Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 22, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(8/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(8/4/5)-(2/1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-2   WIN (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/5)-(8/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/5)-(8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/5)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/6)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(2/4/3)-(6/5/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/5/1/7)-(10/5/2/11/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(10/5/2/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/7)-(10/5/2/11/7)-(2/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (10/5/2/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/2/11/7)-(10/5/2/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/2/11/7)-(10/5/2/11/7)-(10/5/2/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/2/11/7)-(2/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/5/2/11/7)-(2/3/1)-(7/8/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-8   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(7/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-9   WIN (7/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards

IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/22/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICKI ROSE Mar28 Feb21 Jan07 Nov17 Nov03 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
2  SPOTAWAY Apr15 Feb25 Jan14 Nov19 Oct30 (rouck mar)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  UP THE CREEK Mar22 Mar14 Feb20 Nov05 Oct10 (williams )TORRES A 123 1.40    
4  SWEET BEBSI Apr26 Mar18 Feb28 Feb06 Dec20 (newton troy)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 2.50    
5  ASHKENAZI Apr09 Mar11 Jan14 Nov26 Nov02 (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 10% 9.40    
6  CAROL'S MELODY Apr09 Feb28 Feb11 Jan17 Dec10 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
 
CD-2   05/22/2026 3300ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WASHTON         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 ★    
  (by MITOLE out of MISSION FROM ELLE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  SILVER MAGIC May02         (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
  (by PETERSBURG out of WILD IGNITION by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
3  BEE CRAZY         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of CRAZY CAT WOMAN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  STORM DIVA Apr26         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11% 8.20    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of GINGIVERE by CHESTER HOUSE)
5  HIGH CLASS BROAD         (orantes jose)MEZA JJ 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DISCREET MEATING by HAT TRICK (JPN))
SCR  GEE TEE         (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 119 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of JAHWHOL by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  BIT TIPSY Apr29         (caramori edu)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of CAIPIRINHA by TEMPLE CITY)
8  EXPRESS SUCCESS Apr22         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by IN EXCESS (IRE) out of SPEEDINTHRUTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
9  ESTARDOTOO         (zawitz)GRISALES DANILO 119 20.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of ESTARDO by CONVEYANCE)
10  LET HER FLY         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of PAT'S NO FOOL by CROSS TRAFFIC)
SCR  SHINING MOMENT May21 Apr24       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of BLIND COPY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CD-3   05/22/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY OFFICER May10 Feb28 Jan24 Oct16 Sep10 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) Apr04 Jan19 Jun11 May09 Jan25 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  C F V BULLET May07 Jan09 Dec21 Nov16 Oct19 (gorost)GRISALES DANILO 118 6.00    
4  BLOODLINE Mar28 Mar04 Feb19 Jan08 Dec19 (orantes e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TWIRLING TROILLET Dec26 Oct19 Sep24 Sep01 Aug01 (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
6  TRES SOLES Apr29 Apr11 Mar06 Feb18 Jan08 (stinson willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 13% 6.60    
7  BOURBON'S FAULT May02 Apr11 Mar26 Feb14 Nov08 (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50    
 
CD-4   05/22/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL BREEZE Apr24 Mar14 Feb22 Feb13 Jan04 (larose kin)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 13% 6.50    
2  YOU AIN'T POPPN Apr30 Mar21 Dec21 Jun20 Apr25 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.20 56% 0.80    
3  DR FENN Apr24 Mar14 Jan21 Nov13 Nov05 (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 118 20.00    
4  WACO Apr17 Apr04 Mar14 Feb07 Jun11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 15.00    
SCR  SPINNING PRIDE Feb13 Dec20 Oct30 Oct16 Jun12 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 123 12.00    
6  MI DINERO Apr19 Jan11 Dec12 Nov09 Oct08 (munoz carlos)TORRES A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIVEHAPPY May08 Mar19 Feb07 Jan07 Nov23 (radosevich jak)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 7% 13.10    
8  SMOLS Apr11 Nov07 Oct09 Sep28 Sep06 (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   05/22/2026 4620ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAQDEER May11 Apr22 Mar27 Feb25 Feb14 (cline robe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL TWICE Apr30 Apr18 Mar12 Feb27 Dec17 (ortiz al)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
3  ASHES AND DIAMONDS Feb22 Dec26 Nov16 Sep26 Sep06 (baker james)LANERIE J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DANZIG'S DORA Apr28 Apr09 Feb22 Jan15 Dec18 (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 12% 7.20    
5  SPANKERBOOM Mar07 May28 May14 Apr26 Mar30 (ashford tristan)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
6  THATSALRIGHTMAMA May10 Apr17 Mar06 Feb08 Jan25 (powell leo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00    
7  RANDO Apr30 Apr12 Mar13 Dec06 Nov13 (shorter a)TORRES A 123 3.50 ★    
 
CD-6   05/22/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($75K) Purse ($90K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Apr15 Mar15 Feb14 Jan15 Dec18 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEEF WINSLOW Mar15 Jan15 Oct17 Aug22 Jul25 (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
3  IN A JAM Apr16 Mar20 Feb19 Jan07 Dec06 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  RIGEL Apr11 Mar21 Feb20 Jan25 Dec13 (hernandez sandin)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
5  EXACT ESTIMATE Apr18 Jan11 Dec04 Sep27 Aug09 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 9% 10.40    
6  HIGGINS BOAT Mar20 Feb21 Dec27 Jul05 Apr29 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  OTAGO May07 Feb27 Jan17 Dec21 Oct11 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY Mar25 Jul14 Jun21 May07 Mar27 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
9  MORUNNING Apr18 Mar06 Jan21 Nov20 Sep13 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  FROSTY INDULGENCE Apr19 Mar07 Feb12 Dec11 Oct25 (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
11  COCO COOL Feb13 Dec27 Sep28 Feb01 Dec06 (sala)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 15.00    
SCR  SKETCH (IRE) Jun13 May19 May01     (murphy conor)SHEEHY DANNY 118 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/22/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEDELIA         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of WEABIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  MISS COMPLICATED Apr18 Mar15 Jan04 Sep13 Aug02 (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 14% 6.30    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of CAUSE FOR PRAISE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  FLASH OF FREEDOM Apr08 Nov19 Oct18     (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
4  SHE'S OUR GIRL Apr18         (eurton peter)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of COVENANT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  AL GHADEER Apr11 Nov29       (mckeever a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
6  BABYSITTER Apr18 Feb20 Jul25     (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SISTERHOOD by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  FAST GUN Apr18 Mar13       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VICTOR'S GENT out of STUDIOUS by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
8  ISLAND FLOWER Apr18 Feb14       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S MY GEM by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  AEGIS Apr23 Mar13 Jan30 Dec27 Nov20 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of AMERICAN MODEL by BAYERN)
10  IN SCOPE Apr23         (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BRIELLE'S APPEAL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
11  BODACIOUS BAY Apr26         (brisset r)TORRES A 118 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  SONHADOR Apr18 Dec20 Nov05 Sep26 Aug08 (murphy conor)SHEEHY DANNY 125 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VUITTON by RED RANSOM)
SCR  MANCUSO Apr09 Feb14 Aug18     (damato phil)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 15.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of MEDAGLIA D'ARGENTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  WONZEE WEATHER Mar21 Feb20 Nov08 Oct03 Sep07 (miller darrin)MACHADO DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of PRETTY ZIPPY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  CHARTED DESTINY Apr04 Feb05 Dec27     (larose kin)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LA BURNETT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  DARING MOVE Apr23 May01 Apr16     (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NASHINDY by A.P. INDY)
 
CD-8   05/22/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Apr04 Mar01 Feb05 Jan03 Dec19 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
2  VERIFIRE Aug23 Jun29 May16 Mar15   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 44% 1.30    
3  FLOODLITES Apr18 Dec13 Oct16 Aug30 Jul13 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 2.50 13% 6.50    
4  TOUGH CATCH Apr11 Mar14 Feb15 Nov24 Oct22 (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 121 4.00    
SCR  FURIO Apr28 Mar15 Feb14 Jun29 May25 (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 121 12.00    
6  HARRODSBURG Nov30 Nov06 Oct12 Sep12 Jun13 (tomlinson michael)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/22/2026 5280ft TURF RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUND CAUSE Apr10 Feb26 Jan21 Dec03 Nov13 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 15.00    
SCR  THE DOVER SPECTER Apr25 Apr03 Feb26 Apr24 Mar29 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.50    
3  UTOPIAN Apr17 Mar21 Feb28 Jan31 Dec27 (camejo m)CURTIS BEN 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
4  GARRYOWEN Apr28 Apr19 Mar14 Feb27 Jan07 (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIZ FREEDOM Apr18 Apr03 Feb08 Jan11 Dec04 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00    
SCR  RAZORCAT Apr17 Mar22 Mar01 Jan30 Jan02 (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 124 8.00    
7  MARY'S BOY BOLT Apr18 Mar12 Feb12 Dec28 Dec04 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
8  LUCKY MISCHIEF Apr24 Mar08 Feb12 Jan16 Dec27 (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 24% 3.20    
9  MAKUTU Sep01 Aug08 Jun15 Apr19   (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
SCR  SNARE Apr17 Feb26 Jan29 Jan02 Nov13 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
SCR  GENE AND JUDE Apr28 Dec18 Nov07 Oct22 Aug03 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00    
SCR  TAUNTING May10 Mar18 Feb12 Dec11 Oct31 (baker james)SHEEHY DANNY 124 12.00    
SCR  SURVIVIN'ONAPRAYER Apr19 Mar05 Feb07 Jan16 Dec05 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
SCR  BEST KNOWN SECRET Feb26 Jan16 Dec27 Oct12   (bainum kelly)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.