Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/2)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/2)-(1/6/5)-(5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/1/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/3/1)-(3/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/4/1)-(2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/1)-(5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/4/1)-(2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 May22 Feb27 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
2  RENEWED Aug14 Jul15 Jun21 May29 Aug07 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of RENEWAL by OLD TRIESTE)
3  DEVOUTLY Aug14 Jul07       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 11% 7.90    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LOVEYOU EVERYBODY by FIVE STAR DAY)
4  TAMPA TEACHER Jul19 Jun29       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCHOOL BOARD PREZ by COURAGEOUS CAT)
5  DOLLAR DANCE Jun06 May12 Apr11 Mar24 Feb27 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
6  LADY LOVES MONEY Jul15 Jul19 Jul03 Jun05 May29 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of MERRY LADY by KEYED ENTRY)
SCR  DIANNA'S LADY         (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
8  REASONS WE DRINK Aug14 Jul07 Jun21     (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.60 64% 0.60    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of RED SOLE DIVA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
TDN-2   09/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD BUCKEYE Aug18 Jul16 Jun23 Jan16 Dec02 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 67% 0.50    
2  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Aug21 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 May22 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
3  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50    
4  MY BROTHER CAM Jul08 Jun16 Oct03 Sep11 Jun03 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
5  ONLY GET'N BETTER Aug18 Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 Apr28 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WE NEED A FAVOR Aug25 Jul08 Jun09 May08 Apr19 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 10% 9.40    
 
TDN-3   09/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER BYE Aug11 Jul07 Jun21 May14 Oct07 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 1.60 25% 3.00    
2  HEZA PISTOL Jul06 Jun19 May18 Jan09 Dec21 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUN PANCITA Aug27 Aug11 Jul09 Oct22 Oct07 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00    
4  DUO Mar27 Mar03 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 4.50    
5  TYSON'S LIL' STAR Aug12 Jun21       (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 38% 1.70    
 
TDN-4   09/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTIS OTIS OTIS Jun26 May29 May06 Dec16 Nov26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
2  LATIN SPICE Aug05 Jul03 Jun11 Jan03 Dec13 (poole a)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
3  REINVEST Aug21 Jul16 Jun02 May08 Apr21 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  TIME THE AVENGER Aug18 Jul28 Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  BIG BUCKSALOT Jul16 Jun10 May29 Apr11 Mar30 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60    
 
TDN-5   09/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL MISSION Aug11 Sep04 Aug15 Jul22 Jul01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAST MINUTE MIKEY Aug11 Jun25 May14 Apr29 Mar26 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 3.00    
3  DIXIE'S MEMORY Aug11 Jul09 Jun21     (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 117 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  PROFESSOR NICK Aug11 Jun25 Dec19 Nov27 Oct28 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 115 6.00 11% 7.70    
5  STRIKE PLATE Aug18 Aug11 Jun25 May20 May12 (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
SCR  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Aug05 May20 Jan23 Dec18 Nov30 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-6   09/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Aug05 Mar22 Mar06 Feb03 Jan16 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 29% 2.40    
2  DAVID'S GEM Aug05 Jun12 Jan29 Dec16 Nov26 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.80 35% 1.80    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00    
SCR  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Aug05 Jun24 Jun04 May13 Apr02 (romero a)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
5  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Aug07 Jun17 May22 May05 Mar28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.60    
 
TDN-7   09/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCK WOOD May26 Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 Dec17 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROMANIAN PRINCE Jun07 May12 Apr23 Mar18 Dec09 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 3.00    
3  BLUE NOMORE Aug14 Jul14 Jun23 Dec17 Oct23 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
4  FULL SPECTRUM Aug14 Jul03 Jun16 May12 Apr22 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 115 1.50 30% 2.30    
5  PRIVATE MOMENT Aug14 Jul14 Jun23 May26 Nov21 (hurley mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-8   09/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE OF GRACE Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 May21 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 20.00    
2  LARRY'S ANGEL Jun21 May24 Nov13 Aug26 Jul11 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  NUBLADA Jun21 Nov25 Nov04 Aug30 Aug12 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 8% 12.10    
4  COLORYOUREGGS Aug19 Jun27 Jun10 May12 Apr21 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  DERBY DAY KISS Aug04 Jan29 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 4.00    
6  GATHA'S SONG Aug11 Jul08 May19 Nov25 Oct29 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.