Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - April 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/3/2/1)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-2   WIN (5/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/1)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/1)-(3/5/1)-(1/2/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/2/9/5)-(3/7/10/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-4   WIN (1/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/9/5)-(3/7/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/5)-(3/7/10/6)-(2/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-5   WIN (3/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/10/6)-(3/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/10/6)-(3/7/10/6)-(3/7/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/10/6)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/10/6)-(2/6/1)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(1/2/3)-(7/10/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-7   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(7/10/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(7/10/1/6)-(1/3/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-8   WIN (7/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/1/6)-(7/10/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-9   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(7/3/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
KEE-10   WIN (7/3/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/8/4)-(7/3/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/8/4)-(7/3/5/8/4)-(7/3/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/17/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLYMPIC STAR Mar06 Jan04 Apr19     (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 126 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  SHE'S GOTTA GO Feb26 Jan03 Oct01     (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 126 15.00 7% 14.00    
3  STARWOOD Nov23 Oct24 Aug16     (cox h)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE BOMBSHELL Mar13 Feb13 Jan15 Aug14 Jul17 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 126 1.40    
5  HOWYOUDOSOMETHING Mar27 Nov22 Oct28 Oct07 Aug24 (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00 33% 2.10    
6  WATERSHED MOMENT Mar08 Feb13 Aug29 Feb16 Jan20 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00    
7  TIZ LAWS HALL Feb25         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 
KEE-2   04/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT ISLAND Mar12 Feb11 Jan04 Apr23   (weaver george)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 5% 18.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of VANILLA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  HORSING AROUND Mar15 Jan30 Dec20     (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 16% 5.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NOT IN JEOPARDY by THE FACTOR)
3  STARSHIP GODIVA         (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MISS MOSAIC by VERRAZANO)
4  SMOKIN HOT STUFF Mar12 Jan04 Oct26 Sep27   (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NAPLES MIST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SUTURA Mar14 Feb14       (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of BEYOND OUR REACH by DANEHILL DANCER)
6  NAUKAREZZA         (vaccarezza )GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of CHERRY MARIE by CARPE DIEM)
7  MAXI MAXI Mar12         (werre danny)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROYAL CARD by CHAPEL ROYAL)
8  ENDLESS GLORY Mar27 Mar07 Feb28 Feb06 Jan11 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
 
KEE-3   04/17/2026 5610ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TABLE FLIRT Mar07 Nov28 Sep27 Aug19 Jul13 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  QUEEN AZTECA Mar14 Jan24 Dec26 Nov08 Aug16 (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
3  SENZA PAROLE Feb14 Jan15 Nov13 Sep27 Aug24 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.20 48% 1.10    
4  PEAK POPULARITY Feb25 Dec20 Nov05 Sep18 Feb14 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
5  YES IT TIZ Mar28 Jan24 Dec07 Oct25 Sep14 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
6  CAT'S CAVE Oct25 Sep27 Jul31 Jul05 May30 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 4.50    
 
KEE-4   04/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3 F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY NORA Mar14 Feb19 Nov08 Oct10 Sep17 (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  NOROOMFORMISCHIEF Oct22 Sep17 Aug17     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
3  LUNAR LOOP         (walden willi)TORRES A 120 4.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of TOTAL CONTROL by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  TIZ A PRINCESS Mar12 Dec11       (o'dwyer jeremi)SHEEHY DANNY 120 15.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TIZACITY by TIZWAY)
5  GOOD GRACES         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MOUNTAIN MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
6  GRACE OF MONACO Mar05         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAPPING COLORS by TAPIT)
7  WEETAMOO Mar01         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of INDIAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  DONNA STRADA         (humphries tho)MACHADO DYLAN 120 30.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of STORMY BELOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  DEBBY'S GAL Feb20 Nov02 Oct17 Sep20   (baltas richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 7% 13.40    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SECRET ACTION by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
KEE-5   04/17/2026 3630ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILITARY CRUISER Jan11 Nov12 Sep04 Aug01 Jun27 (vaccarezza )GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 20.00    
SCR  AMBITIOUSLY Mar13 Feb13 Apr25 Feb13   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
3  MURDOCK Mar22 Jun23       (rivelli larry)VIVES SOFIA 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
4  SNARE Feb26 Jan29 Jan02 Nov13 Oct05 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
5  EXPRESSWAY Mar21 Feb13 Oct23 Oct03 Sep13 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
6  UTOPIAN Mar21 Feb28 Jan31 Dec27 Nov16 (camejo m)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  PIVOTAL MOMENT Mar08 May24 Feb22 Jun23   (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
8  JIMMY RULES Apr16 Mar22 Feb15 Jan18 Dec14 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
SCR  LONGSHOREMAN Oct03 Aug31 Jun20 Apr24   (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
10  INNATE (IRE) Mar08 Oct16 Sep18 Aug10 Jul16 (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
KEE-6   04/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURANTE Mar01 Dec13 Nov01 Oct03 Sep13 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 9% 10.00    
2  BOLD JOURNEY Feb28 Jan23 Dec27 Oct25 Sep27 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
3  AMERICAN MONARCH Mar01 Dec24 Nov27 Aug08 Jul04 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50    
4  LITTLE NI Oct18 Sep13 Aug09 Jul12 Oct18 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
5  NORMANDY COAST Feb13 Jan02 Jun29 May17 Apr06 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
6  ILLUMINARE Mar13 Jul12 Dec28 Nov09 Sep21 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 17% 4.90    
 
KEE-7   04/17/2026 5610ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEXT UP Jan14 Dec21 Oct24 Sep27 Aug24 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 125 1.20 56% 0.80    
2  THATSALRIGHTMAMA Mar06 Feb08 Jan25 Oct13 Jul27 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.50 11% 7.90    
3  DOZEN DIAMONDS Mar13 Feb13 Nov28 Nov16 Oct16 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LATTE LIZZIE Mar06 Feb05 Jan09 Sep28 Sep06 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00    
5  SCRIBBLE Feb26 Jan17 Dec19 Aug08 Jun28 (sims p)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00    
SCR  MINT DRIVEN Mar28 Mar08 Dec27 Dec12 Oct06 (king l)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
SCR  CARA FELCE Feb20 Feb13 Jan18 Dec26   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  SURPRENANT COCCA Mar04 Jan16 Dec27 Nov16 Oct10 (brownfi)DE CRUZ 125 8.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS Mar18 Feb21 Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 125 20.00    
 
KEE-8   04/17/2026 3630ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATLAL Mar05 Jan01 Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 (cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 14% 5.90    
2  RAZORCAT Mar22 Mar01 Jan30 Jan02 Mar16 (schultz lindsay)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
SCR  BEER RUN Nov07 Oct16 Aug30 Jul16 Apr10 (ward a)ORTIZ L 124 2.50    
4  FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE) Mar13 Nov30 Oct12 Sep12 Aug23 (heath destin)MONCADA IRVING 118 30.00    
5  MOON SNIPER Sep10 Jul26 May16 Apr17 Mar14 (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
6  STRATE CASH Jan22 Jul18 Mar02     (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DOUBLE TALKER May01 Apr10       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  BIG GARRY Feb19 Jan08 Dec06 Nov12 Oct22 (king l)CURTIS BEN 124 30.00    
9  UNCLE BUCKY Mar06 Jan15 Dec17 Oct05 Sep05 (anderson s)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
10  UNITAS Mar01 Jan24       (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
KEE-9   04/17/2026 5610ft DIRT RC13 Baird Doubledogdare Purse ($400K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPINE PRINCESS Feb14 Nov27 Sep13 Aug10 Jul05 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
2  AYE CANDY Feb15 Jan18 Dec08 Mar21 Sep01 (fincher todd )VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
3  EUNOMIA Mar14 Feb14 Dec13 Oct18 Oct03 (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 8% 10.80    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
4  GIN GIN Nov01 Oct05 Jun28 May31 Apr18 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BEFORE YOU KNOW IT by HARD SPUN)
5  OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL Mar29 Feb06 Dec07 Nov08 Sep20 (linder louis)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ITSINTHESTARS by ASTROLOGY)
6  RUNNING AWAY Sep10 Jul26 May14 Apr07 Jan18 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  PEIGNOIR Mar21 Feb27 Dec26 Jun21 May16 (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 18.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEEHIVE HAIRDO by FLAT OUT)
8  CHILLED Nov27 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Jul19 (oliver victori)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SNUCK OUT by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
KEE-10   04/17/2026 3630ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORIEBETH Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec11 Nov13 (taylor bren)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MY AUNT BETH by HAYNESFIELD)
SCR  FOOL'S ADVENTURE         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of HAPPY LIKE A FOOL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  SHE WANTS WAR Jul12 Jun07 May15     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
4  ARMY CHIC Aug26         (cline c)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of WESTMINISTER ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
5  AMANI'S MUSIC Mar14         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 8% 11.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMANI by MORNING RAIDER)
6  HEITZGIRL Mar14         (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of YES IT'S GINGER by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  TWIRLING CLAIRE Mar05 Jan15       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
8  TOAST THE STAR Aug23         (hancock)DE CRUZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  SWIRLING SEAS         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RISING SEAS by FIRST DEFENCE)
10  POVERTY WITH AVIEW Mar14 Feb01 Dec28 Dec03 Nov02 (lejzero)RADOSEVICH J 118 20.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  WHISKEY SERENADE Apr24         (butcher james)GARCIA MARTIN 125 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DRAM GIRL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
12  SHEER JAZZ Dec10         (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 118 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of IN THE FRAME by SERVICE STRIPE)
13  LA PUMA Oct07 Sep16       (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of COUGARSTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
14  NEW ROSE (PER)         (antonucci jena)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
  (by EASY MINER out of AMERICAN FRANCIS (ARG) by FRANCIS U.)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.