Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEGANCE N TONIC Oct28 Sep15 Aug21 Jun26 Jun05 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
2  SHE'S XTREMELY HOT Sep15 Sep01 Jul31 Jul14 Jun30 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 50% 1.00    
3  GREEN BANANAS Oct23 Sep30 Sep16     (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 8.00 6% 15.60    
4  MAIDEN ROCK Oct16 Sep17 Sep01 Aug20 Jul31 (riecken b)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00    
5  DRAGONFLY KISSES Oct22 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 (pompell robert)FELIX E 118 10.00    
6  SEQUAYA Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug22 Jul15 (cook brian)MOJICA JR 121 6.00 ★    
7  READY AT MIDNIGHT Oct23 Aug17 Jun25 Jun10 May13 (young r)MOJICA O 121 5.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   11/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS CONSUELA Oct16 Sep25 Sep17 Sep06 Aug26 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
2  APOLLO U ANYWHERE Oct29 Oct15 Sep17 Sep09 Aug23 (quinonez max)LOPEZ E 121 15.00    
3  HEY HEY Oct28 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Jul03 (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 30.00    
4  RENTAL POOL Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Jun11   (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00    
5  ORNERY ANGEL Oct16 Sep09 Jul30 Jul02 Jun05 (arnett jon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 10% 8.90    
6  TIZ HOPPIN Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 Jul08 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
7  KANFU Oct16 Sep24 Aug29 Jun27 May17 (granitz anthon)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
8  GOLD MAKER Sep09 Jun24 Jun03 May21   (arnett g)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
9  BOBBIE TOO TOO Oct16 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug13 (lynch e)HUGHES CARLY 121 20.00    
10  RARE ACTION ATTACK Sep23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun18 May27 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
11  APRIL'S GEM Oct16 Sep24 Aug08 Jul07 Jun18 (reid r)COLON H 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  ALMAFUERTE Oct15 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00 ★    
13  MIDSHIP LADY Oct16 Jun14 Mar31 Mar24 Feb11 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 121 20.00    
SCR  B N A NATIVE GIRL Sep20 Sep06       (foxwor)BAILON JADHIR 121 30.00    
 
HAW-3   11/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCOLATE BUNNY Jul20 Jun24 Jun04 May07   (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
2  BETTER THINK TWICE Oct22 Oct07 Aug24 Aug02 Jun25 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  MY REDEMPTION Oct30 Oct03 Sep23 Aug26 Aug19 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 121 1.80 33% 2.10    
4  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Oct15 Sep30 Aug12 Jun24 Jun10 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.50 ★    
5  ICECAP Oct15 Sep24 Sep10 May28 May13 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 20.00    
6  PIRATE BIRD Oct15 Sep30 Sep08 Aug28 Aug10 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
7  KNIEVEL Oct22 Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Jul31 (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
8  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Oct15 Oct02 Aug27 Jul30 Jul16 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00 9% 10.30    
 
HAW-4   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEVER NATION Oct14         (block chris)MOJICA O 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  CELEBRATING HAL Oct22 Sep22 Sep06     (martin dawn)LOPEZ E 120 8.00 ★    
3  TAHOE RUN Oct22         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  UNDERTOW Sep25 Aug18       (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 5.00 11% 8.20    
5  SLAVA UKRAINI         (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 120 20.00    
6  ALL ABOUT CROGE         (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 120 15.00    
7  SNOWMOBILE Oct22         (perez manny)COLON H 120 30.00    
8  HIGHLY PERFECT Oct14 Sep17 Sep06     (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 8.00 ★    
9  WESLAN Oct22 Sep25       (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 20.00    
10  SHARP AZ NAILS Sep13         (winebaugh c)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 12.00    
 
HAW-5   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDAWIN Oct29 Oct07 Sep24 Sep15 Sep07 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
SCR  FIRST SQUADRON Oct29 Oct07 Sep25 Aug13 Jul19 (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 30.00    
3  OWEN'S PLEASURE Oct22 Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Jul10 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 6.00 ★    
4  SWEET CONFUSION Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Jul24 (arnett jon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 7% 12.40    
5  GO STORMIN GIRL Oct22 Sep24 Jul19 Jul08 Jun24 (cook brian)BAIRD T 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
6  AUNT STELLA Sep17 Sep02 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00    
7  COWGIRL KIMMIE Oct25 Sep20 Jul21 Jun24 Feb19 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 121 10.00    
8  BIRDIE BE GONE Oct22 Sep03 Jul28 Jun19 Jun05 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 8% 11.90    
9  KHOZIE'S GHOST Aug20 Jun24 May24 May03   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-6   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($27.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I LUV THIS BAR Sep17 Sep03 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 (essenpreis edward)BAIRD T 121 15.00 ★    
2  PALAGO Oct09 Aug19 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 121 20.00    
3  MY MORNING GAL Oct04 Aug16 Jul19 Jun21 May31 (coontz a)FELIX E 121 8.00 8% 11.90    
4  WHITE LIES Oct22 Oct08 Aug04 Jul10 Jun11 (miller patt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  IGGY BIGS Oct22 Sep06 Aug09 Jun25 May28 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00    
6  GHAALEB THE GREAT Sep29 Aug27 Jun25 May28 Apr10 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 121 5.00    
7  CAT ATTACK Oct08 Sep24 Aug15 Jun29 May28 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
8  LILY'S WOOFY Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jun24 (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-7   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG TALL WOMAN Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Aug08 Jun24 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
2  MARYS LAST SONG Oct28 Oct15 Sep02 Aug19 Aug02 (matthews dou)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 10% 9.40    
3  BERAVINA Oct23 Sep17 Jul30 Jul02 May15 (vanden bri)MOJICA JR 122 6.00    
4  ALQWANI Oct22 Oct08 Sep04 Aug04 Jul10 (padilla tim)FELIX E 121 15.00    
5  MORGS WORLD Oct19 Sep17 Sep04 Aug04 Jul10 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 119 8.00 7% 14.20    
6  MAYSTART Oct30 Sep24 Aug29 Jun11 May27 (ramirez ca)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
7  JOURNEYIST Oct15         (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
8  WAR MUSIC Oct08 Sep15 Sep04 Aug14 Jul10 (riecken bru)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
9  KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT Sep02 Aug20 Jun11 May15 Apr17 (manley steve)BAIRD T 119 12.00    
SCR  RUNNERS HEAT Oct23 Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 Aug14 (wilson sharon )RIVERA BRYAN 112 30.00    
11  SUMMER BELLE Oct15 Sep04 Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 (mitchell anthony)LOPEZ E 119 12.00    
12  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Oct23 Sep24 Sep05 Jul10 May30 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
HAW-8   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOZIN AT BOZOS Oct23 Oct08 Sep07 Aug25 Jul07 (riecken bru)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 7% 13.30    
2  WICKED GOOD Oct23 Aug29 Aug18 Jul20 Apr01 (granitz j)MOJICA O 121 4.50 11% 8.10    
3  NOT TO BE DENIED Oct08 Sep20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 (thurman rho)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00    
4  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 Aug28 Jul30 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  TAP N TWINE Oct23 Oct08 Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 121 20.00    
6  BELLS OF JOY Oct23 Oct08 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 (reavis michael)RIVERA BRYAN 114 12.00 5% 17.40    
7  HARD LIKE HOLLY Oct23 Aug18 Aug10 Jul16 Jun25 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 119 30.00    
8  GOSHEN GIRL Jun25 Jun04 May13     (lada liana)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 20.00    
9  QUEEN EKATI Oct23 Sep03 Aug02 Jul22 Jul09 (mosier harold)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00    
10  UNION PARK GAL (IRE) Oct23 Sep29 Aug31 Aug22 Jun25 (haran )BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00    
11  FIRST KITTEN Oct16 Oct01 Sep06 Aug02 Jun01 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 11% 7.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.