Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - September 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/09/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 SOFT Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELITZA Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 May16 (pessanha ne)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 ★    
2  CUENCA Aug22 Jul01 Jun11 May30   (woolley t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
3  MONSTER RISING Aug26 Aug13 Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 (guerrero me)NUNEZ Y 122 5.00 ★    
4  HEARTBURN Aug30 Aug21 Aug13 Jul08   (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 120 8.00    
5  MUSAMAHA Jun28 May25       (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  DIANE'S COMET Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Jun13 May25 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 3.50 74% 0.30    
7  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 Jun15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 ★    
8  TIP TOP TAPPER Aug26 Aug03 Jun15 Jun02 Mar30 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
 
PEN-2   09/09/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ECLIPTICAL Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29   (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
2  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Sep01 Aug04 Jul14 Jul04 Jun20 (smith lawr)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 8.00    
3  WORLD OF FOOLS Aug20 Jul30 Jul14 Jul09 Jun17 (smith lawrence)CORREA JULIO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAUTICAL NATURE Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 (o'hearn hea)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
5  KITTEN'S SOLUTION Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 10% 9.30    
6  ZANNO Aug19 Jul15 Jun17 Apr30 Apr07 (zerpa gil)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
SCR  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Aug31 Aug04 Jul06 Jun09   (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 120 30.00    
SCR  HYMN'S SYLVIA Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29   (shea lydee)CORA D 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
9  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul10 Jun22 (borges israel)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
10  MILITARY DRILL Aug25 Aug10 Jul29 Jul14 Jun17 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-3   09/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DIXIE LASS Aug22 Aug03 Jul09 May25 May07 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
2  SWAN POINT Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 May07 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Aug03 Jul01 Jan03     (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Aug22 Jul28 Jun01     (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 10.00    
SCR  FAIRY DREAMS Aug12 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 15.00    
6  EIGHT DANZAS Aug22 Jul20 Jul13 Jun03 May11 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00    
SCR  NIGHT COMMAND Aug05         (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
8  GINGERS WISH Aug30 Jul20 Jun28 May30 May03 (smith donovan)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00    
9  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Aug26 Aug05 May13 Apr01 Mar11 (johnson dewa)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
10  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Aug13 Aug03 Jul15 Jun16 Jun01 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  LIKEUONLYPRETTIER Aug03 Jun17 May26 May05   (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  BIRD TRAFFIC Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May26 (nichol ke)VARGAS L 120 30.00 6% 16.70    
 
PEN-4   09/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMUNICATION FAIL Sep02 Aug17 Jan07     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 6% 14.40    
2  MR DUBAI Aug05 Jul13 Jun02 May05 Apr22 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 ★    
3  MY MAN GEORGIO Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun23 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Aug24 Jul21 Jun19 Apr11 Mar22 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
5  MY WALLY Aug26 Jul27 Jun23 May19   (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00    
6  FREEDOM'S START Aug24 Jul21 Jul13 Jun24 Jun09 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   09/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ON THE RIM Aug04 Jun29 Jun10 May11   (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 118 8.00 ★    
2  CLEMENZA Aug03 Jun28 Jan18     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
3  TRADERS LUCK Jul27 Jun30 Jun10     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
4  SUNSHINE MAX Aug24 Aug04 Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
5  BOYS OF QUEENS Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 May11 Apr20 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
6  MORNING MARCH Aug24 Jul27 Jul08 Jun24   (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   09/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE WEATHER Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Jun03 May07 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
SCR  JOHNNY RITT Jul13 Jun11 May17 Apr26 Apr05 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00    
3  JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Aug29 Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 Jul05 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 120 12.00    
4  JUMPMASTER Aug19 Jun17 May11 Mar01   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
5  BOURBON MUSIC Aug19 Jun29 Jun03 May07 Apr22 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 5.00 5% 17.90    
6  DOLLARIZATION Aug19 Aug04 Jun09 May21 May06 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE Aug19 Jul06 Jun09 May19 May05 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  BEYOND THE BEND Jul21 May26 May05 Mar02   (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
9  TRIBAL NOTION Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 Jun09 May19 (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
10  MARVALOUS MIKE Aug19 Jul07 Jun15     (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  APPEALING FUTURE Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 Jan05   (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
 
PEN-7   09/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATTLE DRIVE Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
2  EDICT (ARG) Aug26 Aug11 Apr08 Mar11 Feb13 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  FOR THE MOMENT Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 Jun22 Jun09 (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 5.00 ★    
4  MINE TO HOLD Aug25 Jul22 Jun17 May21 Apr20 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
5  PRETENDANT Sep01 Aug10 Aug02 Jul20 Jun15 (farro patricia)BOWMAN ADAM 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
6  THE ROBERT Aug11 Jul27 Jun30 Jun07 Apr13 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
PEN-8   09/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRAVEL GIRL Sep01 Aug12 Jun24 May25 Apr07 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 ★    
2  HILL VALLEY Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 Feb22 Jan14 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
3  RAN CHAR Jul17 May30 May08 Mar26 Mar18 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 3.50 ★    
4  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Aug12 Apr28 Apr07 Mar25 Feb09 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 7% 12.40    
5  HAY BUCK Aug05 Jul13 May30 May03 Mar29 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 5.00    
6  LADY MUNNINGS Aug19 Jul27 Jul14 May25 Apr29 (rathman elisha)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
7  FAIRY DUST Aug19 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May25 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 7% 12.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.