     (richard c)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
8  EARLY DAWN Oct22         (delany sarah)THERIOT J 120 12.00    
9  MISS SHIPMAN Oct12 Sep10       (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   11/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLAND CREEK Oct08 May07 Mar27 Feb28 Jan27 (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 13% 6.70    
2  BEHEMAH STAR Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 Mar27 Jan14 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  COSMIC TRAIN Aug06 Jun22 Jun04 Mar26 Mar05 (delhomme jerry)GRAHAM J 115 20.00    
SCR  SUNDAY BREEZE Sep17 Aug11 Jun25     (devaux cherie)COHEN DAVID 115 20.00    
5  GRAND LUWEGEE Oct21 Jan06       (perron ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  TREYS MIDNITE MOON Jun04 May07 Mar27 Mar05 Jan27 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 30.00    
7  MAGA MAN Jun04 May07 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 (miller c)STOKES J 118 12.00    
8  BIG CHOPPER Nov03 Sep25 Sep02 Aug06 Jun04 (gelner sco)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 15.00 ★    
9  MORE MEMORIES Oct03 Jun04 May07 Mar26 Mar01 (richard c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 8.00    
10  WHO TOOK THE MONEY Oct08 May07 Mar27 Jan06   (calhoun william )PARKER L 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
11  MAGEEZ Nov11 Oct21 Aug20 Jul08 May26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 20.00    
 
FG-8   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Oct08 Aug06 Jul22 Feb26 Feb05 (landry ray)STOKES J 115 12.00    
2  BERTIE'S GALAXY Jun04 Mar26 Feb05 Jan02   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 57% 0.70    
3  JANETS JAY JAY Oct13 Aug21 Aug03 Jun30 May25 (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 124 8.00    
4  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Aug21         (delany )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
5  CREOLE CHARLIE Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 Apr21 Mar27 (alonzo howard)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 ★    
6  TAKES TWO TO TANGO Aug06 Jun04 Apr09     (garcia luis)QUINONEZ S 118 4.00 9% 9.50    
7  MIKE J Nov11 Aug14 Jul12 May24 Apr29 (thomas lee)COHEN DAVID 115 15.00    
8  KINGOFBROKENHEARTS Aug30 Jul16 Jun27 Jun04   (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 8.00 9% 10.70    
9  HAIL STATE Nov05 Apr22 Mar26 Feb05 Jan12 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 20.00    
10  UNIFIED REPORT Oct28 Sep08 Jul02 Apr30 Apr08 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 115 6.00 ★    
 
FG-9   11/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDERS SMILE Oct07         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
2  GOLDENLUTE         (noel dane)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
3  THE FACT IS         (noel dane)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
4  Z RESURRECTION         (hodges e)CULP BRIANNE 115 10.00    
5  KAJUN KARMA Oct14 Aug27       (flint ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  TUCKER THE GRUMP Aug27 Aug19 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 (williams k)ALBERT S 115 30.00    
SCR  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Aug20         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  STIFF DRINK Sep27 Sep13       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
9  I DON'T VENMO         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
10  JACK HAMMER         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
11  CAME OUT KICKIN         (romero lynn)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 20.00    
12  COMANCHE WARRIOR         (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
SCR  UP N GONE         (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR         (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.