Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONITA LASSIE Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 May24 May05 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 53% 0.90    
2  KATY THE CAT Jul29 Jul06 May20 May07 Mar22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 9% 9.90    
3  RAECHEL'S RISK Aug05 Jul13 Jun16     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
4  WILL TAKE ROSES Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 Jun11 May13 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 ★    
5  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 May25 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
6  EARLY FROST Aug19 Aug03 Jul14 Jun15 May26 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  FAVORITE DOLL Aug03 Jul14 Jun02 May19 Mar22 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   08/31/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOODPROF Aug10 Jul14 Jun25 Jun04 Apr16 (d'angelo ricardo)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
SCR  BEACH WARRIOR Aug08 Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 May30 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 10.00    
3  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Aug04 Jul06 Jun09     (shea h)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
4  FLASHINTHENIGHT Jul29 Jul20 Jun22 Jun09 Jan11 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
5  NITRO TIME Aug10 Jul21 Jun21 Apr08 Mar31 (santillana frank)CORA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAILMASTER Jul21 Jul08 Jun30 Jun11 May30 (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 6% 15.30    
7  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Aug10 Jul20 Jul10 Jun22 Jun09 (borges israel)WHITNEY G 120 20.00    
8  SPEEDY MOONLITE Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 Jun03 Jan11 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
9  CALL WIL Aug03 Jul14 Jun29     (catalano m )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
10  NOT A TRICK Aug10 Jul31 Jun17 May30 May11 (dunham ber)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 5.00 7% 14.20    
 
PEN-3   08/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUY TOWN BABY Aug06 Jul27 Jun28 Jun11 May07 (hamilton ste)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 15.00    
2  LOOP THE LOOP Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 (shea h)CORA D 120 20.00    
3  FILLMORE EAST Aug19 Jul01 Jun10 May26 May12 (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 120 10.00 ★    
4  STRONG GEM Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 Jun19 Feb20 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 34% 1.90    
5  SAILOR'S SALUTE Aug17         (hendriks j)ROSE J 124 3.00 5% 18.80    
6  FALSE RULING Aug05 Jul20 May05 Apr20 Mar30 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 20.00    
7  PARANOIA Aug05 Jul27 Jul06 Jun11 May20 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
8  WITCH Aug19 Aug03 Jun30 Jun03   (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 18% 4.40    
9  MOON CHANT Aug19 Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 Jun06 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
10  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jul28 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01   (zalalas micha)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  WICKED T Jul06 Jun22 Jun03 Apr21 Mar22 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 20.00    
SCR  LADY BREXIT Aug11 Jul27 Jun11 May16 Apr12 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHWOODS         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  BAILEY COFFEE         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 43% 1.40    
3  NOTEWORTHY Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 May13 Apr08 (moreno-barban)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 ★    
4  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
5  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jul28 Jul08 Jun29     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00    
6  WICKED IRISHMAN Aug05 Jul01 Mar16     (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COAST TO COAST Aug11 Jul13 Jun10 May25 May11 (sinnefia )VARGAS L 120 15.00 7% 13.00    
2  MY MAGICAL MAN Aug04 Jun29 May27 May12 Apr22 (graci kimb)MELENDEZ MARIANO 117 4.00 14% 6.00    
3  GEM JUAN Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 6.00    
4  ROCKIN COWBOY Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Jun14 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  PECOS BILL Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 Mar15 (bartoni w)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 ★    
6  CALL ME G Q Jul12 Jun13 Apr05 Feb07 Jan17 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.00    
7  AFLEET TRAXX Aug11 Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 (miller marlin )CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
 
PEN-6   08/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURFER BOY GEORGE Aug10 Jul22 Jul10 Jun22 Jun12 (harigeorgiou )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00    
2  VISHNU Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 Apr28 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
3  VITESSE Jul27 Jun17 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
4  PEPE TONO Aug11 Jul22 Jul14 Jun02 May05 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 5.00 ★    
5  THE GREAT CASBY Aug04 Jul01 Jun11 Apr22 Mar16 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
6  MAIN COOL CAT Jul22 Jun30 Jun06 May07 Mar29 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 ★    
7  CHARGING LION Aug05 Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr28 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
PEN-7   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS NAME IS SUE Aug11 Jun15 May11 Apr06 Feb23 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 74% 0.40    
2  BLUEGRASS POSSE Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 Feb01 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
3  I SEE THE STARS Aug04 Jul07 May12 Apr20 Mar30 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 ★    
4  AGAINST THE ODDS Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 May11 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
5  DROSSELMOON Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May25 Jan04 (rathman elish)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00    
6  SACRED MOUNTAIN Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 May20 Apr27 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 15.00    
7  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Jul27 Jun30 Jun01 May11 Apr22 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
8  KUDURO Aug11 Jun03 May20 Apr22 Apr06 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
 
PEN-8   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUELED UP Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 May20 May06 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  AUTOMATED TELLER Aug10 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 Jun01 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
3  CRIMSON LILLE Jul01 Jan10       (deiter lynn)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 6% 14.70    
4  MISCHIEF MELODY Jul27 Jul13 Jun16     (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 5.00 ★    
5  ASGATA Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun16 Apr28 (sinnefia paulina)LLOYD W 122 8.00    
6  MS KAYS COWGIRL Aug12 Jun23 May30 Apr28   (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
7  SHOYYOOKH Aug18         (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 124 20.00    
8  TALENTED TAPPER Aug10 Jul08 Jun23 Mar29 Mar18 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00    
9  CHA CHA CHIQUITA Aug17         (arnold pamela)CORA D 122 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.