Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEVILISH TAIL Sep14 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 (esquivel jesus)REYES R 121 4.50 ★    
2  CELTIC MISCHIEF Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 May21   (cook k)MCKEE J 123 4.00 ★    
3  DRINK Sep12 Aug05 Jul05 May06 Mar26 (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  TOASTTORODNEY Sep08 Aug18 Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 (grubbs ja)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 3.00 12% 7.60    
5  EL BOHEMIO Sep09 Aug30 Aug15 Jul21 Jun28 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-2   09/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATTIE M         (huffman pat)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
2  WILDCAT DREAM Sep21 Sep07 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 (salcedo ramon)MCKEE J 122 3.00 ★    
3  VERY WEALTHY Sep14 Aug29 Aug07 Jul08 May20 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  FIONA         (sullivan elli)BRACHO A 122 4.50 ★    
5  LIL RED CLOUD Sep07         (forston roy)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-3   09/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICK HAT Sep16 Sep02 Aug25 Jul14 Mar24 (laugherty jo)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.50 20% 4.10    
2  HOLD ME GIRL Jul21 Jul07 Jun09 May27 May10 (mickelson ju)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 20.00    
3  ARISTA THE CAT Aug17 Jul19 Jun30     (johnston reb)HALDAR J 121 8.00    
4  GIN N SIN Sep18 Jul03 Jun19 May19 May04 (roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00 ★    
5  TOIL Mar22         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  ENCHANTING LUCILLE Aug23 Aug09 Jul18 Jun09 May19 (west m)OUZTS W 121 3.50 12% 7.30    
7  OHH BEEHAVE Jan27         (wittek karyn)REYES R 125 15.00 ★    
SCR  MAXIMUM JOY Sep16 Sep07 Aug17 Jul05   (mitchell )BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 10.00    
 
BTP-4   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANVILLE Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Apr24 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 3.50 ★    
2  FLAT FUN Sep14 Aug22 Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  KENTUCKY COOL Sep14 Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 Jun22 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 121 5.00 ★    
4  IMPROBABLE STORY Sep21 Aug11 Jul22 Jun21 May27 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 ★    
5  COME SEE ABOUT IT Sep14 Aug18 Jul22 Jul05 Jun21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
BTP-5   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CACAHUETE Sep07 Aug24 Aug05 Jul22 Jul05 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 123 1.80 38% 1.70    
2  EASY DOER Sep16 Aug26 Aug18     (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 119 3.50 10% 9.40    
3  STORM RISK Sep07 Aug09 Jun28 May31 May18 (short w)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
4  SAVING MAMA Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 Jul12 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 4.50 ★    
5  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Sep16 Sep07 Aug24 Jul08 May10 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-6   09/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARINA'S GOLD Sep03 Aug06 Jul17     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
2  GABERDINE Sep13 Aug09 Jul07 Jun22 Apr27 (medina robert)REYES R 125 5.00 20% 4.10    
3  GLAMOROUS DAYS Sep13         (mcgaughey clau)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 10% 9.40    
4  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Jun29 Mar08 Feb19     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
5  BOURBON MISS Sep14 Jul29 Jul05 May18 Apr29 (jennings joe)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPURT Aug25 Jul29 Mar17     (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  REVERB Sep13 Aug25 Jul14 Jun03 Apr27 (colebrook ben)MOJICA JR 125 10.00    
8  BIKINI Sep14 Aug10 Jul09 Jun09   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 121 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-7   09/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODYTHEOXMAN Sep14 Aug22 Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 (lopez a)REYES R 123 2.50 10% 8.90    
2  GAGOOTS Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May21 (cox e)BRACHO A 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  RIDING IN THE WIND Sep16 Aug23 Aug04 May25 May10 (hall j)BUSH V 123 30.00    
4  FUNNY BONE Sep12 Aug02 Jun29     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
5  JURISDICTION Sep21 Aug23 Jul17 Jun23 May27 (miller jerome)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 ★    
6  JUST CHITU Sep21 Aug25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul21 (wilson david)HALDAR J 123 5.00    
7  FARZIN Sep13 Aug26 Aug04 Jul13 Jun17 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 6.00    
8  MARKET DEVELOPMENT Sep13 Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 Jun25 (edwards willia)LEZCANO ABEL 125 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
BTP-8   09/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOCH         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
2  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Sep14 Aug23 Jul29 Jun21 Jun02 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 13% 6.80    
3  DRAGON DREW Sep09 Aug23 Aug16 Jul29 Jul06 (anderson )BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  ARTEMUS EAGLE Sep14 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 May20 (cundiff way)HERRFORTH ERICA 116 20.00    
SCR  CUT GLASS Sep14 Aug23 Aug11 Jul28 Jul21 (howard d)REYES R 121 20.00    
SCR  AMANI'S KITTEN Sep23 Sep09 Aug10 Jan23   (castillo ric)ROMERO GREGORY 121 15.00    
7  SAY IT AIN'T SO Sep09 Aug22 Aug11 Aug02 Jul15 (cook k)HALDAR J 121 15.00 ★    
8  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 Jul15 May25 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 123 4.00 10% 9.10    
9  CHIEF HOWCOME Aug31 Aug16 May14 Apr21   (sanner e)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.