Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(5/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(5/3/9)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (5/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/9)-(5/10/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/9)-(5/10/3/8/9)-(5/10/3/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/9)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/9)-(3/2/4)-(3/7/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/7/8/1)-(3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/1)-(3/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/1)-(3/7/8/1)-(3/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/1)-(3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/1)-(3/7/1)-(1/9/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/6/8/1)-(3/7/6/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(1/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(1/9/8/5)-(8/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/5)-(1/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/5)-(1/9/8/5)-(1/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/8/5)-(8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8/5)-(8/1/7)-(7/9/5/11/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/7)-(7/9/5/11/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(7/9/5/11/10)-(4/10/3/8/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (7/9/5/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/11/10)-(7/9/5/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/11/10)-(7/9/5/11/10)-(7/9/5/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/5/11/10)-(4/10/3/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (4/10/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/8/9)-(4/10/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/8/9)-(4/10/3/8/9)-(4/10/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK TO KHALI Aug28 Jul31       (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
2  BASEBALL LADY Aug07 Jul12       (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50    
3  ESSENCE OF FAITH         (schet)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ST. BRIGID'S CROSS Aug21 Aug06 May22     (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 69% 0.50    
5  PINKY BRIER Aug16         (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 ★    
6  SPIRIT FORWARD         (schetti)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MEGOWAN STREET         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSPICIOUSLY NAMED Aug15 Jul26 Jun27 May18 Aug26 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
2  NANTZ Aug14 Jul27 Jun28 May01 Aug10 (martin ca)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 20.00    
3  RETEKO Aug27 Jun29 Jun06 May04 Mar14 (morley t)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BILLY WHITE SHOES (IRE) Aug28         (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
5  BATTLE DRUM (FR) Aug27 Jul26 Jun27 May18 Mar23 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
6  WINEGOLD Aug08 May15 Mar05 Feb02 Jan17 (gyarmati leah)JARA FERNANDO 120 20.00    
7  BRIGHT ANGEL (IRE) Jul28 Jun20 Jun03 Sep28 Sep07 (davis d)DAVIS KATIE 120 50.00    
8  THORSNESS Feb27 Jan25       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
9  NO MERLOT Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 Feb21 Dec07 (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  POLICY CHANGE Aug15 Jul27 Aug17     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  KAVANAUGH Sep01 Aug07 Jul13 Jun28 May31 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
12  SKI BUM Jun22 Jun06 Apr12 Mar15   (proctor thomas)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
SCR  FISCAL DRAG Aug07 Jul11 Jun22     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COME FULL CIRCLE Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 May26 May04 (dunham g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
2  REFUAH Aug07 Jul13 Jun25 May16 May01 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  UNDISPUTED Aug15 Jul16 Jun06 May02 Mar29 (antonucc)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  MO FOR THE KING Aug28 Aug07 Jun26 Apr25 Apr11 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEY TOBY Jul30 Jul02 Apr04 Mar08 Jan31 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50    
6  SENEGAL Aug07 Jun26 May19 Apr19 Mar08 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50    
7  FIRST PITCH Aug26 Aug07 Jun29 Jun04 May10 (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Aug15 Jul27 May04 Apr05 Mar16 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of RAPIDO GATTA by ADIOS CHARLIE)
2  ARK ROYAL Apr17 Mar16       (tagg b)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of MAJESTIQUE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
3  COUNTER MOVE May02 Mar14 Feb08     (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 121 1.60 51% 1.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of GYPSY ANGEL by SILVER TRAIN)
4  CHRIS'S SONG Jun27 Nov02       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
  (by FLATTER out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  GOOD COP         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of FUN FINDER by CROSS TRAFFIC)
6  GUILTY Jul23         (barrow paul)CASTELLANO J 121 30.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of SAFFLOWER by UNCLE ABBIE)
7  SPEIGHTFUL STORM Aug23 Jul27       (bond har)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  MOZAMBIQUE Aug23 Jul27 Jun06 Nov02 Sep02 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
 
BAQ-5   09/19/2025 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEGER SONGS Aug27 Jul25 Jun13 Feb23 Jan19 (brion ker)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of IMAGINARY SAINT by SAINT LIAM)
2  EQUITAS Sep01         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of JUSTIX by SCAT DADDY)
3  AMERICAN DEBUTANTE (IRE) Aug03 Jul05       (walsh p)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 71% 0.40    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of HEIGHT OF ELEGANCE by GALILEO)
SCR  GREEN JOBS Aug14 Jul18 Jun05 Jan19 Nov14 (brown ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GENTLE RULER by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  LADY MEIS (IRE) Sep12 Aug03 Jul18 Jun19 May25 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 124 8.00    
  (by CAMELOT out of ASAWER by NYQUIST)
6  INESPEREE Aug17 Jul18 Jun19 Mar30 Mar02 (clement )SANTANA JR 120 6.00 ★    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of TERRESTRE by MOTIVATOR)
7  ABUNDANT LOVE Aug17 Jul18 Jun19 May16 Feb06 (trombetta mich)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of TSUNAMI OF LOVE by BERNARDINI)
8  CHANNEL CHECK (GB) Aug29 Aug03 May25 Mar08   (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 ★    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of GUMRIYAH by SHAMARDAL)
9  SIYOUNI FLASH (FR) Sep01 Apr23       (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
  (by SIYOUNI out of AIGUE MARINE by GALILEO)
10  PEMAQUID Aug17 Jul18 Apr17     (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ONE WAY PASSAGE by WAR FRONT)
11  MY GORGEOUS Jul30 Jun26 Jun19 May26 Jan24 (keith)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of GET GORGEOUS by FREUD)
SCR  RAGHBA Aug14 Jul10 Jun05 May02 Mar02 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
 
BAQ-6   09/19/2025 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Joseph Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARINATA Sep01         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CURLIN'S TRUTH by CURLIN)
2  NACHO PROBLEM Aug16 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May03 (green ame)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00    
  (by WAITING out of NACHO MAMA by BRETHREN)
3  TRADING TROUBLE Sep07 Aug09 Jul17     (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of TRADEABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  CHARLOTTESUNIVERSE Aug09 Jul17       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOLAR SURGE by BERNARDINI)
5  SWEET MONTREAL Aug06         (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of PASSEPORTA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  SAINT MARGARET Sep01         (ryerson jame)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of SUGAR BOSS by STREET BOSS)
7  VERNON VALLEY Aug27 Jun05 May23     (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
  (by CONTESTED COLORS out of VALLEY CAMPAIGN by CHINATI)
8  GRAZIE Aug22 Jul31       (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 12% 7.60    
  (by MODERNIST out of ASCOT WALK by DAAHER)
9  SACRED GODDESS Aug17 Jul17       (englehar)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of THAT'S MY CUE by QUALITY ROAD)
 
BAQ-7   09/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINE GIFT Aug23 Aug10 Jun29 May23 Apr11 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Sep01 Jul31 Jun22 May18 May09 (chichakly)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
SCR  TIMIA Aug13 Aug06 Jul16 Feb09 Jan17 (ramire)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
4  INTENTIOUS Aug21 Jun26 May17 Apr24 Mar29 (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★    
5  DAME CATHERINE Sep06 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun14 (bernardi)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
6  SECOND CHANCE (VEN) Aug29 Jul26 Jun21 Oct06 Aug28 (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
7  I'M KIDDING Aug11 May24 Apr26 Apr10 Mar02 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  GEOPOLITICS Jul24 Jun06 Nov22 Oct17 Aug24 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 64% 0.60    
9  ACCELERATED NEWS Aug21 Jul25 May25 Apr05 Feb28 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/19/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSOURCE Aug16 Jul17 Jun04 May08 Apr11 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
2  KIGALI Aug16 Jul30 Jul20 Jun25 Jun06 (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
3  WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Aug27 Jul20 Jun07 Apr08 Mar06 (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
SCR  FAIR HAIRED BOY Sep01 Aug03 Jun29 May26 May03 (preciado guadal)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
5  MIZTERTONIC Aug21 Jul20 Jun29 May17 Nov16 (brion keri)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 16% 5.10    
6  MAYOR OF MIDNIGHT (IRE) Jul19 Jun20 May18 Apr19   (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
7  FUERTEVENTURA Aug16 Jul30 Jul20 May10 Feb05 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
8  CLASSIC CREATION Jul20 Jun22 Mar02 Feb01 Oct31 (terranova )RIVERA R 122 20.00    
9  MASTER PIECE (CHI) Jul30 Jun19 May03 Nov09 Sep28 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
10  BE OF COURAGE Aug09 Jul20 Jun22 Jun04 May11 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 124 10.00 6% 15.10    
11  IRWIN (IRE) Aug27 Oct19 Sep02 Aug11 Jun10 (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Aug27 Jun20 May10 Mar22 Jan25 (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  MIDDLE MARKET Sep01 Aug16 Jul26 Jun22 May25 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 30.00    
SCR  BOURBON DAY Jul30 Jun28 May23 Feb15 Jan25 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK Aug17 Jul11 Jun07 May17 May04 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  TREATY OBLIGATION Aug28 Aug16 Apr17 Feb08 Jan12 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/19/2025 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING BEAR Jul19 Jun21 May26 Sep07 Jul07 (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
2  KORRONGO Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 Jun08 Nov02 (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 8.00    
3  COUSIN ED Aug22 Jul26 Jun14 May08 Mar09 (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.50 14% 5.90    
4  INSUBORDINATION (IRE) Aug07 Jul13 May24 May03 Apr12 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
5  BLOWN COVER Aug28 Jul18 Jun22 May26 Apr10 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
SCR  DEREK'S LAW Jun13 May09 Jan20 Nov01 Sep27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  ENDURING SPIRIT Aug28 Jul04 May10 Apr26 Apr04 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
8  SPINBACK Mar27 Feb12 Jan18 Dec06 Oct06 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  READY SET TWIRL Sep01 Aug16 Jul26 Jul10 Jun12 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  NANO MAN Aug22 Jul26 Apr20 Mar20 Feb02 (kimmel j)SANTANA JR 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  TAPWRITS TEMPER Jul16 Jun12 May23 Apr26 Mar23 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.