Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRLS A BULLET Aug08 Jul13 Jun24 Jun02 Apr15 (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 121 4.50    
2  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Jul10 May30 Apr30 Apr08 Mar27 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 116 4.00 ★    
3  LADY AVE Aug08 Jun30 May30 May07 Apr28 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  STAY OUT Aug13 Jul17 Jun09     (capuano dale)ALVELO C 121 8.00 10% 8.80    
5  FOOLISH HEART Aug26 Aug01 Jul15 Jun05 May04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  TRUE ATKA Aug29 Aug08 Aug02 Jul13 May22 (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 123 3.00 ★    
 
CNL-2   09/05/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTING MOMENT Aug24 Aug17 Aug02 Jul20   (hester lea)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 30.00    
2  UPBEAT MELODY Aug15 Jun11 May03     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BOURBON AND ICE Aug20 Aug10 Jul30 Jul03 Jun18 (magana j)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 ★    
4  INDEFATIGABLE Aug24 Aug08 Jul27 Jul01 May28 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 124 4.50    
5  DIVE DEEP Aug16 Jun24 Jun03 May14 Apr16 (rivelli larry)REYES LEONEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  BEST CHANCE YET Aug22 Aug02       (vigil jaime)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00 ★    
7  GRAND SKYLARK Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
8  E J'S REVENGE Aug26 Aug15 Jul20 Jul11 Jun24 (murtaugh andr)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 ★    
 
CNL-3   09/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE G T Aug23         (garza hector)SIMPSON JASON 121 15.00 ★    
2  ROUWAY Mar11         (rodriguez angel )RUIZ JORGE 121 20.00    
3  LAGERFELDT Aug10 Jul13 Jun25 May29 Apr20 (o'connell kath)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00 ★    
4  GIRO D'ORO Aug15 Aug02       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 20.00    
5  CUP MATCH Aug17 Jul20       (allen ferri)ALVELO C 124 20.00    
6  PLUNK Jul29 Jul15 Jun12 May21 Apr27 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 11% 8.30    
7  FIRST FORCE Aug23 Jul31 May27     (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 20.00    
8  GORUN Aug23 Aug17 Jul18 Jun24 May21 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
9  CURLIN'S MALIBU Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 Jun18 Apr22 (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 121 15.00    
10  ANALYZEYOURVISION Aug15 Jul13 Jun25 May06 Apr22 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
11  COCHISE Aug23 Mar25       (lovell miche)MENESES MARCOS 124 6.00    
12  THE THINKER Aug23 Jul12 Jun25 May08 Apr15 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
 
CNL-4   09/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUL'S TRICKY TALE         (kingsley a)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARSON'S KITTEN         (mccutchen jaso)ROSADO JOHAN 124 12.00 8% 11.60    
3  EXPECT A CIRCUS Aug24         (hester lea)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 20.00    
4  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Aug24 Aug03 Jul27 Jul12 Jun18 (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 114 8.00    
5  C J 'S CAT FIVE Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 (connelly teresa)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
6  MADE MY WISH Aug22 Jul23 Jul04 Jun12 May01 (schoenthal phil)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
7  BELIZE GYAL         (reardon c)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00 8% 11.60    
8  KISS N BIZ         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
9  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Aug24 Aug03 Jul26 Jun30 Jun02 (reardon c)ARAUJO DENIS 121 20.00    
10  CAST NO STONES Jul13 Jun02       (fulmer allison)CAMACHO SAMY 121 20.00    
11  QUEEN OF CLASS Aug22 Jul13 Jun26 Jun04 Apr24 (morgan carla)KARAMANOS A 121 30.00    
12  BLUE BONNIE Aug22 Aug03 Jul20     (gregory geor)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 30.00    
13  BLACK CURRENCY Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12   (huffman kennet)REYES LEONEL 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
14  BRINGTHEWINE Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul20 Jul02 (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 121 12.00    
 
CNL-5   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAFT CAPITAL Jun25         (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  OBLIO'S WISH Aug24 Aug15 Jul30     (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 121 30.00 11% 8.10    
3  CENTERFOLDPROSPECT Jul09 May15 Apr16 Mar23 Feb18 (acker d)REYES LEONEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAKES MO CENTS Aug09 Jul20       (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 ★    
5  ELEMENTARY Jul20 Jun15       (cooney su)CARRASCO R 124 5.00    
6  KITTEN STREET Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 May30 Apr17 (abrams jack)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
7  JAG Aug03 Jul14 Jul01 Jun15 May25 (contessa gary )BOYCE FOREST 124 4.50    
8  REPEATED PROMISE Aug20 Jul27 Jul12     (brennan regina)ROSADO JOHAN 124 20.00    
 
CNL-6   09/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENIUS Aug17 Aug02       (vance thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
2  HONEY DOESN'T KNOW         (garza hector)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WORTHY OF GOLD Aug19 Jun25       (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00    
4  ROU ONE ASTRAY         (gonzalez oscar)REYES LEONEL 121 20.00    
SCR  COLORS Jul10 Jun11 May08 Apr09 Mar26 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 121 30.00    
6  STEADY EDDIE Aug14 Jul17 Jul02 Jun05 May19 (buckley r)CARRASCO R 124 8.00 ★    
7  LONG STORY Aug22 Aug10 Jul19     (paterno rober)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 30.00    
8  BLOKE Aug17 Aug02 Jul11     (locklear jame)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00    
9  DIVINAS CONNECTION Aug15 Jul27 May07 Feb03   (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 114 30.00    
10  ARGYLL Aug17 Mar06 Jan02     (stidham michae)ROCCO S 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  WOOTDAREITIS Aug02 Jul20 Jul02 May06 Mar16 (agostini art)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 30.00    
12  GET THEM DIGITS Aug09 Jul20 Jun18 Jun03 May08 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
13  SKIPSHOT AGAIN Jun18 Jun03       (block chri)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
SCR  SAM LORDS Sep03 Aug19 Jul15 Jun17   (doran carl)AVILES YAN 116 15.00    
 
CNL-7   09/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRYCE CANYON Jul17 Jun16 Apr30 Mar27   (toner jam)CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
2  SPERLE Aug17 Aug02 Jun24 May01 Apr01 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 10% 8.70    
3  MY WAY OR NO WAY Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 May06 Apr10 (munoz carl)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 10.00    
4  ROMP (ARG) Aug08 Jul18       (kurtinecz lill)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
5  CHESS'S DREAM Aug20 Jul22 Jun23 Mar27 Feb27 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50    
6  STONE COURAGEOUS Aug15 Jul10 Jun12 May01 Apr10 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
7  UBIQUITOUS Aug22 Aug08       (lightner mary)REYES LEONEL 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
8  REYNA DE VERANO Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 Apr24 Apr15 (munoz carlos)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
9  SIR TERRE Aug17 Jul29 Jul09 Jun10 May19 (parra hernan)AVILES YAN 117 8.00 ★    
 
CNL-8   09/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARIBE Aug10 Jul09       (lynch cathal)AVILES YAN 114 8.00    
2  ZITA OF BOURBON Aug17 Jul26       (morgan ca)CARRASCO R 119 5.00 36% 1.80    
3  WICKED KITTEN         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00 7% 13.40    
4  MOM'S TOWN Aug23 Aug03 Jul13     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50    
5  BANK BUSTER Aug17 Jul16       (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
6  CHA CHA TAP         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 119 12.00 7% 13.40    
7  JAYLA Aug15 Jun28       (lovell michell)ROCCO S 119 6.00    
8  MARZ EXPRESS Jul02         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 30.00 7% 13.40    
9  X Y LADY Aug16 Jun22       (lopez bernar)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
10  ARMONIA         (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 119 12.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  MORNING MESA Aug25         (contessa gary )BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00    
 
CNL-9   09/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECT OURS Jul19 Jun07       (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  HELLO GRACIE Aug16 Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 May14 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 10.00    
SCR  TAK E LADY Aug15 Jul27 Jul07 Jun17 Jun02 (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00    
4  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Aug22 Aug04 Jul17 Jul01 Jun19 (demario charles )AVILES YAN 116 4.00 ★    
SCR  LADY NOY Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul01 May20 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 6.00    
6  TRANSLATE Aug03 Mar19 Feb12 Jan22   (falcone r)CARRASCO R 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  DANNYHILL Aug22 Jul26       (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 121 12.00    
8  BEACH HOUSE Aug22 Aug02 Jul19     (mccutchen jaso)ROCCO S 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
9  CLASSY OF COURSE Aug15 Aug08 Jul01 May28 Apr30 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 121 10.00 ★    
 
CNL-10   09/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Aug17 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 Apr24 (o'connell kath)ARAUJO DENIS 123 15.00    
SCR  MY BEAUTY PRINCESS Jul22 Jun25       (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 123 12.00 9% 10.50    
3  HEART LIGHT Aug17 Aug03       (morgan carla)ROCCO S 120 12.00 24% 3.10    
4  LENTEN ROSE         (dalton kate)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 10% 8.80    
5  AUTOSTRADA (CHI) Aug08 Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 May19 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 20.00    
6  FAIRY CAKES (GB) Aug05 Apr30 Mar11     (walsh brend)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00    
7  BYEGONE DAYS Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Apr23   (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 123 30.00    
8  HIGHWAY QUEEN Aug08 Jul14 Jun17 May14 Apr16 (klesaris stev)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00    
9  TORRE BRANCA Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 Jun05 May15 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
10  SAFE TRAVELS Aug08 Jul12 Jun17 May14 Feb19 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
11  FOXTROT SEVILLE Aug17 Jul28 Jul03 Jun18 May30 (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
12  FEMINISTA Jul26 Jul01 Jun08     (brion ker)CARRASCO R 120 12.00    
13  WASSER Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 Jun12 May19 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
14  BEASTIE GIRL Aug09 Jul13 Jun10 May20 Apr30 (rountree cathy)REYES LEONEL 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
CNL-11   09/05/2022 10560ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAINUDOTHETWIST Aug22 Aug09 Jul11 Apr30   (kingsley archibald)NO RIDER 151      
2  ROBERT'S LUXURY Aug17 Aug08 Jul27 Jun20 May30 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148   41% 1.40    
3  AWAKENED Jul11 May14       (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154   32% 2.10    
SCR  BRAVE DEACON Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26   (davies g)NO RIDER 154      
SCR  STEP TO THE BAR Jul18         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 154   ★    
6  WELSHMAN Aug22 Jul27 May14     (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 148      
7  ROYALE Aug01 Mar20 Jan16     (kingsley arch)GILLIGAN JACK 154      
8  ZARKALLANI (FR) Aug15 Jul11       (fisher r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 154      
9  BEOWULF (IRE) Aug08 Jul26 Apr30     (dowling willia)BOYCE FOREST 148      
10  REAL FACTOR Aug01         (kingsley arch)LYNCH FEARGAL 154      
11  SEISMIC WAVE Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jun29   (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
12  HONOR UP Aug15 Jul26       (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 154   ★    
13  EPONINE (IRE) Aug22 Jul11       (young f)BOYCE FOREST 145   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.