Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aiken
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AIK-1   10/29/2022 6600ft TURF RC0 Allowance Purse   3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE YOURSELF Sep03 Aug20 Jul27 Jun22 Jun08 (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 155   39% 1.60    
2  SECRET SOULMATE Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun25 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 155   ★    
3  AUCTION KINGDOM Jul31 Jul12 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 (morris r)GARNER THOMAS 145   8% 10.80    
4  KIYOMORI Oct07 Sep24       (elliott jane)DALTON BERNARD 140   ★    
5  MAGICAL CHARM Oct22 Oct02 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 (brion keri)DAVIES TEDDY 147   31% 2.20    
 
AIK-2   10/29/2022 11220ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE DEACON Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26   (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 149      
2  HAIL TO THE CHIEF Oct22 Oct08 Apr21 Feb17 Jan14 (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   ★    
3  CLARA BELLE Sep16 Jul16 Jun19 May22 Mar09 (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 135      
4  HERO'S RETURN Oct08         (beecher mark)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   ★    
5  PULL RANK Oct02 Aug29 Jul11     (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 150      
6  THOMOND PARK Oct02 Sep16 Aug17 Jul20 Jul11 (hendriks ri)PROCTER FREDDIE 154   ★    
7  ROYALE Sep05 Aug01 Mar20 Jan16   (kingsley arch)GILLIGAN JACK 149   76% 0.30    
8  SHAOLIN Oct07 Sep22 Jul29 Jul01 May29 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 135   ★    
9  TWENTYONEGUNS Oct02 Aug29 Aug01     (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 154      
 
AIK-3   10/29/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP SHIP Aug08 Jul18 May14     (thompson ted)BOUCHER MELL 151   25% 3.00    
2  PLEASECALLMEBACK Oct02 Aug22 Aug01     (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 158   20% 4.10    
3  SHAKA (GB) Oct02 May14       (dalton kate)WATTERS GRAHAM 155   ★    
4  CRITICIZE Oct19 Oct02 Aug15 Jul26 Jul12 (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 142   ★    
5  HARD GAME Oct02 Aug01       (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 151   33% 2.10    
6  SORAMOND (GER)         (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 145      
7  SEB'S WELCOME (FR) Oct02 Aug22 Jul26     (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 144      
 
AIK-4   10/29/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURRAGEOUS DYNA Oct08 Aug27 Jul28 Jul13 Jun24 (cullinane b)CULLINANE BRYAN 153      
2  OCEAN AIR Oct02 Aug17       (brion keri)DAVIES TEDDY 148   9% 9.80    
3  EPONINE (IRE) Oct02 Sep05 Aug22 Jul11   (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 149   67% 0.50    
4  FITS THE JILL Oct02 Jul02 May04 Feb24 Jan15 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 149      
5  MET IN MIAMI Oct02 Jul28 Jul10 May26 Apr27 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 149   ★    
6  CAINUDOTHETWIST Oct02 Sep07 Aug22 Aug09 Jul11 (kingsley arch)GILLIGAN JACK 148   ★    
7  FUSEE DE POCHE (IRE) Oct02 Jul11       (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 149   ★    
 
AIK-5   10/29/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAT LE BON (FR) Oct02         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 154      
2  HONOR UP Sep05 Aug15 Jul26     (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 154   61% 0.60    
3  TIGER TO REMEMBER Sep06         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 142   ★    
4  FLYING SCOTSMAN Oct22 Oct02 Jan29 Jan08   (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
5  TOPIC CHANGER Oct07 Sep02 Jul23 Jun30 May20 (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 142      
SCR  CROSS BORDER Oct15 Sep24 Aug27 Jul31 May30 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 154   18% 4.50    
SCR  HILLIARD Oct21 Sep24 Sep05 Jun30 Jun05 (brion keri)DAVIES TEDDY 145   ★    
8  LUMBERJACK         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.