Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(7/3/1/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(7/3/1/2/5)-(7/4/3/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (7/3/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2/5)-(7/3/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2/5)-(7/3/1/2/5)-(7/3/1/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2/5)-(7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2/5)-(7/4/3/8)-(6/2/3/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-3   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/8)-(6/2/3/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/8)-(6/2/3/10/5)-(8/4/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (6/2/3/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/10/5)-(6/2/3/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/10/5)-(6/2/3/10/5)-(6/2/3/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/3/10/5)-(8/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/10/5)-(8/4/3/2)-(9/1/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (8/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/2)-(9/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/2)-(9/1/6/8)-(3/8/9/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (9/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/6/8)-(3/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/8)-(3/8/9/1)-(1/2/5/11/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (3/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/1)-(3/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/1)-(3/8/9/1)-(3/8/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/9/1)-(1/2/5/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (1/2/5/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/11/9)-(1/2/5/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/11/9)-(1/2/5/11/9)-(1/2/5/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACE OF GOLD Sep11 Aug06 Jul19     (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
2  TAPIT BACK         (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
3  REST ASHORE Sep12 Aug28       (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  CAITLINS THREES Aug01         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  ROUGE GRANDEUR Sep11         (ferraro james )LUZZI J 119 15.00    
SCR  COOLA BOOLA Jul24         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60    
7  OSCAR BOUND Sep11 Aug07       (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/02/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JET OFF Sep04 Jul11       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 8% 11.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CASSIES DREAMER by FLATTER)
2  BOLD STATEMENT         (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 7% 12.90    
  (by TOLD (IRE) out of EVIDENTLY by SMART STRIKE)
3  JUBILEE PARADE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 13% 6.90    
  (by KINGMAN out of SIGNATURE SONG by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  OMAHA STORM Aug31         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TIP AT TAPIT by TAPIT)
5  BELLAMY         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 7% 12.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WHAT A FOX by BERNARDINI)
6  CAPO DI TUTTI Aug30         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SPAC by GIO PONTI)
7  UNDERBIDDER         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by AWAD out of JOLI PRINCESS by LEJOLI)
8  COPA DE PLATA Aug29         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of INDYGITA by INDYGO SHINER)
9  KAZ BRIO Sep13         (synnefias dim)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ALL DAY LAWN by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  GLAVINE Aug31         (morley t)SANTANA JR 119 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ASPEN HILLTOP by BERNARDINI)
 
BAQ-3   10/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAHOE SUNRISE Aug28 Nov28 Nov08 Aug24 Jun01 (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00    
2  TARPAULIN Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 May10 Mar22 (noda orl)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
3  MIGHTY ATLAS Sep12 Aug16 Jul11 Jun20 May17 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00 10% 9.30    
4  CRUSHED IT Aug31 Jun14 Apr13 Feb12 Jan04 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  CELESTIAL GLAZE Aug03 Mar07 Feb06 Jan18 Dec29 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
6  NOTAH Aug20 Jun28 Oct30 Oct04 Aug23 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00    
7  FLYING LIAM May17 Apr19 Mar27 Feb15 Jan12 (margotta an)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
8  FREE DANCE Sep22 Jun15 Apr25 Mar13 Feb14 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/02/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEET N READY Aug29         (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SASSIFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
2  SPECIAL ENVOY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by STROLL out of DIPLOMACY by COZZENE)
3  EPIC DESIRE Aug10 Jul11 Apr18     (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 9% 10.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
4  PHNOM PENH Sep13         (proctor thomas)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CAMBODIA by WAR FRONT)
5  STREAM IT Sep01         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of RIVER MAID by WHERE'S THE RING)
6  BEHOLD THE KING Sep12 Aug29 Jul25     (casse mark)RIVERA R 119 4.00 52% 0.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BEHOLD THE QUEEN by HOLD ME BACK)
7  CHAMBERSVILLE Aug31         (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
8  OBAN         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of JOYFUL ADDICTION by MUNNINGS)
9  DYNADEE Aug17         (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DYNATAIL by HIGHTAIL)
10  GABORONE         (mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ITERATION by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  SENIOR LENDER Aug09         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
  (by RUNAWAY GROOM out of FORWARD CONTRACT by TIME FOR A CHANGE)
 
BAQ-5   10/02/2025 3960ft TURF RC12 FIRM Matron Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OSCAR'S ENCORE Aug31 Aug06       (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WEEKEND IN MALIBU by OLD FORESTER)
2  SNAPPY COMEBACK Sep07 Aug09 Jul12     (d'angelo f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YAUPON out of RETORT by LIAM'S MAP)
3  JUST PHILTORED Aug23 Aug02 May23     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
4  SHOULD'VE Aug28         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
5  FINAL ACCORD Sep11         (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
  (by D'ACCORD out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
SCR  SNOW FACE PRINCESS Sep07 Aug17 Jul30 May23   (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CRUSIN ALONE by HONOR CODE)
SCR  VALALA Sep07 Jul31       (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
  (by MAJESTIC WARRIOR out of BELLAZZERIA by HENNY HUGHES)
8  ROYAL TESTAMENT Sep06 Jul27 May10     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TRUE TESTAMENT by HANSEN)
SCR  BELIEVE IN MAGIC Sep07 Jul31 Jun29     (morey william)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
  (by BOSTON HARBOR out of FUR COAT by BLUSHING GROOM (FR))
10  CATALONIA Sep07 Aug29 Jul27     (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by TILT UP out of SANTA TRINITA by MORE THAN READY)
11  Y'ALLREADYFORTHIS Aug06         (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 120 30.00    
  (by FARMA WAY out of GILDED SET by GILDED AGE)
12  BELLA KNOWS Aug27         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLAMY KNOWS by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
BAQ-6   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FITZPATRICK Aug09 Jul13 Sep22 Aug12 Jul15 (potts wayn)SANCHEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GATSBY Aug24 Aug03 May29 Mar09 Jan18 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
3  FORGIVING SPIRIT Aug09 Jul06 Apr25 Apr09 Feb27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
4  MANTA REY Aug22 Jul23 Jun11 Apr11 Mar22 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 6.00    
SCR  GRAYWING Jul12 Jun08 May08 Mar29 Mar14 (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
6  RABBIT HOUND Sep13 Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 May25 (ward dan)RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GUN MAESTRO Aug23 Jul06 Jun13 May18 Apr23 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 50.00    
8  HONORARY DEGREE Sep26 Sep02 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  MASTER OF ARMS May11 Apr12 Mar16 Feb09 Jan04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.40 71% 0.40    
 
BAQ-7   10/02/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTASY PERFORMER Aug29 Jul06 May31 May10 Apr13 (bartkows)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  FUN WITH FLAGS (IRE) Aug29 Jul10 May25 Mar22 Jul06 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
3  IMMENSITUDE (FR) Aug28 Aug07 Jun27 Apr25 Mar01 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Sep13 Jul11 Mar08 Jan25 Dec26 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 124 8.00    
5  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Aug22 Jul06 May26 Apr18 Mar15 (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00    
6  TOUR JETE Sep11 Aug29 Jun20 May15 Nov15 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  TEMPLE CITY TABOO Jul16 Jun22 Jun06 May02 Apr24 (arriaga an)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
8  GRAYOSH Sep04 Jul19 Jun13 May04 Oct12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
9  BROCKNARDINI Aug22 Aug06 Jun04 Oct13 Sep07 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/02/2025 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GARDEN OF GRACE Aug21 Jul18 May25 Apr27   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 1.80 41% 1.50    
2  TAHILA Jul26 Jun26 Nov03 Oct10 Aug25 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  FIFI LA FUME Aug24 Jul30 Jul06 Jun13 May17 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
4  DEFLECTION POINT Aug24 Oct10       (bartko)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 30.00    
5  FIVE DOZEN ROSES Aug24 Jul18 Jun22 May26   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 6% 15.20    
6  ARGENTIERA Aug23 Jul18 Jun19 Apr24 Sep13 (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00    
7  AMELIA Aug23 Jul25 Jul06 Dec29 Nov02 (green am)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
8  PUREST PERFORMANCE Aug24 Jun26 Jun13 May26 May03 (pregman jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
SCR  BOURBON SLIP         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IN FACT SHEZA ZASK Aug30 Aug01 Jul19 Apr26 Apr05 (giddings mela)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00    
11  FROGHOLLOWSUMMER Aug24 Jul30 Jul06 Jun19 Oct10 (martin carlos )LUZZI J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STORMY CENTRAL Aug21         (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00    
SCR  RARE SOCIETY Feb22         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.