Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Saratoga
Friday - August 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAR-1   08/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG PARODY Jun25         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
LES BON TEMPS Jul04 May26       (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
MAPLE LEAF MEL Aug10         (englehart jere)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.80 38% 1.60    
LADY MINE Jul15 Jun25 Jun03     (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
MIRACLE Jul27         (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
SAR-2   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT HURRY LOVE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80 67% 0.50    
1A  VOLEUSE Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 Apr22   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.80    
UNKOALAFIED Aug12 Jul04 Jun16 May12   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
PHOTON Jul31 Jul09       (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 2.00    
FUNNY HOW Jul09         (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00    
MISCHIEF MOTION Jun26         (hemingway michell)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
UPTOWN EXPRESS         (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
LAOCHI Mar11 Jan22 Jan16     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 8% 10.80    
 
SAR-3   08/26/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICE DISCIPLINE Jul28 Jun30 May29     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
SCR  RELATE Aug14 Jun19 Feb24 Feb05 Jan01 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 7% 12.90    
MONTEBELLO Jun30 May12       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50    
BARESE Jul18 Jun25 Apr23 Apr09 Feb12 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 1.60 17% 4.90    
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Jul28 Jun24 May30 May08 Apr14 (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jul29 Jun24       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
QUICK TO ACCUSE         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
BOSS JIM Aug10         (martin carlos )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
CHULLIGAN         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 31% 2.20    
MAX FOSTER         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 6% 15.80    
FLASHY ALEX         (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
STOW ON THE WOLD         (hemingway mic)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 6% 15.80    
MICHAEL LEIS         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Aug04 Jul08       (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
10  WITH KNOW NAME Jul29         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
 
SAR-5   08/26/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET HER INSPIRE U Jul22 Jun16       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
FINGAL'S CAVE Jul29 Jun25 May21     (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 0.80 55% 0.80    
SHESASCOLDASICE Jul25 Jun23 May24 Apr27 Apr02 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 20.00    
GALAXINA Jul25 Jun19 Apr24 Feb26 Jan16 (bond jam)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
VENTI VALENTINE Jun25 May06 Apr09 Mar05   (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80    
 
SAR-6   08/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOC DOC ROCK Jul06 Jun22 Jun06 May07 Mar06 (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
PATRIA Jul29 May06 Apr08 Mar13   (salazar )SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
LEELOO Jul22 Mar18 Jan22     (correas ig)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
AUNT VIRGINIA Jul20 Jun02       (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
QUEENS DANCER Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun06 May02 (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
TRINITY TITOLI Jul17 Jul04 Jun05 May21 Mar19 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
LISA'S VISION Jul20 Jun04 Apr22     (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
SCR  MISSING LINK Aug14 Aug04 Jul08 Jun26 May14 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00    
SCR  TIS A PITY Jul29 Jun12 May22     (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  U SHOULD B DANCING Jul08 Jun12 May14 Apr22 Mar06 (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
11  SILVER FIST Jul22 Jun28 May28 Mar27   (lawrence james )CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
12  BLAME IT ON MARY Jul29 Jun11 Apr30 Apr03 Feb11 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  SINFULLY SWEET Aug12 Jul23 May30 Apr22   (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
SCR  ELLARELLA Aug13 Jul30       (nunn dou)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
15  CAPTIVATING CARA Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar25 Mar18 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  KISS ME SMILE Jul02 Jun12 May15 Mar19 Feb19 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-7   08/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACOUSTIC AVE Jul29         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
I'M WIDE AWAKE Jul16 Jun24       (dutrow anthony)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
BELT PARKWAY Aug03         (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00    
DONEGAL SURGES Aug11         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Jul16 Jun03       (breen j)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 47% 1.10    
GENERAL BANKER Aug10 Jul27       (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 
SAR-8   08/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE PRINCESS Jul31 Apr10 Feb18     (gargan d)SANTANA JR 121 8.00    
WAR CANOE Aug03 Jul01 May22 Apr16   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Aug18 Jun04 May19 May08   (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS DREAM Jul08 May27 Apr23     (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY RUMOUR Jul12 May30 May14 Mar12   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00    
MAKE MISCHIEF Jul02 May30 May08 Apr14   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARVELOUS MAUDE Jul30 Jun23 May22     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  PURE BODE Jul20 Jun24 May22     (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  CLASSIC COLORS Jul10 May22       (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC LADY Jul12 May30       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
SCR  FINEST WORK Jul30 Jun24 May14     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
12  WASP Jul10 Jun12 Mar13 Feb06   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
 
SAR-9   08/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT MUNNINGS Jun10         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
LISTENTOYOURHEART Jul10 May14       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00    
KEY POINT May12 Apr01       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
GANDY DANCING Aug05 May21 May14 Mar31 Mar04 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00    
SCR  ADVANCED STRATEGY Jul09 May30       (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
BIG BOBBY Jul30 Jun16 Jan01     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 9% 10.60    
WHO HOO THATS ME Jul08 May30 Apr24     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  BAR FOURTEEN Aug03 Jul15 Jun19 May20 May01 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
10  QUICKFLASH Jul30 Jun11 May08 Mar20 Mar11 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
11  EXCELLENT TIMING         (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
12  ANEJO Aug06 May29 May01 Apr02   (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
SAR-10   08/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THERAPIST May30 Apr30 Apr09     (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
JERRY THE NIPPER Jul02 May15 Apr22 Mar27   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN Aug06 Jul09 May30     (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SANCTUARY CITY Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 May30 May01 (ferraro )SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  CITY MAN Jul15 May30 May07 Apr09   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE Jul23 Jun24 May28 Apr30   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 116 30.00    
SCR  CROSS BORDER Jul31 May30 Apr02 Jan29   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
SCR  ACTION JACKSON Aug06         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 115 30.00    
SCR  OCALA DREAM Jul31 Jul03 May30 Apr14   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
10  BANKIT Aug12 Feb19       (asmussen m)RIDER TBA 124 1.40 47% 1.10    
 
SAR-11   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERONEANDONLY Jul30         (goodwin gabr)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
SCR  ON PALM SUNDAY Aug11 Jul29 Jun23 May13   (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
DRESSEDFORTHEFIFTH         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00    
SCR  CASH BAIL Aug18 Jun29       (meadow e)USKE S 118 15.00    
WHISKY WARRIOR Aug11 Jul09 Jun19     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
BOINTHEBACK Jul31 Jul08 Jun17 May13 Apr23 (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
DON BERNARDO Jul09 Jun10       (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 118 30.00    
STAND UNITED         (clarke d)DAVIS A 118 20.00    
SCR  YOUR MISSION Aug06 Jul15       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 68% 0.50    
10  SLOW DECISION Jul22 Jun19       (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
11  ADDICTED TO YOU Aug11 Jul09 Jun17 May13 Apr22 (sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.