Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Sep24 Aug29 Aug06 Jul24 Jun30 (cano willia)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 4.00 ★    
2  HOHOHOHO Sep20 Sep06 Aug18 Jul21 Jul07 (howard d)BUSH V 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  UNUNDERSTANDABLE Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 Jun21 May20 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 ★    
4  ERV'S WENCH Sep02 Aug11 Jul27 Jul05 Jun08 (haehn r)MACHADO LUAN 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  MY ROSIE Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 Jun23 May03 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 5.00 ★    
 
BTP-2   10/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE THANK YOU Sep23 Sep01 Aug19 Aug03 Jul13 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 3.00 9% 10.00    
2  PASION AZTECA Aug26 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun17 (morelos m)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 6.00 ★    
3  EASILY INFLUENCED Aug31 Aug18 Jul12 Jun23 May12 (coyle d)OUZTS W 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  LAMP OIL Sep16 Aug23 Jul17 Jun23 May29 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 3.50 ★    
5  TIZ DEJA BLUE Sep09 Aug19 Jul20 Jul13   (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50 ★    
6  CLASSIC VOLUME Sep23         (rodak geraldine)FELIX E 121 8.00    
 
BTP-3   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYMONSTERSFORREAL Sep20 Jul29       (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 ★    
2  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Sep21 Sep02 Aug19 Jul13 Jun17 (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 12.00    
3  ARTEMUS EAGLE Sep14 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 May20 (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 120 3.00 11% 7.80    
4  JIMMYS LIFESTYLE Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jul26 (melancon paul)BUSH V 125 8.00 11% 8.50    
5  JROCK Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 Jul22   (hernandez de)ROSARIO L 125 8.00    
6  BIG BELLA BROWN Apr19 Jan28       (foley greg)MCKEE J 125 1.80 47% 1.10    
7  TOP CREDENTIALS Sep12 Jun30 Jun10 May24   (spicer j)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDLEY Sep27 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jul08 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  THISPOINTINTIME Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 Jul13 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  HOLY CROSS Sep22 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul22 (galindo-tor)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 3.50    
4  CONGRATS FOR GLORY Aug16 Jul26 May31 May07 Apr08 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 10.00 ★    
SCR  FROOME (IRE) Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 7% 13.10    
6  FOOT SACK Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 Aug19 Jul20 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 4.00 ★    
7  THEJIGISUP Sep27 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul01 (torres r)FELIX E 120 4.50    
 
BTP-5   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURRY SPUR Sep20 Sep02 Aug16 Jul15 May25 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 15% 5.80    
2  RONNI'S STORM Sep20 Sep02 Aug23 Jul29 Jul14 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 5.00 ★    
3  BLACKTIEANDTUX Sep05 Aug02 Jun06 Feb26 Feb15 (johnson l)MCKEE J 121 3.50 ★    
4  STONE COLD CAT Sep22 Sep01 Aug16 Jul29 Jun30 (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50    
5  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Sep16 Sep01 Aug01 Jul14 Jun25 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  ELLADA PINOT Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 May31 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 116 12.00 ★    
 
BTP-6   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BETTE LUTE Aug29 Jul11 Jun23 Jun01 May12 (paquette raymond )OUZTS W 121 5.00    
2  YOGURT Sep22 Aug22 Jul21 Jul05 Jun09 (short derric)ROMERO GREGORY 121 2.50 ★    
3  PRINCESSTAPITURE Aug22 Feb25 Jan01     (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  PEACELOVENKARMA Aug02 Jul20 Jun23 May19 Apr27 (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
5  EKATIMORNINGSTRIKE May26         (ackerman d )MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.50    
6  TWIRLING RUTH Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 May20 Apr28 (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
7  MY MORNING GAL Aug16 Jul19 Jun21 May31 May17 (coontz a)FELIX E 121 12.00 9% 9.70    
 
BTP-7   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY SCOUT Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 Jul15 Jul05 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 3.50 ★    
2  COOL RUNNINGS Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul22 Jul05 (evans micha)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 2.00 ★    
SCR  DR. FORMAN Sep13 Aug30 May15 Apr16 Apr03 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
4  LIVINGONTULSATIME Sep13 Sep01 Aug24 Jul30 Jun07 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 118 4.50    
SCR  MAJESTIC VALLEY Aug11 Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 Feb12 (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 121 6.00 7% 12.50    
6  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Aug22 Jul28 Jun28 Jun11 May24 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 119 4.00 41% 1.50    
 
BTP-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. HALFTIME Sep16 Jul03 May23 May01 Mar23 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  KOBE BEACH Sep16 Sep01 Jul29 Jul12 Jun28 (rodriquez reg)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00 9% 10.70    
3  COMIN' BACK Sep23 Sep01 Jul07 May25   (gerteisen adam)OUZTS W 123 10.00 ★    
4  CALL PAPA Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug25 Jul29 (feebeck thomas )MOJICA JR 123 6.00 11% 7.80    
5  EL CARDINAL Sep16 Sep01 Aug02 Jun28 Jun07 (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  HOW IT GOES Sep20 Sep01 Aug19 Aug10 Jul20 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 2.50    
7  STOP MAKING SENSE Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul12 (overholt pau)ROSARIO L 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.