Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-5   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Jul16 Jun25 Apr24 Mar26 Feb26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 31% 2.30    
2  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR         (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 10% 9.50    
3  AMADMADWORLD Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul10 Jun25 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BESAME MUCHO Aug18 Jun19 May29 Apr08 Feb19 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  TEMPTED MISSION         (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00    
6  BLUE PARADISE (GB) Sep30 Aug26 Aug15 Jul10 Jun13 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 6.00    
7  WESTPORT CAPTAIN Aug13 Jun30 Apr04     (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   11/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIRD RING Sep12 Sep05 Aug27 Aug15 Aug06 (chattong vi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00    
2  LIE AND DENY Sep11 Aug12 May19 Apr08 Mar16 (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
3  DEPUTY'S DANCER Aug27 Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 (belloc umbe)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
4  BOSS NINE Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun12 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 4.00 ★    
5  PICK A LANE FRANK Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 Jul19 Jul03 (christian billy)LULL E 121 3.50 12% 7.40    
6  FULL VISION Sep12 Aug20 Jun27 May02 Mar30 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Sep05 Aug01 Jun27 May02 Apr01 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 4.50 9% 9.80    
 
TUP-7   11/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENORADIABLO Sep12 Aug15 Jul16 Jun27 Apr26 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  LADY COMMISSIONER Sep16 Aug24 Jun18 May03 Apr07 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  IN THE RED Sep07 Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 May26 (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 ★    
4  BOLD REY Sep18 Aug20 Jun16 May28 Apr12 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  MISS MENSA Oct15 Aug25 Jun18 May14 Apr01 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 8.00    
6  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Oct15 Sep05 Jul17 Jun19 May20 (rennie richard )CORBETT W 119 5.00 ★    
7  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Oct16 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun10 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50    
 
TUP-8   11/09/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPIC DRAMA Sep07 Aug11 Jul07 Jun09 May28 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 ★    
2  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 (gleason m)CORBETT W 121 4.50 7% 14.10    
3  CONQUEST MOONMAD Apr24 Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 Mar06 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
4  FIRECRACKER STAND Oct02 Sep25 Sep04 Aug12 Jul23 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00    
5  STARZAN Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 (baze robert)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
6  BAPTISM (GB) Jun20 Jun14 Jun06 May10 Apr12 (torres-cas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
7  DEVIL'S TEETH Aug19 Jan17       (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 61% 0.70    
8  CURRENTLY KRAZY Sep17 Aug29 Aug15 Jun25 May02 (ol)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 20.00    
9  KAT'S HITMAN Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun06 (torres-casas)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
10  CREST DRIVE Sep17 Jun24 Jun03 May21   (baze lisa)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  TAINO HOUSE Sep14 Aug10 May27 Apr29 Mar22 (alvarez sergio)LULL E 124 6.00    
SCR  BEAU GOSSE Sep13 Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 (christian billy)MAWING A 124 8.00    
 
TUP-9   11/09/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY GALE Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jun27 Apr21 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
2  MANDONA Sep17 Aug27 Jul19 Jun28 Jun18 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 12.00    
3  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY         (lewis kevin)VERGARA P 121 4.50 10% 8.90    
4  ASEAAWINNER Sep17 Apr08 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 9% 10.20    
5  DADDY'SFAVORITESON Aug27 Jul01 Jun03 May07 Apr10 (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
6  SHE SAID MY WAY Sep10 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 (potts ashle)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
7  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY M Sep17 Aug13 Jul30 Apr25 Apr07 (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 3.00    
SCR  SOULFUL STRUT May08         (alvey darrel)BEVERLY JR 124 12.00    
10  ZEE PERFECT RUN Sep01 Aug17       (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-10   11/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFOUND ONE Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Aug04 Jun30 (eidschun greg)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 5.00    
2  STAR ENTRY Oct10 Sep16 Aug27 Aug18 Aug05 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 119 8.00    
3  NEW EVERY MORNING Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 (potts an)CRUZ M 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Oct01 Sep05 Aug17 Jun17 Jun04 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.50 ★    
5  RIVIERA CHAMP Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jul02 May08 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 4.50    
6  ASCOT STORM Aug17 Aug03 May20 Apr13 Mar23 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
7  TOX Aug20 Aug08 Jul09 May28 Apr30 (urias p)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOLEROCKER Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 May07 Apr20 (br)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.