Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(1/6/5)-(4/6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/6/7/8)-(7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/8)-(7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/8)-(7/1/4)-(7/4/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(7/4/3/2)-(2/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(2/1/7)-(9/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(9/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(9/3/1)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (9/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/1)-(9/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3/1)-(9/3/1)-(9/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/3/1)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1)-(5/1)-(4/1/9/5/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/1/9/5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (4/1/9/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/5/3)-(4/1/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/5/3)-(4/1/9/5/3)-(4/1/9/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE LAST KNOCK Sep20 Aug21 Jul18     (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  WATDOYOUSAY JOSE Aug24         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Sep01 Jul31 Jun22 May18 May09 (chichakly)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
4  ALPINE GIANT Aug23 Jun26 Aug14     (englehar)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
5  SILSBEE Aug23 Aug07 May25 Sep28   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 53% 0.90    
6  MISS BOURBON Sep20 Aug24 Jul20 Jun21 May24 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TURRIGA Sep20 Aug23 Jul20 May24 Apr24 (bond kevin)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  I'M KIDDING Sep19 Aug11 May24 Apr26 Apr10 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
SCR  INTENTIOUS Sep19 Aug21 Jun26 May17 Apr24 (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
SCR  NINA KAY Jul24 Feb01 Jan17 Nov17 Sep28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60    
 
BAQ-2   10/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED FERN         (nevin michelle)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  DIAMOND LIFE Sep28 Aug15       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80    
SCR  THREE TWO WON Aug29         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
4  TWISTED BANKER         (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
5  ESSENTIALLY FAST Aug03 Jul04       (contessa gary )CIVACI SAHIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAYS HONEST Aug15         (jimenez jos)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MONEYBAGS MILTON Aug01         (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00    
8  BIG BROOKLYN Aug08         (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP LIZZY Sep12         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
2  GOLDEN MIRACLE Sep12         (jimenez j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00    
3  CATHEDRAL AISLE         (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00    
4  PINKY BRIER Sep19 Aug16       (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.00 34% 1.90    
5  LUCIANA'S HONOR Sep21 Aug06       (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
6  TAPAROO         (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  MY DEVINE ONE Oct05 Sep11 Aug13 Jul31   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
8  SHINING SILVER         (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/17/2025 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEAR DAD Sep27 Sep06 Aug06 Jun21 May24 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  VESTING (IRE) Aug23 Jul23 Jun22 Mar28 Mar02 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50    
3  CATCH A WAVE Jul23 Jun28 Jul04 May27 Apr26 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
4  DOMINICAN PIONEER Sep10 Jan31 Sep11 May27 Apr06 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRONG QUALITY Sep12 Jun19 Apr06 Jan31 Aug11 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 ★    
6  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) Aug23 Jul19 Feb06 Sep09 Aug13 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
7  TRIKARI Jun28 May17 Apr11 Oct26 Sep28 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  LE GRIS Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 Apr30 Apr17 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
SCR  WYNSTOCK Sep25 Aug22 Jul31 Jun14 Jun07 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOOD ILLUSION Aug16         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of NO COVER CHARGE by KAFWAIN)
2  GEOSTOBLAME Sep13         (pletcher)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
3  RENEGADE Aug16         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPICE IS NICE by CURLIN)
4  CREDIT HISTORY Sep13         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALTAMURA by ARTIE SCHILLER)
5  HEDGE RATIO Aug07         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED out of ZYDECO MAMA by HARD SPUN)
6  SILENT SCHEME Aug30         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of MESSAGE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
7  PALADIN         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by WESTERN GENTLEMAN out of GUILTY BUT GLAD by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
8  GORDY Sep13         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
 
BAQ-6   10/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD COP Sep19         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
2  EGYPTIAN Sep18 Mar22 Dec21     (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  DAYTONA MOONSHINE Sep28 Jul13 Jun21 May25 Mar08 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
4  CARLIN CONTENTION Sep21 Sep01 Aug14 Jul17 May23 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
5  UNCLE BARRIE Sep21 Aug31 Aug14 Aug01 Jul13 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 120 15.00    
6  KAZ ICE CHANGER Sep21         (synnefias dimi)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
7  SEA SHEPHERD Sep23 Sep01 Aug05     (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUCKY DRAGON Sep28 Mar23 Feb22 Jan25 Nov23 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★    
 
BAQ-7   10/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBROKEN CHAIN Sep20 Aug20 Jul26 Jun12 May26 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TARPAULIN Oct02 Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 May10 (noda orland)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00    
3  AERO STAR Sep20 Aug14 Jul16 Apr18 Mar27 (potts way)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Sep27 Sep12 Aug14 Jun08 May10 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
5  SOCIAL HOUR Oct05 Sep13 Aug15 Jul23 Jun19 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
6  GO IRISH Sep07 Aug17 Jul19 Jun14 May25 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  EXPLORATION Sep27 Aug16 Jul16 Jun15 May17 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN PLATE Oct04 May22 Apr10 May23 May05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
9  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 Jun15 May03 (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 39% 1.60    
 
BAQ-8   10/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CULTIVATE Aug27         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  ON THE LEVEL Sep11 Nov16       (brion keri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00    
3  NOTAH Oct02 Aug20 Jun28 Oct30 Oct04 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 3.00    
4  ICAN Mar15 Feb14 Jan04 Dec06 Oct15 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
5  TRUST FUND Aug30 Jun28 May26 Apr05 Feb22 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  SILO RIDGE Jun08 May10 Apr23 Apr04 Feb28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  MIKE'S MAGIC Sep14 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun07 (cibelli jane)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANO MAN Oct10 Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 Apr20 (kimmel j)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
2  BRODERICK Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 Jul26 Jun28 (reynolds patr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
3  PANDEMIC HERO Sep14 Aug13 Jul14 Jun14 May08 (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY LIFE STORY Sep13 Sep01 Jul10 Jun12 May26 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  PRINCE OF DANCE Sep15 Aug14 Jul17 Jun14   (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 6% 15.50    
6  FILM ACADEMY Aug22 Aug08 Jul17 Jul26 Jun06 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
7  ROYAL BROWNE Sep12 Aug17 Jun28 May25 Apr27 (abreu ferna)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00    
8  KORRONGO Sep19 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 Jun08 (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 5.00    
9  MARCUS GIFT Sep18 Aug02 Jun08 May03 Mar14 (devaux adrianne)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  TAPWRITS TEMPER Oct04 Jul16 Jun12 May23 Apr26 (potts way)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00    
SCR  DEREK'S LAW Oct10 Jun13 May09 Jan20 Nov01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.